Time Series Modelling and Forecasting of Monkeypox Outbreak Trends in Africa's in Most Affected Countries DOI Creative Commons
Diptismita Jena, Sathvik Belagodu Sridhar, Javedh Shareef

и другие.

New Microbes and New Infections, Год журнала: 2024, Номер 62, С. 101526 - 101526

Опубликована: Ноя. 14, 2024

The recent outbreak of Monkeypox (Mpox), particularly the clade 1b variant, have shifted epidemiological landscape, making it a Public Health Emergency International Concern. Africa remains hotspot with significant ongoing outbreaks, necessitating focused study on trends and forecasting to guide health interventions. This utilizes comprehensive dataset from four most affected African countries, covering weekly cumulative Mpox cases August 6, 2023, 18, 2024. Time series analysis techniques, including ARIMA models Join Point Regression, were employed forecast analyse annual percentage change in new cases. Descriptive statistics highlighted variability across studied regions mean at 72.55 high standard deviation 60.885. Forecasting suggest continued increase cases, expected reach 6922.95 by 65th week (95 % CI: 6158.62 7687.27) projected 45.93 -88.17 180.04). underscores persistent nature outbreaks critical need for continuous surveillance adaptive public strategies. forecasts generated offer valuable insights into potential future trends, aiding allocation resources implementation targeted interventions curb spread disease.

Язык: Английский

Environmental, socioeconomic, and sociocultural drivers of monkeypox transmission in the Democratic Republic of the Congo: a One Health perspective DOI Creative Commons
Guangyu Lu,

Zeyin Chong,

Enyu Xu

и другие.

Infectious Diseases of Poverty, Год журнала: 2025, Номер 14(1)

Опубликована: Фев. 7, 2025

Язык: Английский

Процитировано

2
Mpox Virus as a Global Public Health Emergency: A Scoping Review DOI Creative Commons
Sathish Sankar, Pachamuthu Balakrishnan, Yean K. Yong

и другие.

Canadian Journal of Infectious Diseases and Medical Microbiology, Год журнала: 2025, Номер 2025(1)

Опубликована: Янв. 1, 2025

The monkeypox (Mpox) virus has emerged as a global public health emergency of international concern recently. that was endemic in West and Central Africa now been reported with chains transmission to several countries. A scoping review carried out from the relevant literature available PubMed, Scopus Web Science. This comprehensive analysis describes epidemiology, pathogenesis, clinical manifestations, complications including secondary bacterial infections, diagnosis, treatment vaccination. article underscores significance key viral immune mediators infection discusses updated recommendations on therapeutic strategies

Язык: Английский

Процитировано

1
Mpox in East Africa: Learning from COVID-19 and Ebola to Strengthen Public Health Responses DOI Creative Commons
Pierre Gashema, Tumusime Musafiri, Felix Ndahimana

и другие.

Viruses, Год журнала: 2024, Номер 16(10), С. 1578 - 1578

Опубликована: Окт. 8, 2024

The Africa Centers for Disease Control and Prevention declared mpox a Public Health Emergency of Continental Security (PHECS) in Africa. African public health systems have moved to mobilize response against backdrop inherent significant challenges. With this commentary, we discuss how lessons from past emergencies, particularly COVID-19 Ebola outbreaks, prepared the region improved disease surveillance, rapid strategies, effective communication these can be applied response, emphasizing importance strong healthcare infrastructure, data sharing, community engagement, targeted interventions, robust contact tracing. Additionally, addressing misinformation building trust are crucial controlling spread any disease. By leveraging countries enhance their mpox. This includes improving diagnostic capabilities, strengthening cross-border collaborations, prioritizing vaccination campaigns where needed. Ultimately, by applying hard-earned pandemic outbreak, East better address challenges posed safeguard health.

Язык: Английский

Процитировано

4
Should we be concerned about treating Mpox patients in orthopaedic surgery? A narrative review DOI Creative Commons
Collen Sandile Nkosi,

Yenziwe Sibongokuhle Mbambo,

Lunga Gadala

и другие.

