Uncertainties in Plant Species Niche Modelling Under Climate Change Scenarios DOI Open Access
Isabel Passos, Albano Figueiredo, Alice Maria Almeida

и другие.

Опубликована: Июль 15, 2024

Species distribution models (SDMs) are usually used to predict current species’ geographic distributions and forecast the impact of climate change, with different aims, such as conservation, biodiversity management. SDMs use has been increasing in last decades, however, they vulnerable parametrization data quality input. Thus, inappropriate input can lead potential unreliability results. In this context, most methodologies SDM, putative deviations from consensual best practices, were identified, by analysing recent literature (2018 2022). Results show that parameters presented more consistently chosen algorithm (MaxEnt was 98% studies), accuracy measures, time windows. Many papers fail specify other parameters, limiting reproducibility studies. Some also provide information about target species: only a fraction species' range is considered, or no justification for including specific variables model provided. These options decrease reliability predictions under future scenarios since provided inaccurate start there insufficient outputs discussion.

Язык: Английский

Enhancing ecological network establishment with explicit species information and spatially coordinated optimization for supporting urban landscape planning and management DOI

Zhou Shen,

Haiwei Yin, Fanhua Kong

и другие.

Landscape and Urban Planning, Год журнала: 2024, Номер 248, С. 105079 - 105079

Опубликована: Апрель 13, 2024

Язык: Английский

Процитировано

18

Understanding sustainability of woody species suitability zones on the Loess Plateau for optimal creation zone selection in response to future climate change DOI

Haihong Qiu,

Hairong Han, Xiaoqin Cheng

и другие.

Journal of Environmental Management, Год журнала: 2025, Номер 375, С. 124239 - 124239

Опубликована: Янв. 29, 2025

Язык: Английский

Процитировано

1

Evaluating the impact of ecological factors on the quality and habitat distribution of Lonicera japonica Flos using HPLC and the MaxEnt model DOI Creative Commons
Jiali Cheng, Fengxia Guo,

Liyang Wang

и другие.

Frontiers in Plant Science, Год журнала: 2024, Номер 15

Опубликована: Авг. 6, 2024

The quality of traditional Chinese medicine is based on the content their secondary metabolites, which vary with habitat adaptation and ecological factors. This study focuses

Язык: Английский

Процитировано

6

An integrated urban flooding risk analysis framework leveraging machine learning models: A case study of Xi'an, China DOI
Wen Li, Rengui Jiang, Hao Wu

и другие.

International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction, Год журнала: 2024, Номер 112, С. 104770 - 104770

Опубликована: Авг. 23, 2024

Язык: Английский

Процитировано

5

Modeling the Impacts of Climate Change on Potential Distribution of Betula luminifera H. Winkler in China Using MaxEnt DOI Open Access

Qiong Yang,

Yangzhou Xiang,

Suhang Li

и другие.

Forests, Год журнала: 2024, Номер 15(9), С. 1624 - 1624

Опубликована: Сен. 14, 2024

Betula luminifera H. Winkler, a fast-growing broad-leaved tree species native to China’s subtropical regions, possesses significant ecological and economic value. The species’ adaptability ornamental characteristics make it crucial component of forest ecosystems. However, the impacts global climate change on its geographical distribution are not well understood, necessitating research predict potential shifts under future scenarios. Our aims were forecast impact suitable B. across China using MaxEnt model, which is recognized for high predictive accuracy low sample data requirement. Geographical coordinate points collected from various databases verified redundancy. Nineteen bioclimatic variables selected screened correlation avoid overfitting in model. model was optimized ENMeval package, evaluated Akaike Information Criterion Correction (delta.AICc), Training Omission Rate (OR10), Area Under Curve (AUC). predicted current scenarios based Shared Socio-economic Pathways (SSPs). demonstrated with an AUC value 0.9. dominant environmental influencing annual precipitation, minimum temperature coldest month, standard deviation seasonality. habitat area location significantly different scenarios, complex dynamics expansion contraction. centroid also migrate, indicating response changing climatic conditions. findings underscore importance optimization enhancing provide valuable insights development conservation strategies management plans address challenges posed by change.

Язык: Английский

Процитировано

5

Prediction of Potential Distribution Patterns of Three Larix Species on Qinghai-Tibet Plateau under Future Climate Scenarios DOI Open Access

Xiu An,

Tousheng Huang, Huayong Zhang

и другие.

Forests, Год журнала: 2023, Номер 14(5), С. 1058 - 1058

Опубликована: Май 21, 2023

How climate change affects the plants on Qinghai-Tibet Plateau (QTP) has become a hot research topic in recent years. It was widely recognized that Larix. are sensitive to change, while corresponding of QTP been rare. Using maximum entropy (MaxEnt) model, we predicted potential distribution patterns Larix potaninii Batalin, griffithii and speciosa this study under different future scenarios. The results demonstrated area suitable habitat for Batalin (Larix griffithii) presented loss (gain) trend, remained unchanged whole. centroids their habits all migrated high-altitude high-latitude areas, suggesting three species may take same survival strategy response change. Annual Precipitation most significant environmental factor influencing pattern Temperature Range speciosa. overlapping 2041–2060 SSP126 scenarios decreased with increasing emission concentration, niches these step towards separation. This suggested strategies findings provide reliable basis conserving endangered

Язык: Английский

Процитировано

11

Assessment of the potential habitat suitability and ephedrine quality of two Ephedra species in China under climate change DOI
Xiaowei Li, Xian Gu,

Fuying Mao

и другие.

