Climate Change and Human Mobility: Considering Context, Mechanisms, and Selectivity
Population and Development Review,
Год журнала:
2025,
Номер
unknown
Опубликована: Янв. 27, 2025
Abstract
Climate
change
is
projected
to
increase
human
mobility.
Research
links
climate
stressors,
such
as
warming
temperatures,
severe
weather
events,
and
rising
sea
levels,
migration
within
between
countries
in
many
regions
of
the
world.
This
paper
reviews
this
new
frontier
for
research
charts
directions
future
work.
Understanding
mobility,
we
argue,
requires
considering
local
context
identify
mechanisms
(what
impacts)
selectivity
(who
responds).
needs
draw
more
on
existing
theory
deduce
patterns
under
alternative
drivers
mobility
extend
by
how
those
shift
shocks.
also
generalize
from
diverse
findings
documenting
which
are
most
common
contexts.
Язык: Английский
Spatial assessment of current and future migration in response to climate risks in Ghana and Nigeria
Frontiers in Climate,
Год журнала:
2025,
Номер
7
Опубликована: Фев. 26, 2025
West
Africa’s
vulnerability
to
climate
change
is
influenced
by
a
complex
interplay
of
socio-economic
and
environmental
factors,
exacerbated
the
region’s
reliance
on
rain-fed
agriculture.
Climate
variability,
combined
with
rapid
population
growth,
intensifies
existing
challenges.
Migration
has
become
key
adaptive
response
these
challenges,
enabling
communities
diversify
livelihoods
enhance
resilience.
However,
spatial
patterns
migration
in
risks
are
not
fully
understood.
Thus,
study
evaluates
applicability
IPCC
risk
assessment
framework
map
predict
Ghana
Nigeria,
focus
identifying
areas
potential
out-migration.
By
integrating
geospatial
environmental,
socio-economic,
data,
highlights
that
have
higher
likelihood
for
current
baseline
near
future
(2050).
Future
modeled
using
CMIP6
projections
under
RCP4.5
scenario,
while
providing
insight
into
exposure.
The
results
from
compared
actual
migrant
motivations,
ground-level
perspective
drivers.
In
northern
elevated
hazard,
vulnerability,
exposure
scores
suggest
due
overall
faced
population.
This
pattern
projected
persist
future.
responses
indicate
factors
often
play
secondary
role,
cited
more
frequently
as
findings
highlight
importance
developing
localized
adaptation
strategies
address
specific
needs
vulnerable
areas.
Additionally,
management
community
resilience
support
sustainable
pathways
will
be
critical
addressing
climate-induced
Язык: Английский
Putting migration in context: a review of how theory and methods shape climate-induced migration research findings
Frontiers in Climate,
Год журнала:
2025,
Номер
7
Опубликована: Апрель 11, 2025
Widespread
media
reports
that
climate
change
is
driving
international
migration
have
led
to
an
upsurge
in
research
seeking
verify
this
phenomenon.
In
a
methodological
review
of
research,
we
identified
close
3,000
studies
referring
climate-induced
emigration
from
Mesoamerica
and
West
Africa
found
only
102
empirically
evaluate
the
causal
link.
We
analyze
inference
implications
these
studies’
characteristics
how
are
shaped
by
conceptual
framing,
data
sources,
region.
Cluster
analysis
three
groups
based
on
framing–45
largely
ignoring
33
fully
engaging
with
context
decisions
vulnerabilities
those
exposed
change,
24
between.
Studies
were
also
coded
for
they
incorporated
key
features
needed
support
claims.
find
framings,
choice
data,
availability
each
study
region
strongly
influence
prevalence
basic
problems
(e.g.,
mismatched
spatial
temporal
scales,
over-aggregation
lumping
destination
types).
A
feature
‘decontextual’
over-reliance
weather-migration
correlation.
These
approaches
neglect
nexus
surrounding
migration,
which
involves
many
factors
beyond
attached
weather
but
may
co-vary
certain
instances.
Such
analyses
prone
spurious
correlations
fail
address
specifics
who
migrates
face
why.
Язык: Английский
The role of rural circular migration in shaping weather risk management for smallholder farmers in India, Nepal, and Bangladesh
Global Environmental Change,
Год журнала:
2024,
Номер
89, С. 102937 - 102937
Опубликована: Окт. 3, 2024
Язык: Английский
The climate-food-migration nexus: Critical perspectives
Global Food Security,
Год журнала:
2024,
Номер
42, С. 100786 - 100786
Опубликована: Июль 23, 2024
Язык: Английский
Projecting future migration with Bayesian hierarchical gravity models of migration: an application to Africa
Frontiers in Climate,
Год журнала:
2024,
Номер
6
Опубликована: Дек. 9, 2024
In
this
paper,
I
present
and
discuss
a
novel
approach
to
parameterize
gravity
model
of
migration
using
Bayesian
hierarchical
models
with
random
intercepts
that
are
free
vary
by
country
origin,
destination,
directed
origin-destination
pairs.
then
utilize
project
transboundary
flows
between
African
countries
the
horizon
2050.
To
do
so,
use
data
on
projected
future
crop
yields
water
availability
from
ISIMIP2b
scenarios
in
combination
projections
economic
demographic
trends
Shared
Socio-Economic
Pathways
(SSPs).
The
results
indicate
over
period
2010–2050
8
17
millions
people
migrate
internationally
continent.
Yet,
only
small
portion
these
migrants
will
be
induced
move
because
climate
change.
contrary,
comparisons
SSPs
suggests
development
have
far
larger
impact
level
international
continent
than
Язык: Английский