Land Use Modeling and Predicted Ecosystem Service Value Under Different Development Scenarios: A Case Study of the Upper–Middle Yellow River Basin, China
Land,
Год журнала:
2025,
Номер
14(1), С. 115 - 115
Опубликована: Янв. 8, 2025
Exploring
the
future
ecosystem
service
value
(ESV)
of
upper–middle
Yellow
River
Basin
is
great
significance
to
enhancing
its
ecological
security
and
capacity.
This
in
response
strategy
for
protection
high-quality
development
Basin.
In
this
study,
land
use
change
from
2000
2020
was
analyzed
quantitatively.
The
pattern
2035
predicted
using
Cellular
Automata
Markov
models
under
business
as
usual
(BAU),
(EPS),
high
urbanization
(HUS)
scenarios.
ESV
estimated
impact
changes
on
regional
identified.
results
indicate
that
study
area
experienced
a
reduction
(~12,139
km2)
cultivation
an
expansion
(~10,597
built-up
2020.
2035,
BAU
scenario,
construction
water
would
expand
by
24.52%
11.51%,
respectively,
while
grassland
unused
decrease
18,520
km2
2770
km2,
respectively.
Under
EPS
forests,
grasslands,
increase
16.57%,
10.59%,
4%,
three
different
scenarios,
ESVs
are
at
CNY
2475
2710
billion,
grasslands
contribute
largest
part
accounting
57.98%
59.21%.
These
findings
could
help
guide
through
construction.
Язык: Английский
Response of Ecosystem Service Value to LULC Under Multi-Scenario Simulation Considering Policy Spatial Constraints: A Case Study of an Ecological Barrier Region in China
Land,
Год журнала:
2025,
Номер
14(3), С. 601 - 601
Опубликована: Март 13, 2025
Analyzing
the
complex
dynamics
of
land
use,
accurately
assessing
ecosystem
service
values
(ESVs),
and
predicting
future
trends
in
use
ESVs
alterations
within
spatial
constraints
policies
are
essential
for
policymaking
advancing
sustainable
development
objectives.
This
study
analyzed
use/land
cover
(LULC)
changes
Yunnan
Province
from
2005
to
2020.
Policy
were
incorporated
into
scenario
simulations,
an
improved
equivalent
factor
method,
Markov-PLUS
model,
global
autocorrelation,
Getis-Ord
Gi*
method
applied
predict
analyze
LULC
under
different
scenarios
2030.
The
findings
revealed
following:
(1)
Forests
grasslands
dominant
categories
YNP,
with
notable
patterns
recorded
between
(2)
total
area
increased
by
CNY
8.152
billion
during
this
period,
exhibiting
initial
decline
followed
gradual
recovery.
(3)
Simulations
2030
indicated
that
natural
would
lead
most
extensive
urbanization,
while
ecological
conservation
yield
greatest
increase
ESVs.
In
contrast,
only
farmland
led
food
production-related
ESVs,
but
resulted
lowest
among
three
scenarios.
These
results
contribute
understanding
impacts
on
provide
insights
formulating
scientifically
sound
effective
protection
policies.
Язык: Английский
Long-Term Analysis and Multi-Scenarios Simulation of Ecosystem Service Values in Typical Karst River Basins
Land,
Год журнала:
2025,
Номер
14(4), С. 824 - 824
Опубликована: Апрель 10, 2025
This
study,
guided
by
the
concept
hat
“lucid
waters
and
lush
mountains
are
invaluable
assets”,
focuses
on
explicating
ecological
vulnerability
characteristics
of
Nanpan
Beipan
River
Basins,
a
typical
karst
river
basin
in
Guizhou
Province.
In
this
article,
value
equivalent
table
was
built
to
calculate
ecosystem
service
(ESV)
within
from
2000
2020.
The
patch
landscape
urban
simulation
model
(PLUS)
improved
forecast
changes
under
four
scenarios
future.
Getis-Ord
Gi*statistic,
spatial
analysis
tool,
introduced
identify
interpret
patterns
ESVs
study
area.
research
indicates
that:
(1)
2020,
pattern
has
significantly
improved,
with
notable
ESV
increase
especially
fastest
growth
2005
2010.
Forest
grassland
ecosystems
main
contributors
basin,
distribution
shows
decreasing
trend
southeast
northwest.
(2)
Under
different
scenarios,
forest
still
would
have
highest
contribution
rate
update
between
2010
2035.
is
lowest
cropland
protection
scenario,
amounting
CNY
104.972
billion.
Compared
other
higher
sustainable
development
reaching
106.786
billion,
scenario
provides
more
comprehensive
balanced
perspective,
relatively
achieving
harmonious
coexistence
humans
nature.
