Ecological Indicators,
Journal Year:
2024,
Volume and Issue:
160, P. 111823 - 111823
Published: March 1, 2024
Exploring
the
spatiotemporal
impacts
of
climate
change
and
human
activities
on
freshwater
resources
through
concepts
blue
green
water
can
effectively
improve
sustainability
basin
resource
management.
However,
previous
relevant
studies
have
not
considered
specific
different
models
land
use
changes
future
simultaneously.
To
mitigate
this
issue,
study
proposes
a
hydrological
modeling
framework
by
integrating
geographic
detectors,
Future
Land
Use
Simulation
(FLUS)
models,
Soil
Water
Assessment
Tool
(SWAT)
model.
This
was
capable
identifying
major
driving
factors
changes,
predicting
patterns,
assessing
characteristics
under
scenarios
distributions.
Applying
to
Wei
River
Basin
(WRB)
in
northwest
China,
it
identified
primary
drivers
WRB
quantitatively
analyzed
four
scenarios.
The
results
show
that:
1)
FLUS
model
SWAT
simulate
runoff
process
with
high
simulation
accuracy;
2)
Precipitation,
temperature
GDP
are
main
change;
3)
amount
middle
lower
reaches
is
significantly
higher
than
that
tributaries
upper
reaches.
Blue
flow
more
affected
use,
while
storage
sensitive
change.
provide
effective
information
for
planning
rational
allocation
resources.
