Predicting the Potential Global Distribution of the Plum Fruit Moth Grapholita funebrana Treitscheke Using Ensemble Models DOI Creative Commons
Mingsheng Yang,

Yiqi Huo,

Lei Wang

и другие.

Insects, Год журнала: 2024, Номер 15(9), С. 663 - 663

Опубликована: Авг. 30, 2024

The plum fruit moth, Grapholita funebrana Treitschke, is one of the most significant borer pests, often causing huge economic losses in production. However, potential distribution range this economically important pest still poorly understood. For study, we simulated an ensemble species model to predict spatiotemporal pattern G. at a global scale. results show that suitable habitats for under current environmental conditions, are mainly distributed Europe; East Asia, including China and Japan; Central Asia; some parts America. In future projections, predicted generally expand northward, while area will remain unchanged overall. highly habitat decrease only 17.49% found conditions. None nine factors used were revealed be predominant predictors terms contributing model, suggesting integrated effects these variables shape funebrana’s distribution. has been predicted, especially regions with habitat, poses high risk outbreaks, highlighting urgency management. Moreover, United States America (USA) Japan (for which distributions not previously recorded), areas monitoring quarantine measures should strengthened prevent colonization further dispersal pest, as seen its close relative molesta, become cosmopolitan species, migrating from native region (East Asia) other continents, Americas.

Язык: Английский

Potential Distribution of Tribe Erythroneurini in China Based on the R-Optimized MaxEnt Model, with Implications for Management DOI Creative Commons

Xiaojuan Yuan,

Weiwei Ran, Wenming Xu

и другие.

Insects, Год журнала: 2025, Номер 16(5), С. 450 - 450

Опубликована: Апрель 24, 2025

This study examines the distribution dynamics of tribe Erythroneurini, a group economically significant leafhoppers in China that pose threats to crops through sap feeding and virus transmission, while also serving as valuable ecological indicators due their sensitivity environmental changes. Through systematic evaluation 12 species models (SDMs), we ultimately selected Maximum Entropy (MaxEnt) model for predicting distributions. The R-optimized MaxEnt incorporated 11 variables 218 occurrence records assess habitat suitability under historical, current, future climate scenarios (SSP1-2.6 SSP5-8.5). was configured with LQP features default regularization multiplier value 1. Results reveal temperature (BIO6, BIO2, BIO4) precipitation (BIO12) are primary drivers suitability, tropical subtropical regions identified most favorable. Future projections indicate complex pattern contraction expansion, notable northward shift toward higher latitudes change. These findings highlight profound impact change on Erythroneurini distribution, underscoring need proactive management. Implementing long-term monitoring targeted control vulnerable mitigates agricultural risks, supporting sustainable pest management fostering integration conservation development.

Язык: Английский

Процитировано

1
Leveraging big Earth data for spatially explicit tracking of the progress on UN SDG15.1.2 DOI Creative Commons
Yuhe Zhao, Xuanlong Ma, Zhengyang Zhang

и другие.

International Journal of Digital Earth, Год журнала: 2025, Номер 18(1)

Опубликована: Май 25, 2025

Язык: Английский

Процитировано

0
Forecasting habitat suitability and niche shifts of two global maize pests: Ostrinia furnacalis and Ostrinia nubilalis (Lepidoptera: Crambidae) DOI
Bing Li, Erik B. Dopman, Yanling Dong

и другие.

Pest Management Science, Год журнала: 2024, Номер 80(10), С. 5286 - 5298

Опубликована: Июнь 25, 2024

Abstract BACKGROUND Ostrinia furnacalis (ACB) and nubilalis (ECB) are devastating pests of the agricultural crop maize worldwide. However, little is known about their potential distribution niche shifts during global invasion. Since long‐term selection to past climate variability has shaped historical breadth, such may provide an alternative basis for understanding responses present future change. By integrating unfilling, stability, expansion situations into a single framework, our study quantifies patterns shift in spatial these two different periods. RESULTS Our results show that overall suitable habitats ACB ECB decrease but highly extremely habitat will become more widespread, suggesting insects occur frequently specific regions. Compared with Southeast Asia Australia, China exhibited rather than unfilling. For ECB, initial niches have tendency be retained Eurasia despite there also being North America. The equivalency similarity test further indicate were common both survival regions colonization new changes paleoclimate associated climatic changes. CONCLUSIONS These findings improve ecological characteristics worldwide, useful development prevention control strategies insect © 2024 Society Chemical Industry.

Язык: Английский

Процитировано

3
Global climate change‐driven impacts on the Asian distribution of Limassolla leafhoppers, with implications for biological and environmental conservation DOI Creative Commons
Weiwei Ran, Jiajia Chen, Yuanqi Zhao

и другие.

