Pandemic monitoring with global aircraft-based wastewater surveillance networks

Nature Medicine, Год журнала: 2025, Номер unknown

Опубликована: Фев. 12, 2025

Язык: Английский

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flepiMoP: The evolution of a flexible infectious disease modeling pipeline during the COVID-19 pandemic

Epidemics, Год журнала: 2024, Номер 47, С. 100753 - 100753

Опубликована: Март 2, 2024

The COVID-19 pandemic led to an unprecedented demand for projections of disease burden and healthcare utilization under scenarios ranging from unmitigated spread strict social distancing policies. In response, members the Johns Hopkins Infectious Disease Dynamics Group developed flepiMoP (formerly called COVID Scenario Modeling Pipeline), a comprehensive open-source software pipeline designed creating simulating compartmental models infectious transmission inferring parameters through these models. framework has been used extensively produce short-term forecasts longer-term scenario at state county level in US, other countries various geographic scales, more recently seasonal influenza. this paper, we highlight how evolved throughout address changing epidemiological dynamics, new interventions, shifts policy-relevant model outputs. As reached mature state, provide detailed overview flepiMoP's key features remaining limitations, thereby distributing its documentation as flexible powerful tool researchers public health professionals rapidly build deploy large-scale complex any pathogen demographic setup.

Язык: Английский

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Optimization and performance analytics of global aircraft-based wastewater surveillance networks

medRxiv (Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory), Год журнала: 2024, Номер unknown

Опубликована: Авг. 4, 2024

Abstract Aircraft wastewater surveillance has been proposed as a novel approach to monitor the global spread of pathogens. Here we develop computational framework provide actionable information for designing and estimating effectiveness aircraft-based networks (WWSNs). We study respiratory diseases varying transmission potentials find that 10 20 strategically placed sentinel sites can timely situational awareness function effectively an early warning system. The model identifies potential blind spots suggests optimization strategies increase WWSNs while minimizing resource use. Our findings highlight increasing number beyond critical threshold does not proportionately improve capabilities, stressing importance optimization. show through retrospective analyses significantly shorten detection time emerging presented offers realistic analytic analysis at airports.

Язык: Английский

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A simple model of coupled individual behavior and its impact on epidemic dynamics

Mathematical Biosciences, Год журнала: 2024, Номер unknown, С. 109345 - 109345

Опубликована: Дек. 1, 2024

Язык: Английский

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Preface: COVID-19 Scenario Modeling Hubs

Epidemics, Год журнала: 2024, Номер 48, С. 100788 - 100788

Опубликована: Авг. 24, 2024

Язык: Английский

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A Simplicial SIS epidemic model with the outgoing pressure

Physica A Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Год журнала: 2024, Номер unknown, С. 130118 - 130118

Опубликована: Сен. 1, 2024

Язык: Английский

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Unraveling the transmission mechanism of animal disease: Insight from a stochastic eco-epidemiological model driven by Lévy jumps

Chaos Solitons & Fractals, Год журнала: 2024, Номер 191, С. 115859 - 115859

Опубликована: Дек. 10, 2024

Язык: Английский

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