Advancing forest carbon projections requires improved convergence between ecological and economic models
Carbon Balance and Management,
Год журнала:
2025,
Номер
20(1)
Опубликована: Янв. 10, 2025
Forests
have
the
potential
to
contribute
significantly
global
climate
policy
efforts
through
enhanced
carbon
sequestration
and
storage
in
terrestrial
systems
wood
products.
Projections
models
simulate
changes
future
forest
fluxes
under
different
environmental,
economic,
conditions
can
inform
landowners
policymakers
on
how
best
utilize
forests
for
mitigating
change.
However,
modeling
frameworks
are
often
developed
applied
a
highly
disciplinary
manner,
e.g.,
with
ecological
economic
communities
typically
operating
silos
or
soft
model
linkages
input–output
parametric
relationships.
Recent
divides
between
research
confound
guidance
levers
increase
sinks
enhance
ecosystem
resilience
This
paper
reviews
summarizes
expansive
literature
within
disciplines,
discusses
benefits
limitations
of
commonly
used
models,
proposes
convergence
approach
better
integrating
frameworks.
More
specifically,
we
highlight
critical
feedback
loops
that
exist
when
operate
independently
discuss
more
integrated
approach.
We
then
describe
an
iterative
involves
sharing
methodology,
perspectives,
data
regimented
types.
An
reduce
bias
by
exploiting
merging
their
relative
strengths.
Язык: Английский
Complexity in long-term stand dynamics of mixed-species, multi-cohort stands using an imputation/copula tree growth model
Forest Ecology and Management,
Год журнала:
2025,
Номер
582, С. 122559 - 122559
Опубликована: Март 3, 2025
Язык: Английский
Optimal Rotation and Ecosystem Services: A Generalization in Forest Plantations
Forests,
Год журнала:
2025,
Номер
16(4), С. 618 - 618
Опубликована: Март 31, 2025
Integrating
different
ecosystem
services
(ES)
to
determine
when
harvest
a
forest
stand
is
still
challenging.
This
due
the
difficulty
of
obtaining
information,
models,
and
methods
quantify
those
ES
achieving
an
adequate
valuation
these
services.
In
this
study,
we
propose
methodology
comprising
two
models
that
could
allow
for
integration
with
optimal
silviculture
calculate
economic
rotation.
We
have
applied
both
eucalyptus
plantations
in
Brazil
considering
ES:
wood
four
assortments
carbon
sequestration.
For
calculated
ranking
previously
defined
management
alternatives,
decreasing
trees-per-hectare
compared
traditional
plantations.
first
model,
are
measured
monetary
units,
rotation
corresponds
fewer
trees
per
hectare
than
greater
associated
profitability.
The
second
model
incorporates
physical
units
through
multi-criteria
decision-making
results
longer
again
hectare.
study
suggests
optimum
analysis
should
consider
other
timber
production
integrated
silvicultural
such
as
spacing.
Язык: Английский
Connecting growth and yield models to continuous forest inventory data to better account for uncertainty
Forest Ecology and Management,
Год журнала:
2025,
Номер
589, С. 122754 - 122754
Опубликована: Май 9, 2025
Язык: Английский
Declining conifer productivity will drive future forest dynamics as climate changes in northern New England
Ecological Applications,
Год журнала:
2025,
Номер
35(3)
Опубликована: Апрель 1, 2025
Abstract
Climate
change
is
expected
to
decrease
habitat
suitability
for
conifers
in
the
mixed
species,
temperate
forests
of
New
England
northeastern
United
States.
How
existing
will
be
affected
during
transition
from
current
future
growing
conditions,
however,
less
clear
and
has
important
implications
commercially
managed
interest
forest
carbon
as
a
natural
climate
solution.
We
used
LANDIS‐II
landscape
model
simulate
under
two
Representative
Concentration
Pathways
(RCP
4.5
8.5)
interactions
with
timber
harvesting
predominant
harvest
regime
across
4
million
ha
forestland
Maine.
Using
factorial
design,
we
compared
relative
cumulative
impacts
predicted
changes
species'
maximum
annual
net
primary
productivity
or
establishment
probability
on
trends
live,
aboveground
biomass
(2010–2100).
In
addition
area‐wide
scenario
comparison,
evaluated
variation
local
outcomes
(
n
=
356
townships
~100
km
2
land
units)
better
inform
adaptation
at
scale
relevant
management.
Although
broadleaf
was
generally
resistant
regional
increases
temperature
precipitation,
projections
suggested
have
negative
effect
biomass,
driven
predominantly
by
declines
conifer
productivity.
Nonetheless,
(specifically
balsam
fir
[
Abies
balsamea
]
red
spruce
Picea
rubens
])
likely
remain
area's
most
productive
species;
consequently,
scenarios
there
positive
correlation
r
0.68–0.82)
between
percent
density
biomass.
Simulations
also
that
even
change,
supply
could
maintained
over
next
70–80
years;
rates
practices
may
become
unsustainable
an
increasingly
large
area
declines.
addition,
species
decline
many
trees,
which
particularly
impactful
harvested
areas
insufficient
regeneration.
Overall,
our
results
suggest
northern
continue
sink
this
century,
but
without
adaptive
management
improve
resistance
resilience
it
diminishing
capacity.
