Sustainability, Год журнала: 2025, Номер 17(7), С. 3072 - 3072

Опубликована: Март 31, 2025

Carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions are a central issue in the conflict between economic development and environmental protection. Optimizing land use to balance conservation plays crucial role reducing carbon emissions. The transfer of rights (TDR), as an emerging market-based policy tool, can effectively achieve “win-win” situation conservation. However, its empirical impact on emission reduction remains insufficiently explored. This study focuses Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region China. It constructs four scenarios—nature, development, protection, TDR—using PLUS model. These scenarios combined with 2030 projections energy consumption socio-economic generated by Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) network evaluated using factor method. results indicate that both urban–rural cross-regional transfers construction positively contribute emissions, their combination yields most significant benefits. TDR scenario protect ecological environment while controlling scale space. With level 77.9 million tonnes, it serves rational choice for regional use. contributes advancing theory practice low-carbon optimizing resource allocation

Язык: Английский