Global Change Biology,
Год журнала:
2019,
Номер
26(4), С. 2120 - 2133
Опубликована: Дек. 28, 2019
In
light
of
rapid
environmental
change,
quantifying
the
contribution
regional-
and
local-scale
drivers
coral
persistence
is
necessary
to
characterize
fully
resilience
reef
systems.
To
assess
multiscale
responses
thermal
perturbation
corals
in
Coral
Triangle
(CT),
we
developed
a
spatially
explicit
metacommunity
model
with
coral-algal
competition,
including
seasonal
larval
dispersal
external
spatiotemporal
forcing.
We
tested
sensitivity
2,083
reefs
across
CT
region
surrounding
areas
under
potential
future
temperature
regimes,
without
interannual
climate
variability,
exploring
range
0.5-2.0°C
overall
increase
system
by
2054.
found
that
among
projections,
survival
probability
mean
percent
cover
over
time
were
largely
determined
presence
or
absence
sea
surface
(SST)
extremes
as
well
absolute
increase.
Overall,
experienced
SST
series
filtered
remove
variability
had
approximately
double
chance
than
subjected
unfiltered
SST.
By
end
forecast
period,
inclusion
anomalies
was
equivalent
an
at
least
0.5°C
projections
anomalies.
Change
varied
widely
within
scenarios,
some
experiencing
local
extinction
while
others
remaining
relatively
unchanged.
Sink
strength
current
stress
threshold
be
significant
these
patterns,
highlighting
importance
processes
underlie
connectivity
bleaching
networks.
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences,
Год журнала:
2021,
Номер
118(21)
Опубликована: Май 10, 2021
Significance
The
growth
of
coral
reefs
is
threatened
by
the
dual
stressors
ocean
warming
and
acidification.
Despite
a
wealth
studies
assessing
impacts
climate
change
on
individual
taxa,
projections
their
reef
net
carbonate
production
are
limited.
By
projecting
across
233
different
locations,
we
demonstrate
that
majority
will
be
unable
to
maintain
positive
globally
year
2100
under
representative
concentration
pathways
RCP4.5
8.5,
while
even
RCP2.6,
suffer
reduced
accretion
rates.
Our
results
provide
quantitative
how
influence
whole
ecosystem
in
all
major
basins.
Global Change Biology,
Год журнала:
2019,
Номер
25(10), С. 3201 - 3214
Опубликована: Июнь 14, 2019
Abstract
Climate
change
refugia
in
the
terrestrial
biosphere
are
areas
where
species
protected
from
global
environmental
and
arise
natural
heterogeneity
landscapes
climate.
Within
marine
realm,
ocean
acidification,
or
decline
seawater
pH,
remains
a
pervasive
threat
to
organisms
ecosystems.
Natural
variability
carbon
dioxide
(CO
2
)
chemistry,
however,
presents
an
opportunity
identify
acidification
(OAR)
for
species.
Here,
we
review
literature
examine
impacts
of
variable
CO
chemistry
on
biological
responses
develop
framework
definitions
criteria
that
connects
current
OAR
research
management
goals.
Under
concept
managing
vulnerability,
most
likely
mechanisms
by
which
can
mitigate
reducing
exposure
harmful
conditions
enhancing
adaptive
capacity.
While
local
options,
such
as
OAR,
show
some
promise,
they
present
unique
challenges,
anthropogenic
emissions
must
remain
priority.
Global Change Biology,
Год журнала:
2019,
Номер
26(1), С. 80 - 102
Опубликована: Окт. 31, 2019
Abstract
Although
cross
generation
(CGP)
and
multigenerational
(MGP)
plasticity
have
been
identified
as
mechanisms
of
acclimation
to
global
change,
the
weight
evidence
indicates
that
parental
conditioning
over
generations
is
not
a
panacea
rescue
stress
sensitivity
in
offspring.
For
many
species,
there
were
no
benefits
conditioning.
Even
when
improved
performance
was
observed,
this
waned
time
within
or
across
fitness
declined.
