Urban Land Carbon Emission and Carbon Emission Intensity Prediction Based on Patch-Generating Land Use Simulation Model and Grid with Multiple Scenarios in Tianjin
Land,
Год журнала:
2023,
Номер
12(12), С. 2160 - 2160
Опубликована: Дек. 13, 2023
With
regard
to
the
aims
of
achieving
“Dual
Carbon”
goal
and
addressing
significant
greenhouse
gas
emissions
caused
by
urban
expansion,
there
has
been
a
growing
emphasis
on
spatial
research
prediction
carbon
emissions.
This
article
examines
land
use
data
from
2000
2020
combines
Grid
PLUS
model
predict
in
2030
through
multi-scenario
simulation.
The
findings
indicate
following:
(1)
Between
2020,
construction
increased
95.83%,
with
also
increasing.
(2)
By
2030,
for
NDS
(natural
development
scenario),
are
expected
peak
at
6012.87
×
104
t.
Regarding
ratio
obtained
EDS
(economic
is
projected
grow
3990.72
km2,
6863.29
For
LCS
(low-carbon
“carbon
peak”
be
reached
before
2030.
(3)
intensity
decreases
as
city
size
increases.
(4)
shift
center
emission
all
movement
towards
southeast.
Studying
trends
regional
change
patterns
beneficial
optimizing
structure,
thereby
enabling
us
achieve
low-carbon
reductions
sustainable
development.
Язык: Английский
Multi‐Scenario Simulation of Land Use Changes and Their Ecological Risk in the Global Largest Inland Arid Urban Agglomeration
Land Degradation and Development,
Год журнала:
2025,
Номер
unknown
Опубликована: Март 12, 2025
ABSTRACT
Rapid
global
urbanization
had
significantly
altered
land
use
(LU),
threatening
the
ecology
and
sustainability
of
arid
regions.
Systematic
forward‐looking
analyses
changes
(LUCs)
ecological
risks
in
Asia's
zones,
particularly
urban
agglomeration
on
northern
slope
Tianshan
Mountains
(UANSTM),
remained
limited.
Herein,
LUCs
UANSTM
under
four
scenarios,
including
ecology‐economy
balanced
development
scenario
(EES),
protection
(EPS),
economic
(EDS),
natural
(NDS)
2030,
was
predicted
by
employing
PLUS
model
multi‐objective
programming
(MOP)
model.
Then,
an
evaluation
system
developed
from
dimensions
expansion,
risk,
food
demand,
degradation
to
assess
corresponding
risk
each
case.
The
results
showed
that:
(1)
Under
scenario,
desert
bare
grassland
were
found
be
main
LU
modes
UANSTM,
with
a
significant
increase
cultivated
negligible
change
water
forest;
(2)
area
decreased
NDS
while
areas
grassland,
forest
land,
construction
increased
other
especially
unused
grassland;
(3)
LU‐induced
these
scenarios
similarities,
overall
high
risks.
Among
them,
52.04%
at
relatively
high‐risk
levels,
only
2.97%
low‐risk
levels.
This
study
reveals
diversified
different
thereby
facilitating
individualized
planning
environmental
restoration
UANSTM.
Язык: Английский
Increase or Decrease? The Impact of Land Development Rights Transfer on Regional Carbon Emission Governance
Sustainability,
Год журнала:
2025,
Номер
17(7), С. 3072 - 3072
Опубликована: Март 31, 2025
Carbon
dioxide
(CO2)
emissions
are
a
central
issue
in
the
conflict
between
economic
development
and
environmental
protection.
Optimizing
land
use
to
balance
conservation
plays
crucial
role
reducing
carbon
emissions.
The
transfer
of
rights
(TDR),
as
an
emerging
market-based
policy
tool,
can
effectively
achieve
“win-win”
situation
conservation.
However,
its
empirical
impact
on
emission
reduction
remains
insufficiently
explored.
This
study
focuses
Guangxi
Zhuang
Autonomous
Region
China.
It
constructs
four
scenarios—nature,
development,
protection,
TDR—using
PLUS
model.