Plant Biosystems - An International Journal Dealing with all Aspects of Plant Biology, Год журнала: 2024, Номер 158(3), С. 479 - 489

Опубликована: Март 12, 2024

Ephedra sinica and intermedia are important medicinal plants critical raw materials for ephedrine extraction in the pharmaceutical industry. Climate change will affect their distribution quality. In our study, information on E. was collected through wilderness online surveys. Using high-performance liquid chromatography, we determined contents of pseudoephedrine. We then utilized maximum entropy model to assess potential impact future climate quality two Ephedra. The results showed that species were predominantly found arid semiarid regions northern China. suitable habitats area be severely degraded under RCP 2.6, 4.5 8.5 conditions opposite. accumulation chemical components depends precipitation wettest month (Bio13) soil sand content, while mean temperature warmest quarter (Bio10) seasonality (Bio15). Overall, research provide basis high-quality conservation sustainable resource development.

Язык: Английский

Процитировано

4

Identification of Potential Habitats and Adjustment of Protected Area Boundaries for Large Wild Herbivores in the Yellow-River-Source National Park, China DOI Creative Commons

Shengwang Bao,

Fan Yang

Land, Год журнала: 2024, Номер 13(2), С. 186 - 186

Опубликована: Фев. 4, 2024

The wild large herbivores inhabiting the Yellow-River-Source National Park (YRSNP) are confronted with a significant threat from climate change and human activities. In response to these detrimental influences, measures have been proposed by government, such as Ecological Conservation Restoration Project in Sanjiangyuan Region (ECRPSR) establishment of (SNP). To advance species diversity, it is crucial investigate spatial distribution herbivores, identify factors influencing their distribution, address conflicts arising divergent plans within YRSNP. this study, unmanned aerial vehicles were employed for surveying Tibetan ass (Equus kiang) gazelle (Procapra picticaudata). findings indicate that optimal habitat area 437.16 km2, while gazelle, 776.46 km2. Precipitation footprint index emerge primary Under influence ECRPSR, there was noteworthy expansion 791.25 expanded 1612.94 From wildlife conservation standpoint, study proposes refuge YRSNP, effective coordination between various functional zones plans, preservation suitable habitats provision scientific foundation reconcile development region, concurrently fostering biodiversity conservation.

Язык: Английский

Процитировано

3

Exploring the Genetic Landscape of Tilia Spp. with Molecular and Statistical Tools DOI Creative Commons

Alina-Maria Tenche-Constantinescu,

Dacian Lalescu, S. Popescu

и другие.

Horticulturae, Год журнала: 2024, Номер 10(6), С. 596 - 596

Опубликована: Июнь 6, 2024

Tree species with high ecological plasticity are recommended for use in urban green infrastructures. This study explores the genetic diversity of Tilia cordata, platyphyllos, and argentea, highlighting their contribution to landscapes. In this respect, variability individuals from four populations genus has been analyzed using Inter Simple Sequence Repeats (ISSR) molecular markers, some phenotypic characters were naked-eyed observed or determined by dendrometric measurements. Significant between studied was determined. Cluster analysis identified two main groups: cordata I II formed first cluster, platyphyllos argentea second cluster. The results confirmed separating relation visible morphological characters. Results obtained measurements represent foundation further investigations on ecology. An essential potential practical results: establishment more efficient ISSR primers identify analyzed: UBC864, A12, UBC840, A7 A13 demonstrated.

Язык: Английский

Процитировано

3

Evolutionary history and population dynamics of a rare and endangered medicinal plant Bergenia scopulosa (Saxifragaceae): Evidences from chloroplast genomes and ecological niche analysis DOI Creative Commons

Qijing Zhang,

Xuan-Ye Wu,

Xuan Wang

и другие.

Global Ecology and Conservation, Год журнала: 2024, Номер 54, С. e03097 - e03097

Опубликована: Июль 16, 2024

Geological and climatic events have long been considered to profoundly affect population evolution demographic history of species, but the evolutionary rare endangered herbaceous plants in East Asia remains less well understood. In this study, chloroplast genomes, environmental variables geographical distribution information were integrated determine dynamics Bergenia scopulosa T.P.Wang, an medicinal herb endemic central China (Qinling Mountains). Population genomic analysis based on genomes indicated a significant degree intraspecific differentiation within B. scopulosa, where two separate genetic lineages identified eastern western groups Qinling Mountains, respectively. The found low level nucleotide diversity. Meanwhile, ecological niche revealed that had obvious divergence. Species modeling illustrated experienced prominent contraction from interglacial periods present, while suitable habitat was predicted shift higher elevations response global warming future scenarios. These findings suggested geological factors together affected divergence Mountains Asia. particular, geographic isolation appeared play greater role scopulosa. Therefore, conservation units should be correspondingly established for

Язык: Английский

Процитировано

3