(3)
hot
spots
mainly
concentrated
along
riverbanks
Urban
cold
ESV,
indicating
that
protecting
crucial
for
ensuring
security
mountainous
basins.
future
basins,
it
necessary
strengthen
restoration
governance,
monitor
soil
erosion
through
remote
sensing
technology,
optimize
layout
territorial
space
implement
policy
green
development,
promote
nature,
Язык: Английский
Multi-Scenario Simulation and Assessment of Ecological Security Patterns: A Case Study of Poyang Lake Eco-Economic Zone
Yuke Song,
Mangen Li,
Linghua Duo
и другие.
Sustainability,
Год журнала:
2025,
Номер
17(9), С. 4017 - 4017
Опубликована: Апрель 29, 2025
Ecological
security
is
integral
to
national
strategies,
making
the
construction
of
ecological
patterns
essential
for
mitigating
risks.
However,
predictive
research
on
(ESPs)
remains
limited.
This
study
integrates
Patch-generating
Land
Use
Simulation
(PLUS)
model
with
pattern
analysis
provide
scientific
insights
into
spatial
governance
and
optimization
in
Poyang
Lake
Economic
Zone
(PLEEZ).
First,
PLUS
simulated
land
use
changes
2030
under
three
scenarios:
natural
development
(ND),
economic
(ED),
protection
(EP).
Based
these
projections,
were
constructed
using
Integrated
Valuation
Ecosystem
Services
Tradeoffs
(InVEST)
model,
Morphological
Spatial
Pattern
Analysis
(MSPA)
method,
Conefor
2.6,
Minimum
Cumulative
Resistance
(MCR)
resistance
theory.
The
results
indicate:
(1)
19,
18,
21
source
areas
identified
different
scenarios,
covering
6093.16
km2,
5973.21
6702.56
respectively,
9,
8,
10
important
sites,
primarily
north.
(2)
37,
35,
43
corridors
delineated,
exhibiting
a
spiderweb-like
distribution.
(3)
94,
62,
107
pinch
points
116,
121,
104
barrier
detected.
Node
Aggregation
Area
was
as
critical
zone
targeted
restoration.
Finally,
zoning
management
strategy
“Four
Cores,
Two
Zones,
One
Belt”
proposed.
offers
valuable
sustainable
planning
risk
mitigation.
Язык: Английский
Optimal Simulation of Future Restoration and Protection Spatial for Mangroves and assessment of disaster prevention and mitigation functions with SDG13.1
Journal of Cleaner Production,
Год журнала:
2025,
Номер
unknown, С. 145784 - 145784
Опубликована: Май 1, 2025
Язык: Английский
Identification and simulation of ecological zoning in the Yangtze River Delta (YRD) Urban Agglomeration based on Ecological Service Value (ESV)–Landscape Ecological Risk (LER)
Journal of Cleaner Production,
Год журнала:
2025,
Номер
unknown, С. 145778 - 145778
Опубликована: Май 1, 2025
Язык: Английский
National Park Double Boundary Delimitation: A Synergy-Based Approach Integrating Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services—An Example of Proposed Ailaoshan–Wuliangshan National Parks in China
Forests,
Год журнала:
2024,
Номер
15(12), С. 2159 - 2159
Опубликована: Дек. 6, 2024
The
demarcation
of
national
park
boundaries
is
crucial
for
comprehensive
planning,
effective
management,
and
maintaining
the
integrity
ecosystems
biodiversity.
This
research
uses
proposed
‘Ailaoshan–Wuliangshan’
National
Park
(AWNP)
in
Yunnan
Province,
China,
as
study
area
adheres
to
principles
systematic
conservation
planning
(SCP).
It
employs
Marxan
2.43,
MaxEnt
3.4.4,
InVEST
3.14.2
models
predict
suitable
distribution
areas
key
endangered
species
within
AWNP,
identifies
core
ecological
source
areas,
priority
gaps,
constructs
a
double
boundary
protection
framework.
study’s
findings
indicate
that
potentially
habitats
major
rare
species,
predicted
by
model,
are
predominantly
located
Ailaoshan
Wuliangshan
with
smaller
portion
distributed
Konglonghe
area.
model
assessment
habitat
quality
revealed
total
4775.26
km2,
accounting
35.34%
identified
1064.22
km2
constituting
7.90%
Additionally,
it
gaps
302.1
which
represent
2.20%
Ultimately,
integrating
biodiversity
ecosystem
services,
AWNP
were
optimized
into
delineation
model:
inner
boundary,
characterized
rigid
control,
spans
an
1076.20
while
outer
elastic
covers
3056.92
km2.
Corresponding
management
recommendations
different
areas.
method
this
can,
certain
extent,
reconcile
conflict
between
resource
utilization,
providing
appropriate
reference
dynamic
China.
Язык: Английский