These
scenarios
combined
with
2030
projections
energy
consumption
socio-economic
generated
by
Long
Short-Term
Memory
(LSTM)
network
evaluated
using
factor
method.
results
indicate
that
both
urban–rural
cross-regional
transfers
construction
positively
contribute
emissions,
their
combination
yields
most
significant
benefits.
TDR
scenario
protect
ecological
environment
while
controlling
scale
space.
With
level
77.9
million
tonnes,
it
serves
rational
choice
for
regional
use.
contributes
advancing
theory
practice
low-carbon
optimizing
resource
allocation
Язык: Английский
Optimizing Land Use for Carbon Neutrality: Integrating Photovoltaic Development in Lingbao, Henan Province
Land,
Год журнала:
2024,
Номер
13(1), С. 97 - 97
Опубликована: Янв. 15, 2024
This
study
aims
to
examine
the
impact
of
land
use
variations
on
carbon
emissions
by
incorporating
development
photovoltaics
as
a
scenario.
To
meet
this
end,
we
investigate
fluctuations
resulting
from
different
scenarios:
natural
development,
low-carbon
strategies,
and
widespread
adoption
photovoltaic
technology.
We
identify
important
influencing
factors
related
these
changes
utilize
multi-objective
optimization
PLUS
model
simulate
patterns
in
Lingbao
City
projected
for
2035,
with
focus
achieving
neutrality.
Through
multiple
scenarios,
analyze
differences
emissions,
economic
benefits,
ecological
impacts,
allocations.
Our
findings
demonstrate
that
scenario
leads
substantial
3500-ton
reduction
boosts
overall
benefits
RMB
85
million
compared
highlights
significant
role
systems
inefficient
utilization,
meeting
emission
targets,
generating
gains.
research
explores
relationship
between
alterations
aiming
achieve
ambitious
objectives
integrating
applications
across
diverse
types.
It
provides
fresh
perspectives
examining
urban
utilization
strategies
reduce
emissions.
Язык: Английский
Analysis of Land Use Change and Its Economic and Ecological Value under the Optimal Scenario and Green Development Advancement Policy: A Case Study of Hechi, China
Sustainability,
Год журнала:
2024,
Номер
16(12), С. 5039 - 5039
Опубликована: Июнь 13, 2024
Studying
future
land
use
change
for
sustainable
regional
development
remains
a
challenging
task.
Although
many
previous
studies
have
conducted
multi-scenario
simulations,
research
on
optimal
scenarios
that
consider
the
impact
of
policies
is
relatively
limited.
In
this
paper,
based
exploring
drivers
change,
value
assessment
framework
considers
impacts
developed
by
combining
multi-objective
programming
and
patch-generating
simulation
models.
The
useful
predicting
changes
assessing
ecological
economic
values
in
different
strategy
contexts
(natural
scenario,
protection
scenario
green
economy
scenario).
results
show
during
period
1990–2020,
forest
area
fluctuated
greatly.
initially
increased
from
249.21
×
104
hm2
to
249.33
hm2,
but
then
decreased
248.53
hm2.
Moreover,
model
altitude
main
driving
force
change.
By
2035,
under
will
be
CNY
924.08
108,
slightly
lower
than
938.01
108
scenario.
However,
drop
675.43
2020
633.56
2025.
Therefore,
more
line
with
needs
local
policies,
distribution
can
provide
reference
planning.
Язык: Английский
Optimizing Territorial Spatial Structures within the Framework of Carbon Neutrality: A Case Study of Wuan
Land,
Год журнала:
2024,
Номер
13(8), С. 1147 - 1147
Опубликована: Июль 26, 2024
Climate
change
has
become
a
major
worldwide
problem,
and
land
use/cover
consistently
played
crucial
role
in
impacting
the
carbon
cycle
within
terrestrial
ecosystems.
Territorial
spatial
planning
stands
as
relatively
good
policy
option
for
low-carbon
model.