Ecology and Evolution, Год журнала: 2024, Номер 14(7)

Опубликована: Июль 1, 2024

Abstract Knowing the impacts of global climate change on habitat suitability distribution Limassolla leafhoppers contributes to understanding feedback organisms from a macroecological perspective, and provides important scientific basis for protecting ecological environment biodiversity. However, there is limited knowledge this aspect. Thus, our study aimed address gap by analyzing Asian centroid shifts based 19 bioclimatic variables occurrence records. Selecting five niche models with outstanding predictive performance (Maxlike, generalized linear model, additive random forest, maximum entropy) along their ensemble model 12 models, current its future under two Shared Socio‐economic Pathways (SSP1‐2.6 SSP5‐8.5) in 2050s 2090s were predicted. The results showed that prediction are generally consistent. Based 11 potential biodiversity hotspots high identified. With change, suitable range will experience both expansion contraction. In SSP5‐8.52050s, area 118.56 × 10 4 km 2 , while contraction 25.40 ; SSP1‐2.62090s, 91.71 26.54 . Furthermore, core shift toward higher latitudes northeast direction, precipitation warmest quarter was found have greatest impact Our research supported four hypotheses. Finally, suggests establishing reserves identified prevent loss, enhancing protection hotspots, pursuing sustainable development path reduced emissions.

Язык: Английский

Процитировано

2
Sympatric diversity pattern driven by the secondary contact of two deeply divergent lineages of the soybean pod borer Leguminivora glycinivorella DOI
Mingsheng Yang, Wang Ying, Peng Dai

и другие.

Integrative Zoology, Год журнала: 2024, Номер unknown

Опубликована: Окт. 26, 2024

The soybean pod borer, Leguminivora glycinivorella (Matsumura), is an important tortricid pest species widely distributed in most parts of China and its adjacent regions. Here, we analyzed the genetic diversity population differentiation L. using diverse information including standard cox1 barcode sequences, mitochondrial genomes (mitogenomes), single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) from genotyping-by-sequencing. Based on a comprehensive sampling (including adults or larvae newly collected at 22 total 30 localities examined) that covers known distribution range this pest, analyses 543 sequences 60 mitogenomes revealed traditionally recognized contains two sympatric lineages (A B) were estimated to have diverged ∼1.14 million years ago during middle Pleistocene. Moreover, low but statistically significant correlations between geographic environmental distances, indicating existence local adaptation some extent. SNPs, phylogenetic inference, principal component analysis, fixation index, admixture analysis all confirm divergent lineages. Compared with stable demographic history Lineage B, expansion A had possibly made secondary contact probable, process may be driven by climate fluctuation late Pleistocene as ecological niche modeling.

Язык: Английский

Процитировано

0
Potential global distributions of an important aphid pest, Rhopalosiphum padi: insights from ensemble models with multiple variables DOI
Mingsheng Yang,

Jiayi Yu,

Yongli Wang

и другие.

Journal of Economic Entomology, Год журнала: 2024, Номер unknown

Опубликована: Окт. 8, 2024

Species distribution modeling is extensively used for predicting potential distributions of invasive species. However, an ensemble approach has been less frequently particularly pest The bird cherry-oat aphid Rhopalosiphum padi L. important wheat (Triticum aestivum L.) worldwide and causes 30% yield losses. Here, we developed a series models with multiple variables to predict the habitat suitability this at global scale. current suitable R. mainly distributed in East Asia, South Europe, southern North America, eastern Australia, New Zealand. highly regions are primarily east China, Japan, most southeastern edge Australia. In future scenarios, habitats will undergo significant contraction overall northward, no moderately nor predicted other areas. Our findings indicate that high risk outbreaks currently exists mentioned above, especially cultivation, but capacity cause such weaken future. Climate-associated factors significantly more than land use, elevation host-plant factors, BIO11 (mean temperature coldest quarter), particular, predominated shaping projections padi's distribution. pattern key ecological affecting identified herein could provide guidance developing management policies targeting economically pest.

Язык: Английский

Процитировано

0
Predicting the Potential Global Distribution of the Plum Fruit Moth Grapholita funebrana Treitscheke Using Ensemble Models DOI Creative Commons
Mingsheng Yang,

Yiqi Huo,

Lei Wang

и другие.

Insects, Год журнала: 2024, Номер 15(9), С. 663 - 663

Опубликована: Авг. 30, 2024

The plum fruit moth, Grapholita funebrana Treitschke, is one of the most significant borer pests, often causing huge economic losses in production. However, potential distribution range this economically important pest still poorly understood. For study, we simulated an ensemble species model to predict spatiotemporal pattern G. at a global scale. results show that suitable habitats for under current environmental conditions, are mainly distributed Europe; East Asia, including China and Japan; Central Asia; some parts America. In future projections, predicted generally expand northward, while area will remain unchanged overall. highly habitat decrease only 17.49% found conditions. None nine factors used were revealed be predominant predictors terms contributing model, suggesting integrated effects these variables shape funebrana’s distribution. has been predicted, especially regions with habitat, poses high risk outbreaks, highlighting urgency management. Moreover, United States America (USA) Japan (for which distributions not previously recorded), areas monitoring quarantine measures should strengthened prevent colonization further dispersal pest, as seen its close relative molesta, become cosmopolitan species, migrating from native region (East Asia) other continents, Americas.

Язык: Английский

Процитировано

0