Landslide Hazard and Rainfall Threshold Assessment: Incorporating Shallow and Deep-Seated Failure Mechanisms with Physics-Based Models DOI Creative Commons
Roberto J. Marín,

Julián Camilo Marín-Sánchez,

José Mira

и другие.

Geosciences, Год журнала: 2024, Номер 14(10), С. 280 - 280

Опубликована: Окт. 21, 2024

Landslides pose a significant threat worldwide, leading to numerous fatalities and severe economic losses. The city of Manizales, located in the Colombian Andes, is particularly vulnerable due its steep topography permeable volcanic ash-derived soils. This study aims assess landslide hazards Manizales by integrating shallow planar deep-seated circular failure mechanisms using physics-based models (TRIGRS Scoops3D). By combining hazard zonation maps with rainfall thresholds calibrated through historical data, we provide refined approach for early warning systems (EWS) region. Our results underscore significance maps, which combine scenarios. categorizing urban areas into high, medium, low-risk zones, offer practical framework planning. Moreover, developed warning, simplifying their application while aiming enhance regional predictive accuracy. comprehensive equips local authorities essential tools mitigate risks, refine zoning, strengthen systems, promoting safer development Andean region beyond, as methods used are well-established implemented globally.

Язык: Английский

Landslide susceptibility assessment of the Wanzhou district: Merging landslide susceptibility modelling (LSM) with InSAR-derived ground deformation map DOI Creative Commons
Chao Zhou, Lulu Gan, Ying Cao

и другие.

International Journal of Applied Earth Observation and Geoinformation, Год журнала: 2025, Номер 136, С. 104365 - 104365

Опубликована: Янв. 18, 2025

Язык: Английский

Процитировано

1

Overcoming the data limitations in landslide susceptibility modeling DOI Creative Commons
Jacob Woodard, Benjamin B. Mirus

Science Advances, Год журнала: 2025, Номер 11(8)

Опубликована: Фев. 21, 2025

Data-driven models widely used for assessing landslide susceptibility are severely limited by the and environmental data needed to create them. They rely on inventories of past locations, which difficult collect often nonrepresentative. Furthermore, maps most in regions without means assemble an inventory. To overcome these challenges, we develop a method shallow based probabilistic morphometric analysis landscape's topography, rather than characteristics landslides. The model assumes that hillslopes with higher relief gradient compared surrounding landscape more prone We demonstrate superior performance this approach over contrasting data-driven across northwestern United States. As our only requires elevation data, it overcomes major limitations facilitates creation effective areas where was previously unfeasible.

Язык: Английский

Процитировано

1

Functional Regression for Space‐Time Prediction of Precipitation‐Induced Shallow Landslides in South Tyrol, Italy DOI Creative Commons
Mateo Moreno, Luigi Lombardo, Stefan Steger

и другие.

Journal of Geophysical Research Earth Surface, Год журнала: 2025, Номер 130(4)

Опубликована: Апрель 1, 2025

Abstract Landslides are geomorphic hazards in mountainous terrains across the globe, driven by a complex interplay of static and dynamic controls. Data‐driven approaches have been employed to assess landslide occurrence at regional scales analyzing spatial aspects time‐varying conditions separately. However, joint assessment landslides space time remains challenging. This study aims predict precipitation‐induced shallow within Italian province South Tyrol (7,400 km 2 ). We introduce functional predictor framework where precipitation is represented as continuous series, contrast conventional that treat scalar predictor. Using hourly data past occurrences from 2012 2021, we implemented generalized additive model derive statistical relationships between occurrence, various factors, preceding evaluated resulting predictions through several cross‐validation routines, yielding performance scores frequently exceeding 0.90. To demonstrate predictive capabilities, performed hindcast for storm event Passeier Valley on 4–5 August 2016, capturing observed locations illustrating evolution predicted probabilities. Compared standard early warning approaches, this eliminates need predefine fixed windows aggregation while inherently accounting lagged effects. By integrating controls, research advances prediction large areas, addressing seasonal effects underlying limitations.

Язык: Английский

Процитировано

0

Landslide Susceptibility Mapping Considering Landslide Spatial Aggregation Using the Dual-Frequency Ratio Method: A Case Study on the Middle Reaches of the Tarim River Basin DOI Creative Commons
Xuetao Yi, Yanjun Shang,

Shichuan Liang

и другие.

Remote Sensing, Год журнала: 2025, Номер 17(3), С. 381 - 381

Опубликована: Янв. 23, 2025

The phenomenon of landslide spatial aggregation is widespread in nature, which can affect the result susceptibility prediction (LSP). In order to eliminate uncertainty caused by an LSP study, researchers have put forward some techniques quantify degree aggregation, including class index (LAI), widely used. However, due limitations existing LAI method, it still uncertain when applied study area with complex engineering geological conditions. Considering a new dual-frequency ratio (DFR), was proposed establish association between occurrence landslides and twelve predisposing factors (i.e., slope, aspect, elevation, relief amplitude, rock group, fault density, river average annual rainfall, NDVI, distance road, quarry density hydropower station density). And DFR improved used form frequency ratio. Taking middle reaches Tarim River Basin as area, application method verified. Meanwhile, four models were adopted calculate indexes (LSIs) this (FR), analytic hierarchy process (AHP), logistic regression (LR) random forest (RF). Finally, receiver operating characteristic curves (ROCs) distribution patterns LSIs assess each model’s performance. results showed that could reduce adverse effect on better enhance Additionally, LR RF had superior performance, among DFR-RF model highest accuracy value, quite reliable LSIs.

Язык: Английский

Процитировано

0

Relationship between continuous or discontinuous of controlling factors and landslide susceptibility in the high-cold mountainous areas, China DOI Creative Commons
Heping Shu, Shi Qi, Xingrong Liu

и другие.

Ecological Indicators, Год журнала: 2025, Номер 172, С. 113313 - 113313

Опубликована: Март 1, 2025

Язык: Английский

Процитировано

0

Factors controlling the formation and movement of clustered shallow landslides triggered by the extreme rainstorm in July 2023 in Beijing, China DOI
Hao Ma, Fawu Wang

Geomorphology, Год журнала: 2025, Номер unknown, С. 109728 - 109728

Опубликована: Март 1, 2025

Язык: Английский

Процитировано

0

Landslide Hazard and Rainfall Threshold Assessment: Incorporating Shallow and Deep-Seated Failure Mechanisms with Physics-Based Models DOI Creative Commons
Roberto J. Marín,

Julián Camilo Marín-Sánchez,

José Mira

и другие.

Geosciences, Год журнала: 2024, Номер 14(10), С. 280 - 280

Опубликована: Окт. 21, 2024

Landslides pose a significant threat worldwide, leading to numerous fatalities and severe economic losses. The city of Manizales, located in the Colombian Andes, is particularly vulnerable due its steep topography permeable volcanic ash-derived soils. This study aims assess landslide hazards Manizales by integrating shallow planar deep-seated circular failure mechanisms using physics-based models (TRIGRS Scoops3D). By combining hazard zonation maps with rainfall thresholds calibrated through historical data, we provide refined approach for early warning systems (EWS) region. Our results underscore significance maps, which combine scenarios. categorizing urban areas into high, medium, low-risk zones, offer practical framework planning. Moreover, developed warning, simplifying their application while aiming enhance regional predictive accuracy. comprehensive equips local authorities essential tools mitigate risks, refine zoning, strengthen systems, promoting safer development Andean region beyond, as methods used are well-established implemented globally.

Язык: Английский

Процитировано

0