CGP
MGP
studies
resilient
species
with
tolerant
genotypes
wild
populations
selected
family
lines.
Several
bivalves
possess
favourable
tolerance
phenotypically
plastic
traits
potentially
associated
genetic
adaptation
life
habitats
where
they
routinely
experience
temperature
and/or
acidification
stress.
These
will
be
important
help
‘climate
proof’
shellfish
ventures.
Species
are
naturally
those
broad
range
environmental
conditions
good
candidates
provide
insights
into
physiological
molecular
involved
MGP.
It
challenging
conduct
ecologically
relevant
change
experiments
long
times
commensurate
pace
changing
climate.
As
result,
present
stressors
shock‐type
exposure
at
rates
much
faster
than
projected
scenarios.
With
more
gradual
stressor
introduction
longer
experimental
durations
context
currently
acclimatized
adapted
to,
outcomes
for
sensitive
might
differ.
We
highlight
importance
understand
primordial
germ
cell
development
timing
gametogenesis
respect
exposure.
appears
limited
universal
tool
face
climate,
natural
proxies
future
(upwelling
zones,
CO
2
vents,
warm
habitats)
show
phenotypic
adjustment
beneficial
selection
possible
some
indicating
complex
plasticity–adaptation
interactions.
Global Change Biology,
Год журнала:
2019,
Номер
26(1), С. 54 - 67
Опубликована: Ноя. 19, 2019
Abstract
The
environmental
conditions
in
the
ocean
have
long
been
considered
relatively
more
stable
through
time
compared
to
on
land.
Advances
sensing
technologies,
however,
are
increasingly
revealing
substantial
fluctuations
abiotic
factors
over
ecologically
and
evolutionarily
relevant
timescales
ocean,
leading
a
growing
recognition
of
dynamism
marine
environment
as
well
new
questions
about
how
this
may
influence
species'
vulnerability
global
change.
In
some
instances,
diurnal
or
seasonal
variability
major
change
drivers,
such
temperature,
pH
seawater
carbonate
chemistry,
dissolved
oxygen,
can
exceed
changes
expected
with
continued
anthropogenic
While
biologists
begun
experimentally
test
mediates
responses
mean,
extensive
literature
adaptations
temporal
their
implications
for
evolutionary
has
not
integrated
into
field.
Here,
we
review
physiological
mechanisms
underlying
p
CO
2
/pH
(and
other
parameters),
discuss
what
is
known
behavioral,
plastic,
strategies
dealing
variable
environments.
addition,
exposure
mean
highlight
key
research
needs
biology.
PLoS ONE,
Год журнала:
2018,
Номер
13(1), С. e0190872 - e0190872
Опубликована: Янв. 9, 2018
Worldwide,
coral
reef
ecosystems
are
experiencing
increasing
pressure
from
a
variety
of
anthropogenic
perturbations
including
ocean
warming
and
acidification,
increased
sedimentation,
eutrophication,
overfishing,
which
could
shift
reefs
to
condition
net
calcium
carbonate
(CaCO3)
dissolution
erosion.
Herein,
we
determine
the
calcification
potential
relative
balance
organic
carbon
metabolism
(net
community
production;
NCP)
inorganic
calcification;
NCC)
within
23
locations
across
globe.
In
light
these
results,
consider
suitability
using
two
metrics
developed
total
alkalinity
(TA)
dissolved
(DIC)
measurements
collected
on
different
spatiotemporal
scales
monitor
biogeochemistry
under
change.
All
in
this
study
were
calcifying
for
majority
observations
as
inferred
depletion
offshore,
although
occasional
occurred
at
most
locations.
However,
with
lower
(i.e.,
TA
depletion)
towards
sooner
than
higher
potential.
The
percent
influence
fluxes
changes
NCP
compared
sum
ranged
32%
88%
reflected
inherent
biogeochemical
differences
between
reefs.
Reefs
largest
percentage
experienced
variability
seawater
pH
given
change
DIC,
is
directly
related
ability
elevate
or
suppress
local
open
ocean.
