Ecological Indicators, Год журнала: 2025, Номер 176, С. 113639 - 113639
Опубликована: Июнь 4, 2025
Язык: Английский
Ecological Indicators, Год журнала: 2025, Номер 176, С. 113639 - 113639
Опубликована: Июнь 4, 2025
Язык: Английский
Global Ecology and Conservation, Год журнала: 2025, Номер 59, С. e03515 - e03515
Опубликована: Фев. 26, 2025
Язык: Английский
Процитировано
1Ecology and Evolution, Год журнала: 2025, Номер 15(4)
Опубликована: Апрель 1, 2025
ABSTRACT Extensive evidence supports that global climate change influences shifts in species habitats due to alterations hydrothermal conditions; however, neglecting dispersal capacities and limits significantly heightens uncertainties regarding spatial distribution patterns among different organisms. In this study, we compared the of Metasequoia glyptostroboides Hu & W.C. Cheng ( M. ) current Anthropocene context a climate‐only context, providing new insights into effects change, potential, barriers on habitat changes for . By utilizing optimized MaxEnt MigClim models, predicted Mid‐Holocene (MH) conditions potential colonizable under three emission scenarios (SSP126, SSP245, SSP585) both medium long term. We also assessed variation differences future warm‐wet context. The results revealed (1) Precipitation driest month (BIO14), Mean diurnal range (Bio2) human footprint (HFP) are primary factors influencing expansion or contraction Human footprint, farmland, roads, construction land main contributors loss fragmentation. (2) Habitats expected experience significant future. There is recovery South China SSP126 scenario, but activities may hinder recovery. Moderate intervention necessary regions, such as Hubei, Hunan, Anhui, Sichuan basins. (3) Due influence, high‐suitability areas projected migrate northeastward. Under trend reverse migration be observed This study minimizes uncertainty predicting while theoretical support conservation
Язык: Английский
Процитировано
1Scientific Reports, Год журнала: 2025, Номер 15(1)
Опубликована: Янв. 21, 2025
Ormosia microphylla is a nationally prioritized wild plant in China but effects of likely future climate change have been poorly studied. Here distribution data O. and environmental with an optimized MaxEnt maximum entropy model were used to predict potentially suitable areas under current scenarios. The results showed that warming, the total area for might gradually increase. In three periods (2030s (2021–2040), 2050s (2041–2060) 2090s (2081–2100)), medium high different scenarios generally expanding trend, while low mostly decreasing trend. At same time, potential shown certain degree migration trend towards higher latitudes north northwest, as well altitudes. research will provide support protection germplasm resources development artificial cultivation techniques microphylla, theoretical basis other rare endangered plants.
Язык: Английский
Процитировано
1Veterinary Parasitology, Год журнала: 2025, Номер 335, С. 110436 - 110436
Опубликована: Фев. 25, 2025
Язык: Английский
Процитировано
1Ocean & Coastal Management, Год журнала: 2025, Номер 267, С. 107707 - 107707
Опубликована: Апрель 28, 2025
Язык: Английский
Процитировано
1Ecological Indicators, Год журнала: 2024, Номер 167, С. 112611 - 112611
Опубликована: Сен. 25, 2024
Язык: Английский
Процитировано
3Plants, Год журнала: 2024, Номер 13(23), С. 3352 - 3352
Опубликована: Ноя. 29, 2024
Acorus calamus, a perennial emergent herb, is highly valued for its ornamental appeal, water purification ability, and medicinal properties. However, there significant contradiction between the rapidly increasing demand A. calamus diminishing wild resources. Understanding geographical distribution influence of global climate change on imperative establishing theoretical framework conservation natural resources expansion cultivation. In this study, 266 records 18 selected key environmental factors were utilized to construct an optimal MaxEnt model via ENMeval package. We simulated potential distributions under current conditions three different scenarios (SSP126, SSP370, SSP585) in 2050s, 2070s, 2090s. Additionally, we employed jackknife method response curves identify with greatest their intervals. The results indicate that regularization multiplier (RM) 3.5 feature combinations (FC) linear (L), quadratic (Q), hinge (H), product (P) are parameter combinations. With these parameters, predictions accurate, consistency significant. dominant thresholds affecting precipitation wettest month (≥109.87 mm), human footprint (≥5.39), annual (≥388.56 mean diurnal range (≤12.83 °C). primary land use types include rivers channels, reservoirs ponds, lakes, urban areas, marshes, other constructed lands, rice fields, forested shrublands. Under conditions, suitable China clearly located east 400 mm line, high- low-suitability areas covering 121.12 × 104 km2, 164.20 respectively. future both low- suitability projected increase significantly, whereas unsuitable expected decrease, centroid each zone shifting northward. This study provides foundation sustainable utilization, production planning, development strategies germplasm calamus.
Язык: Английский
Процитировано
3Опубликована: Янв. 1, 2025
Quercus species plays a key role in maintaining biodiversity and ecosystem stability as an important component of forest ecology. However, conservation researches on changes the geographic distribution ecological niche have been limited. In this study, we employed optimized MaxEnt model to simulate potential dynamics four evergreen broad-leaved (Q.baronii, Q.dolicholepis, Q.glauca, Q.spinosa) Yangtze Yellow River basins under different climate scenarios (SSP126 SSP585) 2050s 2070s. The relative contribution environmental factors future these was assessed through modeling. results show that Precipitation Coldest Quarter (bio19) Temperature Annual Range (bio7) are most affecting species. Habitat suitability for Q. baronii spinosa trended downward, while dolicholepis glauca expanded their habitat ranges. addition, change led significant contraction baronii, dolicholepis, SSP585-2050s scenario, had more pronounced effect expansion broadleaf other scenarios.
Язык: Английский
Процитировано
0Modeling Earth Systems and Environment, Год журнала: 2025, Номер 11(1)
Опубликована: Янв. 14, 2025
Язык: Английский
Процитировано
0The Science of The Total Environment, Год журнала: 2025, Номер 964, С. 178601 - 178601
Опубликована: Янв. 24, 2025
Язык: Английский
Процитировано
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