
Ecological Applications, Год журнала: 2023, Номер 33(7)
Опубликована: Авг. 24, 2023
Gene drives offer a potentially revolutionary method for pest control over large spatial extents. These genetic modifications spread deleterious variants through population and have been proposed as methods suppression or even eradication. We examined the influence of local dispersal, long-distance and/or human-mediated variation in growth on success gene drive invasive social wasps (Vespula vulgaris). Our simulations incorporated spatially realistic environment containing variable habitat quality New Zealand. Pest eradication was not observed, except extreme unrealistic scenarios constant, widespread, intense releases genetically modified individuals every year decades. Instead, regional persistence wild-type predicted. Simulations using homogeneous versus landscapes (incorporating uninhabitable areas dispersal barriers) showed little difference overall dynamics. Overall, impact wasp abundance observed first 15 years after introduction. After 25 years, populations were suppressed to levels <95% starting populations. Populations exhibited "chase dynamics" with cycles space, extinction occurring some while became abundant others. Increasing wasps' distance increased temporal variability occupied area suppression. Varying human-associated had effect intrinsic rates interacted cause higher mean substantially total amount landscape occupied. appear unlikely rapid widespread this probably other pests but could long-term cost-effective The predicted level would reduce predation pressure competitive interactions native species. However, will ethics likelihood control, especially given concerns that eventually be transported back their home range.
Язык: Английский