MODELAGEM DE NICHO ECOLÓGICO PARA CONSERVAÇÃO DE Manilkara huberi (Ducke) A.Chev. EM CENÁRIOS DE MUDANÇAS CLIMÁTICAS
Nativa,
Год журнала:
2025,
Номер
13(1), С. 144 - 155
Опубликована: Апрель 21, 2025
As
alterações
climáticas
e
atividades
antrópicas
são
fatores
que
reduzem
a
capacidade
de
perpetuação
das
espécies
arbóreas
em
seus
habitats
naturais.
Este
estudo
teve
como
objetivo
avaliar
distribuição
potencial
Manilkara
huberi
para
o
domínio
fitogeográfico
da
Amazônia
no
período
atual
cenários
climáticos
futuros
através
modelagem
nicho
ecológico
usando
variáveis
ambientais.
Foram
utilizadas
33
ambientais,
incluindo
edáficas.
métricas
dos
algoritmos
foram
mensuradas
pela
Área
Sob
Curva,
True
Skill
Statistic,
Índice
Sorensen
Jaccard.
A
análise
perda
aptidão
área
pelo
desmatamento
foi
conduzida
utilizando
dados
acumulados
ao
longo
um
14
anos.
Os
resultados
indicaram
as
populações
naturais
M.
tendem
ser
reduzidas
florestas
disponíveis
estados
Amazônia,
com
menores
prejuízos
Ocidental.
mostraram
também
tem
contribuído
redução
áreas
espécie.
Políticas
conservação
in
situ,
combate
plantios
produção
ex
situ
partir
sementes
selecionadas
matrizes
podem
contribuir
resiliência
espécie
enfrentamento
condições
extremas.
Palavras-chave:
huberi;
árvore
comercial;
florestal;
recursos
genéticos.
Ecological
niche
modeling
for
conservation
of
(Ducke)
A.Chev.
climate
change
scenarios
ABSTRACT:
Climate
and
anthropic
activities
reduce
the
capacity
tree
species
to
perpetuate
their
natural
habitats.
This
study
aimed
evaluate
potential
distribution
phytogeographic
domain
Amazon
current
period
future
through
ecological
using
environmental
variables.
Thirty-three
variables
were
used,
including
climatic
edaphic.
The
Area
measured
metrics
algorithms
under
Curve,
Index,
Jaccard
Index.
analysis
loss
area
fitness
by
deforestation
was
conducted
accumulated
data
over
years.
results
indicated
that
populations
tend
be
reduced
available
forests
states,
except
Western
Amazonia.
showed
has
contributed
reduction
areas
species.
Policies
conservation,
combating
deforestation,
production
plantations
from
seeds
selected
population
matrices
can
contribute
resilience
perpetuation
coping
with
extreme
conditions.
Keywords:
commercial
tree;
forest
species;
genetic
resources.
Declining Boswellia serrata population in Eastern India: The interplay of climate change and socioeconomic influences
Research Square (Research Square),
Год журнала:
2024,
Номер
unknown
Опубликована: Дек. 2, 2024
Abstract
Comprehending
the
impact
of
climate
change
on
species'
habitats
is
essential
for
their
conservation
and
management
strategies.
Climate
causes
plant
to
contract,
resulting
in
population
losses,
habitat
modeling
an
effective
instrument
examining
this.
Nevertheless,
most
studies
have
concentrated
scenarios
depicted
by
Representative
Concentration
Pathways.
Moreover,
these
frequently
need
more
ground
validation
incorporate
phytosociological
assessments
enhance
understanding
dispersal
dynamics.
This
work
addresses
deficiencies
incorporating
comprehensive
field
surveys,
doing
a
assessment
area,
employing
shared
socioeconomic
pathways
(SSPs)
as
proxy
pathways.
We
modeled
potentially
suitable
endangered
medicinal
tree
Boswellia
serrata
Roxb.
ex
Colebr
Jharkhand
state
subtropical
eastern
India.
Employing
Maxent,
we
forecasted
probable
range
B.
both
current
future
scenarios,
specifically
IPSL-CM6A-LR,
MIROC6
MPI-ESM1-2-HR
represented
SSP
126,
245,
370,
585.
The
study
indicated
that
roughly
16,348
km²
(~
20.51%
area)
currently
functions
serrata.
findings
reveal
projected
drop
14.25
15.97%
region's
appropriate
2060.
species
may
face
local
extinction
northeastern
Jharkhand,
it
restricted
northern
region.
substantial
significance
research
practices,
offering
fresh
insights
into
distribution
ecology
pinpointing
priority
regions
efforts.
Язык: Английский
Structural intelligence and strategies for environmental conservation in Brazil: a case study of Serra do Gandarela National Park
MOJ Ecology & Environmental Sciences,
Год журнала:
2024,
Номер
9(6), С. 278 - 285
Опубликована: Янв. 1, 2024
The
Serra
do
Gandarela
National
Park,
a
Fully
Protected
Area
established
in
Brazil
by
Law
No.
9,985
of
July
18,
2014,15
faces
increasing
anthropogenic
pressures
that
threaten
its
biodiversity.
This
research
uses
structural
intelligence
techniques
through
the
use
Landscape
Ecology
metrics,
including
Fragstats
30
software
and
Mapbiomas
data
29
,
to
diagnose
these
suggest
sustainable
alternatives,
such
as
ecotourism.
objectives
this
work
were
diagnose,
metrics
tools,
Park
has
suffered
relation
biodiversity,
propose
solutions
stimulate
studies
for
scientific
community
on
identified
from
engagement
stakeholders,
namely:
Public
Prosecutor's
Office
State
Minas
Gerais,
government
society
general,
among
others.
aim
is
support
academic
community,
officials,
other
stakeholders
general
carrying
out
potential
ecotourism
park's
surroundings
community-based
tourism
an
alternative
mineral
exploration.
Tools
(version
4.2)
maps
information
used
methodology.
Guidelines
Stakeholder
Engagement
Handbook
(BiodivERSA,
2014)
31
also
identify
categorize
stakeholders.
It
was
concluded
study
area
undergoing
ongoing
process
anthropization
with
significant
increase
anthropized
areas,
especially
urbanized
mined
areas.
Thus,
conclusion
great
importance
guiding
public
policies
engaging
managers
conservation
practices.
Язык: Английский