International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health,
Год журнала:
2023,
Номер
20(2), С. 1532 - 1532
Опубликована: Янв. 14, 2023
Heatwaves
occur
frequently
in
summer,
severely
harming
the
natural
environment
and
human
society.
While
a
few
long-term
spatiotemporal
heatwave
studies
have
been
conducted
China
at
grid
scale,
their
shortcomings
involve
discrete
distribution
poor
continuity.
We
used
daily
data
from
691
meteorological
stations
to
obtain
torridity
index
(TI)
(HWI)
datasets
(0.01°)
order
evaluate
of
heatwaves
Chinese
mainland
for
period
1990-2019.
The
results
were
as
follows:
(1)
TI
values
rose
but
with
fluctuations,
largest
increase
occurring
North
July.
areas
hazard
levels
medium
above
accounted
22.16%
total,
mainly
eastern
southern
provinces
China,
South
Tibet,
East
Xinjiang,
Chongqing.
(2)
study
divided
into
four
categories
according
hazards.
"high
rapidly
increasing"
"low
continually
8.71%
41.33%
respectively.
(3)
"ten
furnaces"
top
provincial
capitals
Zhengzhou,
Nanchang,
Wuhan,
Changsha,
Shijiazhuang,
Nanjing,
Hangzhou,
Haikou,
Chongqing,
Hefei.
urbanization
level
population
aging
developed
further
increased,
continuously
increasing
should
be
fully
considered.
Earth System Dynamics,
Год журнала:
2024,
Номер
15(3), С. 589 - 605
Опубликована: Май 3, 2024
Abstract.
The
swift
and
ongoing
rise
of
global
temperatures
over
the
past
decades
led
to
an
increasing
number
climate
variables
showing
statistically
significant
changes
compared
their
pre-industrial
state.
Determining
when
these
signals
emerge
from
noise
internal
variability
(i.e.,
estimating
time
emergence,
ToE)
is
crucial
for
risk
assessments
adaptation
planning.
However,
robustly
disentangling
signal
represents
a
challenging
task.
While
projections
are
communicated
increasingly
frequently
through
warming
levels
(GWLs),
ToE
usually
still
expressed
in
terms
horizons.
Here,
we
present
framework
derive
emergence
(GWLoE)
using
five
single-model
initial-condition
large
ensembles
(SMILEs)
apply
it
four
selected
temperature
precipitation
indices.
We
show
that
concept
GWLoE
particularly
promising
constrain
proves
viable
tool
communicate
scientific
results.
find
>
85
%
population
exposed
emerged
nighttime
at
GWL
1.5
°C,
95
2.0
°C.
Daily
maximum
follows
similar
yet
less
pronounced
path.
Emerged
mean
extreme
start
appearing
current
GWLs
increase
steadily
with
further
(∼
10
°C).
Related
probability
ratios
occurrence
extremes
indicate
strong
widespread
saturation
(extremes
relative
historical
conditions
occur
every
year)
reached
below
2.5
°C
(sub)tropical
regions.
These
results
critical
period
action
as
fraction
additional
substantially
increases
adverse
effects
on
human
wellbeing.
Environmental Research Letters,
Год журнала:
2021,
Номер
17(1), С. 014004 - 014004
Опубликована: Дек. 1, 2021
Abstract
Australian
heatwaves
have
a
significant
impact
on
society.
Most
previous
studies
focus
understanding
them
in
terms
of
frequency,
duration,
intensity,
and
timing.
However,
the
spatial
characteristics
heatwaves,
particularly
those
occurring
contiguous
regions
at
same
time
(here
referred
to
as
heatwaves),
is
still
largely
unexplored.
Here,
we
analyse
changes
Australia
during
1958–2020
using
observational
data.
Our
results
show
that
extremely
large
are
covering
significantly
larger
areas
getting
longer
recent
period
(1989/90–2019/20)
compared
historical
(1958/59–1988/89).
We
also
investigated
association
with
interactions
El
Niño–Southern
Oscillation
(ENSO)
Indian
Ocean
Dipole
(IOD)
multi-member
ensemble
physical
climate
model.
found
areal
magnitude,
total
area,
median
maximum
area
higher
(lower)
strong
Niño
(E
s
),
co-occurring
IOD
positive
-IP
moderate
m
)
(co-occurring
La
Niña
negative
(L
-IN
))
seasons
relative
neutral
(where
both
ENSO
phase).
During
E
,
seasons,
large-scale
mechanisms
characterised
by
anticyclonic
highs
over
southeast
cyclonic
lows
northwest
Australia,
favouring
occurrence
intensification
Australia.
These
provide
insights
into
driving
The
increasing
prevalence
of
warmer
trends
and
climate
extremes
exacerbate
the
population's
exposure
to
urban
settlements.
This
work
investigated
population
changes
mean
extreme
events
in
different
Agro-Ecological
Zones
(AEZs)
Pakistan
associated
mechanisms
(1979-2020).
Spatiotemporal
temperatures
revealed
significant
warming
mainly
over
northern,
northeastern,
southern
AEZs.
In
contrast,
mean-to-extreme
precipitation
showed
non-uniform
patterns
with
a
increase
northeast
Population
(extreme)
temperature
increased
two-fold
during
2000-2020.
AEZs
settlements
(i.e.,
Indus
Delta,
Northern
Irrigated
Plain,
Barani/Rainfall)
show
maximum
about
70-100
×
106
(person-days)
reference
period
(1979-1999),
which
increases
140-200
person-days
recent
(2000-2020).
addition,
highest
days
also
40-200
2000-2020
than
1979-1999
(20-100
106)
person-days.
Relative
are
large
(60%-90%)
for
across
Pakistan,
justifying
spatial
these
zones.
Overall,
observed
primarily
attributed
effect
(50%)
most
except
Plain
R10
R20
events,
where
interaction
takes
lead.
rapidly
major
could
be
more
vulnerable
due
rapid
urbanization
growth
near
future.
International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health,
Год журнала:
2023,
Номер
20(2), С. 1532 - 1532
Опубликована: Янв. 14, 2023
Heatwaves
occur
frequently
in
summer,
severely
harming
the
natural
environment
and
human
society.
While
a
few
long-term
spatiotemporal
heatwave
studies
have
been
conducted
China
at
grid
scale,
their
shortcomings
involve
discrete
distribution
poor
continuity.
We
used
daily
data
from
691
meteorological
stations
to
obtain
torridity
index
(TI)
(HWI)
datasets
(0.01°)
order
evaluate
of
heatwaves
Chinese
mainland
for
period
1990-2019.
The
results
were
as
follows:
(1)
TI
values
rose
but
with
fluctuations,
largest
increase
occurring
North
July.
areas
hazard
levels
medium
above
accounted
22.16%
total,
mainly
eastern
southern
provinces
China,
South
Tibet,
East
Xinjiang,
Chongqing.
(2)
study
divided
into
four
categories
according
hazards.
"high
rapidly
increasing"
"low
continually
8.71%
41.33%
respectively.
(3)
"ten
furnaces"
top
provincial
capitals
Zhengzhou,
Nanchang,
Wuhan,
Changsha,
Shijiazhuang,
Nanjing,
Hangzhou,
Haikou,
Chongqing,
Hefei.
urbanization
level
population
aging
developed
further
increased,
continuously
increasing
should
be
fully
considered.