Rising Temperatures, Falling Leaves: Predicting the Fate of Cyprus’s Endemic Oak under Climate and Land Use Change DOI Creative Commons
Konstantinos Kougioumoutzis, Ioannis Constantinou, Maria Panitsa

и другие.

Plants, Год журнала: 2024, Номер 13(8), С. 1109 - 1109

Опубликована: Апрель 16, 2024

Endemic island species face heightened extinction risk from climate-driven shifts, yet standard models often underestimate threat levels for those like Quercus alnifolia, an iconic Cypriot oak with pre-adaptations to aridity. Through distribution modelling, we investigated the potential shifts in its under future climate and land-use change scenarios. Our approach uniquely combines dispersal constraints, detailed soil characteristics, hydrological factors, anticipated erosion data, offering a comprehensive assessment of environmental suitability. We quantified species’ sensitivity, exposure, vulnerability projected changes, conducting preliminary IUCN according Criteria A B. projections uniformly predict range reductions, median decrease 67.8% by 2070s most extreme Additionally, our research indicates alnifolia’s resilience diverse conditions preference relatively dry climates within specific annual temperature range. The designates alnifolia as Critically Endangered future, highlighting need focused conservation efforts. Climate changes are critical threats survival, emphasising importance modelling techniques urgent requirement dedicated measures safeguard this species.

Язык: Английский

Population dynamics, threat assessment, and conservation strategies for critically endangered Meconopsis aculeata in alpine zone DOI Creative Commons
Muhammad Manzoor, Mushtaq Ahmad,

Syed Waseem Gillani

и другие.

BMC Plant Biology, Год журнала: 2025, Номер 25(1)

Опубликована: Март 19, 2025

The Himalayan alpine zone harbors a rich diversity of endemic medicinal plant species, such as Meconopsis aculeata, due to its habitat heterogeneity. Globally, environments are most significantly affected by climate change, characterized low temperatures and restricted growing seasons, offering essential services yet remaining vulnerable. M. aculeata holds immense ecological significance in ecosystems, while human disturbances change pose serious threats long-term viability. present study was conducted explore population ecology, spatial distribution patterns, significant threats, patterns along elevational gradients, future conservation strategies for the dwindling populations aculeata. Field sampling carried out from 2022 2024 various districts Kashmir examine vegetation characteristics populations, with geographic variables impacting these populations. quadrat method used investigate across an extensive gradient, ranging 3000 m 4600 m. Healthier were found middle range 3700 4100 SIMPER analysis revealed overall average dissimilarity 80.08, indicating variability species composition studied sites. GIS showed that on north aspect, steppe slope rocky habitat. herb density calculated be 20.6/ha, 60% sampled sites experienced intense grazing. A total 20 indicator identified associated Mantel tests key influencing structure Aconitum heterophyllum (R = 0.7954, P 0.003) critical followed Anaphalis nepalensis 0.6564, 0.034), Bistorta affinis 0.522, 0.044). CCA NTFP extraction, grazing fire sustainability Alpha results highlight altitudinal influences metrics Beta indicate Site 8 exhibited substantial differences compared other sites, Sites 1 9 highlighted heterogeneity within As this is already classified critically endangered we recommend implementing effective measures restoration, sustainable harvesting practices, involving local communities, promoting stewardship. These initiatives will encourage management region. Not applicable.

Язык: Английский

Процитировано

0
Multi-species habitat suitability models to enhance oak species regeneration in the lower mississippi alluvial valley DOI
Segun M. Adeyemo, Joshua J. Granger, Ashley N. Schulz

и другие.

Forest Ecology and Management, Год журнала: 2025, Номер 585, С. 122658 - 122658

Опубликована: Март 21, 2025

Язык: Английский

Процитировано

0
Advancements in ecological niche models for forest adaptation to climate change: a comprehensive review DOI Creative Commons
Wenhuan Xu, Dawei Luo, Kate Peterson

и другие.

