Journal of Hydroinformatics,
Год журнала:
2023,
Номер
25(6), С. 2625 - 2642
Опубликована: Ноя. 1, 2023
Abstract
The
accurate
prediction
of
maximum
erosion
depth
in
riverbeds
is
crucial
for
early
protection
bank
slopes.
In
this
study,
K-means
clustering
analysis
was
used
outlier
identification
and
feature
selection,
resulting
Plan
1
with
six
influential
features.
2
included
features
selected
by
existing
methods.
Regression
models
were
built
using
Support
Vector
Regression,
Random
Forest
(RF
Regression),
eXtreme
Gradient
Boosting
on
sample
data
from
2.
To
enhance
accuracy,
a
Stacking
method
feed-forward
neural
network
introduced
as
the
meta-learner.
Model
performance
evaluated
root
mean
squared
error,
absolute
percentage
R2
coefficients.
results
demonstrate
that
three
outperformed
2,
improvements
values
0.0025,
0.0423,
0.0205,
respectively.
Among
regression
1,
RF
performs
best
an
value
0.9149
but
still
lower
than
0.9389
achieved
fusion
model.
Compared
to
formulas,
model
exhibits
superior
predictive
performance.
This
study
verifies
effectiveness
combining
analysis,
predicting
scour
bends,
providing
novel
approach
design.
Sustainability,
Год журнала:
2023,
Номер
15(16), С. 12295 - 12295
Опубликована: Авг. 11, 2023
Accurate
streamflow
modeling
is
crucial
for
effective
water
resource
management.
This
study
used
five
machine
learning
models
(support
vector
regressor
(SVR),
random
forest
(RF),
M5-pruned
model
(M5P),
multilayer
perceptron
(MLP),
and
linear
regression
(LR))
to
simulate
one-day-ahead
in
the
Pranhita
subbasin
(Godavari
basin),
India,
from
1993
2014.
Input
parameters
were
selected
using
correlation
pairwise
attribution
evaluation
methods,
incorporating
a
two-day
lag
of
streamflow,
maximum
minimum
temperatures,
various
precipitation
datasets
(including
Indian
Meteorological
Department
(IMD),
EC-Earth3,
EC-Earth3-Veg,
MIROC6,
MRI-ESM2-0,
GFDL-ESM4).
Bias-corrected
Coupled
Model
Intercomparison
Project
Phase
6
(CMIP6)
utilized
process.
performance
was
evaluated
Pearson
(R),
Nash–Sutcliffe
efficiency
(NSE),
root
mean
square
error
(RMSE),
coefficient
determination
(R2).
IMD
outperformed
all
CMIP6
modeling,
while
RF
demonstrated
best
among
developed
both
datasets.
During
training
phase,
exhibited
NSE,
R,
R2,
RMSE
values
0.95,
0.979,
0.937,
30.805
m3/s,
respectively,
gridded
as
input.
In
testing
corresponding
0.681,
0.91,
0.828,
41.237
m3/s.
The
results
highlight
significance
advanced
applications,
providing
valuable
insights
management
decision
making.
Water,
Год журнала:
2024,
Номер
16(14), С. 2006 - 2006
Опубликована: Июль 15, 2024
Accurate
streamflow
forecasting
is
crucial
for
effectively
managing
water
resources,
particularly
in
countries
like
Colombia,
where
hydroelectric
power
generation
significantly
contributes
to
the
national
energy
grid.
Although
highly
interpretable,
traditional
deterministic,
physically-driven
models
often
suffer
from
complexity
and
require
extensive
parameterization.
Data-driven
Linear
Autoregressive
(LAR)
Long
Short-Term
Memory
(LSTM)
networks
offer
simplicity
performance
but
cannot
quantify
uncertainty.
This
work
introduces
Sparse
Variational
Gaussian
Processes
(SVGPs)
contributions.
The
proposed
SVGP
model
reduces
computational
compared
Processes,
making
it
scalable
large
datasets.
methodology
employs
optimal
hyperparameters
shared
inducing
points
capture
short-term
long-term
relationships
among
reservoirs.
Training,
validation,
analysis
of
approach
consider
dataset
23
geographically
dispersed
reservoirs
recorded
during
twelve
years
Colombia.
Performance
assessment
reveals
that
proposal
outperforms
baseline
three
key
aspects:
adaptability
changing
dynamics,
provision
informative
confidence
intervals
through
Bayesian
inference,
enhanced
accuracy.
Therefore,
SVGP-based
offers
a
interpretable
solution
multi-output
forecasting,
thereby
contributing
more
effective
resource
management
planning.
Accurate
streamflow
forecasting
is
crucial
for
effectively
managing
water
resources,
particularly
in
countries
like
Colombia,
where
hydroelectric
power
generation
significantly
contributes
to
the
national
energy
grid.
Although
highly
interpretable,
traditional
deterministic,
physically-driven
models
often
suffer
from
complexity
and
require
extensive
parameterization.
Data-driven
Linear
Autoregressive
(LAR)
Long
Short-Term
Memory
(LSTM)
networks
offer
simplicity
performance
but
cannot
quantify
uncertainty.
This
work
introduces
Sparse
Variational
Gaussian
Processes
(SVGPs)
contributions.
The
proposed
SVGP
model
reduces
computational
compared
Processes,
making
it
scalable
large
datasets.
methodology
employs
optimal
hyperparameters
shared
inducing
points
capture
short-term
long-term
relationships
among
reservoirs.
Training,
validation,
analysis
of
approach
consider
dataset
23
geographically
dispersed
reservoirs
recorded
during
twelve
years
Colombia.
Performance
assessment
reveals
that
proposal
outperforms
baseline
three
key
aspects:
adaptability
changing
dynamics,
provision
informative
confidence
intervals
through
Bayesian
inference,
enhanced
accuracy.
Therefore,
SVGP-based
offers
a
interpretable
solution
multi-output
forecasting,
thereby
contributing
more
effective
resource
management
planning.
Journal of Hydroinformatics,
Год журнала:
2023,
Номер
25(6), С. 2625 - 2642
Опубликована: Ноя. 1, 2023
Abstract
The
accurate
prediction
of
maximum
erosion
depth
in
riverbeds
is
crucial
for
early
protection
bank
slopes.
In
this
study,
K-means
clustering
analysis
was
used
outlier
identification
and
feature
selection,
resulting
Plan
1
with
six
influential
features.
2
included
features
selected
by
existing
methods.
Regression
models
were
built
using
Support
Vector
Regression,
Random
Forest
(RF
Regression),
eXtreme
Gradient
Boosting
on
sample
data
from
2.
To
enhance
accuracy,
a
Stacking
method
feed-forward
neural
network
introduced
as
the
meta-learner.
Model
performance
evaluated
root
mean
squared
error,
absolute
percentage
R2
coefficients.
results
demonstrate
that
three
outperformed
2,
improvements
values
0.0025,
0.0423,
0.0205,
respectively.
Among
regression
1,
RF
performs
best
an
value
0.9149
but
still
lower
than
0.9389
achieved
fusion
model.
Compared
to
formulas,
model
exhibits
superior
predictive
performance.
This
study
verifies
effectiveness
combining
analysis,
predicting
scour
bends,
providing
novel
approach
design.