The
correlation
between
emissions
use
was
established
through
environmental
parameters
this
paper.
territorial
structures
2035
2060
under
two
scenarios
of
natural
evolution
development
were
simulated
PLUS
results
indicate
that
pattern
decreasing
centered
on
towns,
cities,
mines,
industries
is
related
to
regional
economic
development,
distribution
forests,
urban
ecological
environment.
implementation
aids
achieving
neutrality,
whereas
scenario
more
focused
it,
which
can
provide
ideas
adjustments.
Both
result
large
area
fallow
land,
indicating
some
conflict
farmland
protection
development.
Optimizing
management
measures,
energy
structure,
industrial
layout
strengthening
coordination
are
key
promoting
This
study
might
be
useful
formulating
carbon-neutral
policies
improving
planning.
Язык: Английский
Using a pattern-process-service-sustainability framework to clarify the relationship between regional ecosystem quality and sustainable development
Ecological Indicators,
Год журнала:
2024,
Номер
165, С. 112174 - 112174
Опубликована: Июнь 3, 2024
The
evaluation
of
ecosystem
quality
(EQ)
is
crucial
for
sustainable
regional
development.
Existing
studies
have
often
focused
on
a
single
aspect
the
EQ,
which
cannot
capture
whole
picture
changes
in
EQ.
Therefore,
an
urgent
need
exists
to
construct
comprehensive
system
EQ
and
clarify
relationship
between
development
level
(SDL).
This
study
takes
West
Liao
River
Basin
as
example,
constructs
index
based
"pattern-process-service"
framework,
evaluates
analyzes
spatial
temporal
evolution
well
SDL
basin
from
2000
2020.
also
analyzed
by
combining
indicator
with
United
Nations
Sustainable
Development
Goals
(SDGs),
analyzing
watershed
its
driving
mechanism
using
coupling
coordination
degree
model
Geodetector
method
then
exploring
strategies
management
ecosystems.
variation
area
2020
was
found
be
significant
characterized
increasing
inter-annual
changes;
regions
high
tended
higher
SDLs
indicators
contributed
more
than
indicators.
developed
under
perspective
services,
constructed
county-scale
system,
revealed
SDL.
results
can
provide
decision-making
references
management.
In
addition,
this
generalized
objective,
thus
being
applicable
other
complex
landscape
patterns.
Язык: Английский
Optimizing Vegetation Plantation for Carbon Sequestration and Water Consumption: A Case Study on the Beijing-Shanghai Expressway
Research Square (Research Square),
Год журнала:
2024,
Номер
unknown
Опубликована: Авг. 7, 2024
Abstract
Efficient
vegetation
planting
is
essential
in
highway
construction
to
reduce
greenhouse
gas
emissions
and
prevent
ecological
degradation.
However,
carbon
sequestration
has
rarely
been
considered
previous
optimization
models
for
strategies
these
environments.
To
address
this
gap,
study
focuses
on
selecting
five
predominant
shrub
species—Ailanthus
altissima,
Robinia
pseudoacacia,
Vitex
negundo
var.
heterophylla,
Amorpha
fruticosa,
Lespedeza
bicolor—typical
of
the
Linyi
section
Beijing-Shanghai
Expressway.
The
quantifies
rates
water
consumption
species
demonstrate
their
contribution
climate
change
mitigation.
Field
data
were
collected
spring,
summer,
autumn
using
LI-6800
portable
photosynthetic
system.
NSGA-II
was
subsequently
adopted
establish
an
optimal
model,
considering
constraints
a
area
1000
m²
limit
1067.9
mm.
Based
recorded
datasets
implementation
NSGA-II,
optimized
structure
comprised
Ailanthus
altissima
(21%),
pseudoacacia
(30%),
heterophylla
(11%),
fruticosa
(26%),
bicolor
(12%).
By
adopting
novel
solution,
capacity
per
square
kilometer
increased
by
541
kg,
while
decreased
104
This
manuscript
exemplifies
achieving
balance
between
economic
benefits
through
targeted
slopes.
Local
national
authorities
can
use
results
implement
similar
different
areas.
Язык: Английский