Язык: Английский
Spatial and Temporal Matching Measurement of Ecosystem Service Supply, Demand and Human Well-Being and Its Coordination in the Great Rivers Economic Belt—Evidence from China’s Yangtze River Economic Belt
Sustainability,
Год журнала:
2024,
Номер
16(17), С. 7487 - 7487
Опубликована: Авг. 29, 2024
Understanding
the
complex
relationship
between
ESSD
and
human
well-being
is
of
paramount
significance
to
protecting
regional
ecology,
enhancing
achieving
sustainable
development.
We
take
Yangtze
River
Economic
Belt
as
an
example
use
multi-source
data
analyse
land
cover
change,
well
spatiotemporal
evolution
well-being.
explore
reveal
coupling
coordination
The
results
show
that
from
2000
2020,
overall
trend
in
ESs
region
improved
significantly,
supply
notably
increased,
whereas
demand
growth
rate
was
even
more
pronounced.
supply–demand
ratio
for
water
yield
soil
conservation
showed
little
with
variations
<10%.
However,
carbon
sequestration
declined
significantly
by
41.83%,
food
increased
42.93%.
spatial
pattern
presented
a
mismatch,
which
characterised
‘low
high
eastern
low
western
region’.
Overall,
remained
stable
line
level
socio-economic
development,
thereby
exhibiting
distinct
‘polarisation
rich
poor’.
Well-being
higher
central
urban
agglomerations
lower
plateau
mountainous
areas.
Over
20
years,
degree
0.0107,
gradually
transitioned
moderate
imbalance
coordination.
Spatially,
Hubei
Province,
Chongqing
Municipality
Delta
were
main
‘high–high’
agglomeration
areas,
Sichuan
Basin
Yunnan-Guizhou
Plateau
‘low–low’
Based
on
these
findings,
we
propose
following
management
recommendations
other
related
great
river
economic
belts:
optimise
structure,
rationally
allocate
natural
resources,
strengthen
external
connections
promote
coordinated
enhance
implementation
policies
ecological
environmental
protection,
establish
compensation
mechanisms
coordinate
protection
full
scope
focus
harmonising
human–land
relationships,
build
multi-stakeholder
collaborative
governance
mechanism
elevation
Язык: Английский
One century of carbon dynamics in the eastern Canadian boreal forest under various management strategies and climate change projections
Ecological Modelling,
Год журнала:
2024,
Номер
498, С. 110894 - 110894
Опубликована: Сен. 26, 2024
Язык: Английский
The inclusion of improved forest management in strategic forest planning and its impact on timber harvests, carbon and biodiversity conservation
The Science of The Total Environment,
Год журнала:
2024,
Номер
949, С. 174813 - 174813
Опубликована: Июль 15, 2024
In
forestry,
although
the
so-called
nature-based
climate
solutions
have
usually
been
focused
on
calculation
of
carbon
captured
in
new
afforestation
projects,
it
should
be
noted
that
increase
associated
with
improvements
their
management
(Improved
Forest
Management)
can
also
computed.
This
type
is
not
integrated
into
strategic
forest
planning
models,
nor
has
its
possible
degree
conflict
other
regulation
ecosystemic
services,
like
biodiversity
conservation,
verified.
this
research,
those
two
issues
approached
by
calculating
a
baseline
an
emblematic
extensive
forestry
history.
For
purpose,
we
designed
scenarios,
i.e.,
one
linked
to
current
(Business
As
Usual,
BAU)
and
another
justified
inclusion
Improved
Management
(IFM).
The
results
reveal
notable
between
values
indicators
used
measure
biodiversity.
order
reach
compromise
both
multi-criteria
model
proposed
could
more
attractive
than
above
ones.
addition,
profit
credits
first
ten
years
computed
under
IFM
scenario;
latter
be,
priori,
object
transaction
voluntary
market.
conclusion,
our
generates
feasible
allow
integration
planning.
Besides,
show
interesting
tradeoffs
discord
must
distinguished
state
expected
growth,
as
well
influence
provision
ecosystem
such
present
net
value
timber
harvests.
Язык: Английский
China's Investable Forestation Carbon Sink Estimates Under a New Market Incentive Scenario
Опубликована: Янв. 1, 2024
Язык: Английский
Carbon sequestration through sustainable land management practices in arid and semiarid regions: Insights from New Mexico
Agrosystems Geosciences & Environment,
Год журнала:
2024,
Номер
7(4)
Опубликована: Дек. 1, 2024
Abstract
Arid
and
semiarid
regions
cover
more
than
one‐third
of
the
land
surface,
where
interplay
between
water,
use,
management
strongly
influences
carbon
(C)
sequestration.
Yet,
information
on
C
practices
how
local
biophysical
conditions
affect
sequestration
potential
is
limited.
We
explored
opportunities,
research
gaps,
future
directions
in
arid
regions,
using
New
Mexico
as
an
example.
also
identified
major
use
types
their
for
storage
Our
results
showed
that
innovations
cropland
rangeland
management,
protection
existing
forests,
restoration
degraded
forest
lands
after
drought
wildfire
enhanced
lands.
Landscape‐scale
balance
studies
with
fine‐scale
mapping,
improving
water
nutrient
efficiency,
policy
incentives
to
support
farms
will
unlock
full
croplands,
rangelands,
Future
should
focus
response
climate
anomalies
sequester
offset
greenhouse
gas
emissions
a
natural
solution
regions.
Язык: Английский