Опубликована: Янв. 1, 2024
Язык: Английский
Опубликована: Янв. 1, 2024
Язык: Английский
Environmental Monitoring and Assessment, Год журнала: 2025, Номер 197(3)
Опубликована: Фев. 4, 2025
Язык: Английский
Процитировано
2Agronomy, Год журнала: 2025, Номер 15(4), С. 954 - 954
Опубликована: Апрель 14, 2025
As global warming progresses, quantifying drought thresholds for crop yield losses is crucial food security and sustainable agriculture. Based on the CNN-LSTM model Copula function, this study constructs a conditional probability framework under future climate change. It analyzes relationship between Standardized Precipitation–Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI) winter wheat yield, assesses vulnerability of in various regions to stress, quantifies The results showed that (1) SPEI Zhoukou, Sanmenxia, Nanyang was significantly correlated with yield; (2) southern eastern higher than center, western, northern past (2000–2023) (2024–2047); (3) there were significant differences thresholds. loss below 30, 50, 70 percentiles (past/future) −1.86/−2.47, −0.85/−1.39, 0.60/0.35 (Xinyang); −1.45/−2.16, −0.75/−1.34, −0.17/−0.43 (Nanyang); −1.47/−2.24, −0.97/−1.61, 0.69/0.28 (Zhoukou); −2.18/−2.86, −1.80/−2.36, −0.75/−1.08 (Kaifeng), indicating threshold will reduce future. This mainly due different soil conditions Henan Province. In context change, droughts be more frequent. Hence, research provide valuable reference efficient utilization agricultural water resources prevention control risk change
Язык: Английский
Процитировано
0Theoretical and Applied Climatology, Год журнала: 2025, Номер 156(5)
Опубликована: Апрель 16, 2025
Язык: Английский
Процитировано
0Remote Sensing, Год журнала: 2025, Номер 17(10), С. 1780 - 1780
Опубликована: Май 20, 2025
Understanding vegetation’s drought response helps predict ecosystem adaptations to climate change and offers scientific insights for managing extreme events. Using RS technology, this study systematically investigates the mechanisms of vegetation their spatiotemporal variations in ecologically sensitive semi-arid area national grain security zone—West Liao River Basin, China. The findings reveal that (1) from 2000 2018, NDVI exhibited a fluctuating upward trend, trends remained pronounced certain areas seasons; (2) growing-season droughts impaired productivity, while winter reduced soil moisture, with arid-zone being most vulnerable; (3) grasslands responded rapidly drought, forests slowly via deep roots, croplands suffered during critical growth phases; (4) drought-adapted western forests/shrubs recovered best, eastern required targeted measures like resilient crops water management. results not only provide basis ecological management West Basin but also offer valuable resource other arid regions globally. This research holds significant importance addressing achieving regional sustainable development.
Язык: Английский
Процитировано
0Environmental Impact Assessment Review, Год журнала: 2025, Номер 115, С. 108019 - 108019
Опубликована: Май 28, 2025
Язык: Английский
Процитировано
0Опубликована: Янв. 1, 2024
Язык: Английский
Процитировано
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