Journal of Orthopaedic Reports, Год журнала: 2025, Номер unknown, С. 100552 - 100552

Опубликована: Янв. 1, 2025

Язык: Английский

Процитировано

0
Effectiveness of Public Health Campaigns on Mpox Awareness and Prevention in Rural India DOI

Muniba Afzal,

Ashok Kumar Sah

Infectious Diseases in Clinical Practice, Год журнала: 2025, Номер 33(3)

Опубликована: Март 28, 2025

Abstract This review examines the current state of Mpox awareness and prevention strategies in India, with a particular focus on rural underserved communities. As Mpox, virus endemic to West Central Africa, begins spread globally, including effective public health responses become increasingly critical. The evaluates various campaigns, government-led programs, NGO initiatives, digital traditional media efforts, community-based outreach. It highlights role educational initiatives such as school training for local workers, use mobile units improving preventive measures. Challenges socioeconomic barriers, limited healthcare infrastructure, misinformation, language literacy issues are discussed. also assesses effectiveness through success stories, identified gaps, community feedback. Recommendations provided enhancing prevention, emphasizing need stronger partnerships, technological integration, culturally tailored communication, increased capacity building workers. Future research directions suggested, focusing bridging gaps awareness, developing sustainable policy strategies, integrating broader initiatives. underscores importance comprehensive approach addressing combining government engagement, innovative achieve lasting impact.

Язык: Английский

Процитировано

0
Mathematical modeling of Mpox virus dynamics with a case study of Africa DOI
Francis Oketch Ochieng

Modeling Earth Systems and Environment, Год журнала: 2025, Номер 11(3)

Опубликована: Апрель 1, 2025

Язык: Английский

Процитировано

0
MPOX unveiled: Global epidemiology, treatment advances, and prevention strategies DOI Creative Commons
Anna Bogacka,

Agnieszka Wroczyńska,

Weronika Rymer

и другие.

One Health, Год журнала: 2025, Номер unknown, С. 101030 - 101030

Опубликована: Апрель 1, 2025

Язык: Английский

Процитировано

0
Strengthening community resilience: lessons from COVID-19 for mpox prevention DOI
Francesco Branda, Giancarlo Ceccarelli, Massimo Ciccozzi

и другие.

The Lancet, Год журнала: 2024, Номер 404(10456), С. 929 - 929

Опубликована: Авг. 23, 2024

Язык: Английский

Процитировано

3
Preliminary report on the molecular epidemiology of mpox, South Africa 2024 DOI Creative Commons
Jonathan Featherston, Antoinette A. Grobbelaar, Allison S. Glass

и другие.

bioRxiv (Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory), Год журнала: 2024, Номер unknown

Опубликована: Ноя. 8, 2024

Mpox is an emerging viral infection and has since May 2022 been reported in a multi-country outbreak involving predominantly previously non-endemic countries. In addition, the number of cases mpox also rising some endemic countries Western Central Africa. The disease notifiable medical condition South Africa, with no before 2022. However, 2022, coinciding peak outbreak, five were diagnosed country. Genomic sequencing analysis revealed presence monkeypox virus variant, which was circulating during namely Clade IIb sub-lineage B.1.7 (hMPXV). After fifth case there detected for following 20 months. 2024, again Africa leading to concerns that may have silently transmitting country Whole genome 22 September compared sequences obtained from globally. It found 2024 analysed this study, clustered hMPXV B.1.20 B.1.6 sequences. results indicate detection extension ongoing outbreak. Detection different sub-lineages indicates reintroductions local transmission B1.20 hMPXV.

Язык: Английский

Процитировано

0
Time Series Modelling and Forecasting of Monkeypox Outbreak Trends in Africa's in Most Affected Countries DOI Creative Commons
Diptismita Jena, Sathvik Belagodu Sridhar, Javedh Shareef

и другие.

New Microbes and New Infections, Год журнала: 2024, Номер 62, С. 101526 - 101526

Опубликована: Ноя. 14, 2024

The recent outbreak of Monkeypox (Mpox), particularly the clade 1b variant, have shifted epidemiological landscape, making it a Public Health Emergency International Concern. Africa remains hotspot with significant ongoing outbreaks, necessitating focused study on trends and forecasting to guide health interventions. This utilizes comprehensive dataset from four most affected African countries, covering weekly cumulative Mpox cases August 6, 2023, 18, 2024. Time series analysis techniques, including ARIMA models Join Point Regression, were employed forecast analyse annual percentage change in new cases. Descriptive statistics highlighted variability across studied regions mean at 72.55 high standard deviation 60.885. Forecasting suggest continued increase cases, expected reach 6922.95 by 65th week (95 % CI: 6158.62 7687.27) projected 45.93 -88.17 180.04). underscores persistent nature outbreaks critical need for continuous surveillance adaptive public strategies. forecasts generated offer valuable insights into potential future trends, aiding allocation resources implementation targeted interventions curb spread disease.

Язык: Английский

Процитировано

0