Comparative Analysis of Multiple Deep Learning Models for Forecasting Monthly Ambient PM2.5 Concentrations: A Case Study in Dezhou City, China
Atmosphere,
Год журнала:
2024,
Номер
15(12), С. 1432 - 1432
Опубликована: Ноя. 28, 2024
Ambient
air
pollution
affects
human
health,
vegetative
growth
and
sustainable
socio-economic
development.
Therefore,
data
in
Dezhou
City
China
are
collected
from
January
2014
to
December
2023,
multiple
deep
learning
models
used
forecast
PM2.5
concentrations.
The
ability
of
the
is
evaluated
compared
with
observed
using
various
statistical
parameters.
Although
all
eight
can
accomplish
forecasting
assignments,
precision
accuracy
CNN-GRU-LSTM
method
34.28%
higher
than
that
ANN
method.
result
shows
has
best
performance
other
seven
models,
achieving
an
R
(correlation
coefficient)
0.9686
RMSE
(root
mean
square
error)
4.6491
μg/m3.
values
CNN,
GRU
LSTM
57.00%,
35.98%
32.78%
method,
respectively.
results
reveal
predictor
remarkably
improves
performances
benchmark
overall
forecasting.
This
research
provides
a
new
perspective
for
predictive
ambient
model
provide
scientific
basis
prevention
control.
Язык: Английский
A nonlinear grey model with seasonal weighted fractional accumulation for triangular fuzzy number series and its application to forecast PM2.5
Grey Systems Theory and Application,
Год журнала:
2025,
Номер
unknown
Опубликована: Апрель 25, 2025
Purpose
Accurate
prediction
of
PM2.5
concentration
is
essential
for
the
government
to
formulate
and
implement
effective
environmental
policies
management
measures
improve
air
quality.
series
exhibits
seasonal,
nonlinear,
uncertain
characteristics.
A
seasonal
weighted
fractional
nonlinear
grey
model
triangular
fuzzy
number
established
based
on
Bernoulli
by
introducing
accumulation
generating
operator.
Design/methodology/approach
First,
actual
sequence
processed
using
a
new
operator
weaken
its
seasonality.
The
sine
function
time
power
are
introduced
into
perform
processing
again,
thereby
enhancing
model’s
adaptability
series.
Secondly,
parameters
transformed
matrix
form
so
as
directly
Additionally,
optimal
algorithm
selected
through
comparison
experiments
used
determine
parameters.
Findings
Five
models
predict
concentrations
in
Shanghai,
China
San
Francisco,
United
States
America
(USA).
findings
show
that
with
operator,
can
better
simulate
characteristics
compared
other
models.
Then,
next
four
quarters
two
cities
predicted
analyzed.
Originality/value
dynamic
volatility.
When
represented
series,
it
reflects
complexity
uncertainty
data,
which
helps
people
make
more
accurate
decisions.
capacity
precisely
forecast
improved
large
part
this
work.
Язык: Английский
PR-FCNN: a data-driven hybrid approach for predicting PM2.5 concentration
Discover Artificial Intelligence,
Год журнала:
2024,
Номер
4(1)
Опубликована: Ноя. 3, 2024
The
atmosphere's
fine
articulate
Matter
(PM2.5)
poses
various
health-related
risks.
Even
though
multiple
efforts
have
been
made
to
lower
the
emissions
of
these
substances,
mortality
rate
is
continuously
increasing,
requiring
immediate
inclination
scientific
community
towards
design
and
development
advanced
predictive
models.
Conventional
statistical
approaches
become
dormant
due
their
limitations
in
capturing
innate
relationships
between
pollutants,
particularly
for
predicting
PM2.5
concentrations.
In
contrast,
machine
deep
learning
techniques
shown
great
potential
forecasting
air
quality,
providing
more
accuracy
than
its
predecessor
techniques.
present
study
investigates
utilization
hybrid
by
integrating
models
with
improve
prediction
capabilities
concentration.
It
uses
datasets
from
World
Air
Quality
Index
(WAQI)
State
Global
(SOGA)
analyze
performance
on
both
daily
annual
data,
respectively.
This
ensures
model's
effectiveness
a
diversified
dataset.
implements
Random
Forest
(RF),
Polynomial
Regression
(PR),
XGBoost,
Extra
Tree
Regressor
(ETR)
coupled
Fully
Connected
Neural
Network
(FCNN),
Long
Short-Term
Memory
(LSTM),
Bi-directional
LSTM
(Bi-LSTM)
obtaining
optimized
results.
Finally,
after
thorough
investigation,
PR
model
FCNN
(PR-FCNN)
found
be
best
improved
R-squared
(R2)
values,
portraying
concentration
accurately.
Based
experimentation,
preset
recommends
implementing
approaches,
offering
better
especially
PM2.5.
Язык: Английский