This
work
highlights
value
measuring
chemistry
when
evaluating
their
susceptibility
ongoing
global
environmental
offers
baseline
guide
future
conservation
efforts
aimed
preserving
valuable
ecosystems.
Proceedings of the Royal Society B Biological Sciences,
Год журнала:
2018,
Номер
285(1884), С. 20181168 - 20181168
Опубликована: Авг. 8, 2018
Ocean
acidification
is
a
threat
to
the
continued
accretion
of
coral
reefs,
though
some
undergo
daily
fluctuations
in
pH
exceeding
declines
predicted
by
2100.
We
test
whether
exposure
greater
variability
enhances
resistance
ocean
for
Goniopora
sp.
and
coralline
alga
Hydrolithon
reinboldii
from
two
sites:
one
with
low
(less
than
0.15
units
daily;
Shell
Island)
site
high
(up
1.4
Tallon
Island).
grew
populations
both
species
more
100
days
under
combination
differing
(high/low)
means
(ambient
8.05/ocean
7.65).
Calcification
rates
were
unaffected
examined
variables.
H.
significantly
faster
Island
individuals,
individuals
calcified
8.05
treatment
compared
all
others.
Geochemical
proxies
carbonate
chemistry
within
calcifying
fluid
(cf)
indicated
that
only
mean
seawater
influenced
cf
.
treatments
had
no
effect
on
Ω
These
limited
responses
extreme
demonstrate
taxa
may
be
capable
maintaining
constant
calcification
actively
modifying
Biogeosciences,
Год журнала:
2020,
Номер
17(18), С. 4633 - 4662
Опубликована: Сен. 25, 2020
Abstract.
Ocean
acidity
extreme
events
are
short-term
periods
of
relatively
high
[H+]
concentrations.
The
uptake
anthropogenic
CO2
emissions
by
the
ocean
is
expected
to
lead
more
frequent
and
intense
events,
not
only
due
changes
in
long-term
mean
but
also
variability.
Here,
we
use
daily
output
from
a
five-member
ensemble
simulation
comprehensive
Earth
system
model
under
low-
high-CO2-emission
scenarios
quantify
historical
future
events.
When
defining
extremes
relative
fixed
preindustrial
baseline,
projected
increase
causes
entire
surface
reach
near-permanent
state
2030
both
scenarios.
shifting
baseline
(i.e.,
neglecting
[H+]),
because
simulated
variability;
e.g.,
number
days
with
extremely
conditions
factor
14
end
21st
century
scenario
levels.
Furthermore,
duration
individual
triple,
maximal
intensity
volume
extent
upper
200
m
quintuple.
Similar
thermocline.
Under
low-emission
scenario,
increases
extreme-event
characteristics
substantially
reduced.
At
surface,
variability
mainly
driven
seasonality,
whereas
thermocline
influenced
interannual
Increases
arise
predominantly
sensitivity
variations
its
drivers
carbon,
alkalinity,
temperature)
oceanic
carbon.
may
enhance
risk
detrimental
impacts
on
marine
organisms,
especially
for
those
that
adapted
stable
environment.
Nature Communications,
Год журнала:
2019,
Номер
10(1)
Опубликована: Сен. 17, 2019
Abstract
Naturally
heat-resistant
coral
populations
hold
significant
potential
for
facilitating
reef
survival
under
rapid
climate
change.
However,
it
remains
poorly
understood
whether
they
can
acclimatize
to
ocean
warming
when
superimposed
on
their
already
thermally-extreme
habitats.
Furthermore,
is
unknown
maintain
heat
tolerance
upon
larval
dispersal
or
translocation
cooler
reefs.
We
test
this
in
a
long-term
mesocosm
experiment
using
stress-resistant
corals
from
reefs
NW
Australia.
show
that
these
have
remarkable
ability
and
health
despite
acclimation
3–6
°C
cooler,
more
stable
temperatures
over
9
months.
are
unable
increase
bleaching
thresholds
after
6-months
+
1
warming.
This
apparent
rigidity
the
thermal
of
even
highlights
increasing
vulnerability
warming,
but
provides
rationale
human-assisted
migration
restore
degraded
with