Biological reviews/Biological reviews of the Cambridge Philosophical Society, Год журнала: 2025, Номер unknown

Опубликована: Апрель 3, 2025

ABSTRACT Climate change poses significant challenges to the health and functions of forest ecosystems. Ecological niche models have emerged as crucial tools for understanding impact climate on forests at population, species, ecosystem levels. These also play a pivotal role in developing adaptive conservation management strategies. Recent advancements model development led enhanced prediction accuracy broadened applications models, driven using high‐quality data, improved algorithms, application landscape genomic information. In this review, we start by elucidating concept rationale behind context forestry adaptation change. We then provide an overview occurrence‐based, trait‐based, genomics‐based contributing more comprehensive species responses addition, summarize findings from 338 studies highlight progress made tree including data sources, future scenarios used diverse applications. To assist researchers practitioners, exemplar set accompanying source code tutorial, demonstrating integration population genetics into models. This paper aims concise yet continuous refinements serving valuable resource effectively addressing posed changing climate.

Язык: Английский

Процитировано

0
Impact of climate change on the future distribution of three Ferulago species in Iran using the MaxEnt model DOI
Nasser Hosseini, Hossein Mostafavi, Seyed Mohammad Moein Sadeghi

и другие.

Integrated Environmental Assessment and Management, Год журнала: 2024, Номер 20(4), С. 1046 - 1059

Опубликована: Фев. 9, 2024

Abstract The decline of habitats supporting medicinal plants is a consequence climate change and human activities. In the Middle East, Ferulago angulata , carduchorum phialocarpa are widely recognized for their culinary, medicinal, economic value. Therefore, this study models these species in Iran using MaxEnt model under two representative concentration pathways (RCP4.5 RCP8.5) 2050 2070. objective was to identify most important bioclimatic ( n = 6), edaphic 4), topographic 3) variables influencing distribution predict changes various scenarios. Findings reveal slope percentage as significant variable F. while solar radiation primary . modeling demonstrated good excellent performance, indicated by all area curve values exceeding 0.85. Projections suggest negative (i.e., predictions RCP4.5 2070 indicate −34.0% −37.8% −0.3% −6.2% ; additionally, RCP 8.5 show −39.0% −52.2% −1.33% −9.8% ), potential habitat increase 23.4% 11.2%, 64.4% 42.1%) anticipated. These insights guide adaptive management strategies, emphasizing conservation sustainable use amid global change. Special attention should be paid due anticipated loss. Integr Environ Assess Manag 2024;20:1046–1059. © 2024 SETAC

Язык: Английский

Процитировано

3
Rising Temperatures, Falling Leaves: Predicting the Fate of Cyprus’s Endemic Oak under Climate and Land Use Change DOI Creative Commons
Konstantinos Kougioumoutzis, Ioannis Constantinou, Maria Panitsa

и другие.

Plants, Год журнала: 2024, Номер 13(8), С. 1109 - 1109

Опубликована: Апрель 16, 2024

Endemic island species face heightened extinction risk from climate-driven shifts, yet standard models often underestimate threat levels for those like Quercus alnifolia, an iconic Cypriot oak with pre-adaptations to aridity. Through distribution modelling, we investigated the potential shifts in its under future climate and land-use change scenarios. Our approach uniquely combines dispersal constraints, detailed soil characteristics, hydrological factors, anticipated erosion data, offering a comprehensive assessment of environmental suitability. We quantified species’ sensitivity, exposure, vulnerability projected changes, conducting preliminary IUCN according Criteria A B. projections uniformly predict range reductions, median decrease 67.8% by 2070s most extreme Additionally, our research indicates alnifolia’s resilience diverse conditions preference relatively dry climates within specific annual temperature range. The designates alnifolia as Critically Endangered future, highlighting need focused conservation efforts. Climate changes are critical threats survival, emphasising importance modelling techniques urgent requirement dedicated measures safeguard this species.

Язык: Английский

Процитировано

3