
Research Square (Research Square), Год журнала: 2024, Номер unknown
Опубликована: Апрель 11, 2024
Язык: Английский
Research Square (Research Square), Год журнала: 2024, Номер unknown
Опубликована: Апрель 11, 2024
Язык: Английский
Ecological Informatics, Год журнала: 2024, Номер 81, С. 102656 - 102656
Опубликована: Май 29, 2024
Язык: Английский
Процитировано
8Journal of Fungi, Год журнала: 2024, Номер 10(1), С. 38 - 38
Опубликована: Янв. 3, 2024
The plant pathogenic fungus Cytospora is notoriously known for causing woody canker diseases, resulting in substantial economic losses to biological forests and fruit trees worldwide. Despite their strong negative ecological impact, the existing prospective distribution patterns of these pathogens China, according climate change, have received little attention. In this study, we chose three widely dispersed seriously damaging species, namely, chrysosperma, mali, nivea, which are most common species that damage Juglans regia, Malus domestica, Eucalyptus, Pyrus sinkiangensis, Populus spp., Salix spp. China. We utilized niche modeling forecast regional China under four change scenarios (present, SSP 126, 370, 585). results show temperature-related factors limit current ranges species. Currently, studied highly suitable northeast, northwest, north, southwest Under future scenarios, projected increase, centers adequate areas expected shift high-latitude regions. coexist primarily northwest north niches C. chrysosperma nivea more similar. range mali can reach warmer wetter eastern region, whereas found drought-prone with rainfall. Our findings help farmers planners develop methods avoid spread calculate costs applying pesticides reduce contamination boost yields.
Язык: Английский
Процитировано
3Global Ecology and Conservation, Год журнала: 2025, Номер unknown, С. e03414 - e03414
Опубликована: Янв. 1, 2025
Язык: Английский
Процитировано
0Ecology and Evolution, Год журнала: 2025, Номер 15(1)
Опубликована: Янв. 1, 2025
Estimating the impacts of anthropogenic activities and climate change on species' spatial distributions is crucial for conservation. In this study, based 62 valid occurrence records Sphenomorphus incognitus 24 environmental factors (19 factors, 4 topographic 1 human activity factor), we utilized biomod2 combined model platform to predict suitable habitats S. under two current scenarios (Scenario 1: natural state; Scenario 2: interference state) future (SSP1-2.6 SSP5-8.5) in 2050s 2090s. The mean true skill statistic (TSS) area receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) suggested that ensemble yield more precise predictions than those individual models. Rainfall slope were identified as most important influencing distribution. Human disturbance has significantly reduced habitat by 44.13 × 104 km2, which a decrease 23.95% compared conditions. Spatial analysis revealed substantial fragmentation due activities. incorporation into exhibits divergent trends. Two distinct have been identified, each results reduction region 29.58 km2 an increase 27.04 respectively, year 2090. primary influence persists centroid shifted toward southeast SSP1-2.6 northwest SSP5-8.5. Our findings highlight significant impact emphasize need conservation measures. Future research should incorporate additional socioeconomic data further investigate effects species.
Язык: Английский
Процитировано
0Global Change Biology, Год журнала: 2025, Номер 31(4)
Опубликована: Апрель 1, 2025
ABSTRACT Climate change and escalating land‐use transformations pose a significant threat to global biodiversity by disrupting natural habitats. The Asiatic wild ass ( Equus hemionus ), near‐threatened species, faces various pressures across its Asian range. This study employs niche modeling approach assess suitable habitats for the at both population sub‐population levels. analysis integrates impacts of climate scenarios land use three temporal periods: past, present, future. To investigate uncertainty models habitat, we used two models, CMIP5 CMIP6, Niche overlap were developed examine patterns similarity among sub‐populations. results demonstrate severe decline in habitat area number viable patches all Projections reveal that Mongolian Indian endure highest levels isolation loss, alongside extinct Syrian ass. Sub‐population often predict larger distributions compared using same inputs. outputs indicate underscoring necessity accounting ecological conservation perspectives understand species distribution dynamics. Our highlights need consider assessments. These provide essential guidance strategies identifying sites reintroduction. Identifying as refuges large herbivores amidst changes fluctuations is crucial. Incorporating these into planning imperative preserving biodiversity.
Язык: Английский
Процитировано
0Scientific Reports, Год журнала: 2025, Номер 15(1)
Опубликована: Май 2, 2025
Human-wildlife conflict (HWC) represent a significant global issue, leading to economic losses for humans due the destruction of agricultural products and livestock. This study was conducted in southeastern Iran with two primary objectives: identify major environmental variables influencing spatial risk modeling pinpoint patches hotspots damage caused by Indian crested porcupine (ICP) this region. An ensemble technique used evaluate ICP, drawing on 111 independent records nine factors. The findings indicated that distance villages, orchard density, cropland Normalized Difference Vegetation Index emerged as most crop from ICP Nine patches, comprising approximately 8% area, were identified attributed ICP. three largest located west accounted 80% all predicted Additionally, clustered western part area. Conservation areas covered about 2.4% damage, respectively. Urgent attention is needed reduce human-ICP conflicts patches. We strongly recommend implementing fencing around cultivated lands individual tree trunks, well enhancing local knowledge insurance products, mitigate
Язык: Английский
Процитировано
0Scientific Reports, Год журнала: 2024, Номер 14(1)
Опубликована: Сен. 5, 2024
Язык: Английский
Процитировано
2Ecological Informatics, Год журнала: 2024, Номер 85, С. 102941 - 102941
Опубликована: Дек. 8, 2024
Язык: Английский
Процитировано
2Global Ecology and Conservation, Год журнала: 2023, Номер 48, С. e02696 - e02696
Опубликована: Окт. 20, 2023
Desertification alters wildlife distribution by reducing vegetation and water resources that are associated with habitat availability quality. Therefore, in anticipation of these impacts from desertification, it is particularly important to understand compare drivers connectivity change for different species order identify those have the highest conservation concerns needs. Many Iran expected experience substantial changes their as two-thirds country show a high potential desertification. Among species, Rüppell's fox (Vulpes rueppellii) sand cat (Felis margarita) two least known occur sympatrically desert semi-desert ecosystems. Here, we assessed baseline conditions, environmental factors affect conditions species. We found cat's was spatially patchy fragmented, whereas more expansive connected. Although share some same area, our models contrasting influence habitat. For example, suitable relatively warmer, smoother terrain, closer villages. Whereas, fox's cooler, rougher at greater distances away Both occurred areas (i.e., NDVI model) less precipitation. The response temperature suggests sympatric might respond differently warming climate. overlap corridor paths core habitats Conservation Areas (CAs) small. At 75% all predicted corridors remain unprotected both Further, most severely bisected roads. Our findings highlight opportunities designating new promoting limiting road impacts.
Язык: Английский
Процитировано
4Climate, Год журнала: 2024, Номер 12(11), С. 179 - 179
Опубликована: Ноя. 7, 2024
The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) provides regular scientific assessments climate change, its implications, and potential future risks based estimated energy matrixes policy pathways. aim of this publication is to assess the change poses biodiversity using projected IPCC scenarios for period 2081–2100, combined with key species-sensitivity indicators variables as a response projections. In doing so, we address how climate-change-driven pressures may affect biodiversity. Additionally, novel causal relationship between extreme ambient temperature exposure levels corresponding effects individual species, noted in paper Upper Thermal-Tolerance Limit Species Sensitivity Distribution (UTTL-SSD), compelling explanation global warming affects Our study indicates that North American Oceanian sites humid continental subtropical climates, respectively, are poised realize shifts have been identified tipping-point triggers. Heat stress significantly approximately 60–90% mammals, 50% birds, amphibians durations ranging from 5 84 days per year 2080. temperate oceanic European sites, conditions remain relatively stable; however, moderate cumulative identified, additional biodiversity-assemblage threat profiles exist represent these. Both integration IPCC-IUCN UTTL-SSD species communities considered resulted identification threats impose under scenarios, which would result degradation. responses developed can be used highlight breakdowns among trophic food web structures, highlighting an critical element when addressing ecosystem concerns.
Язык: Английский
Процитировано
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