Procedia Computer Science,
Год журнала:
2024,
Номер
242, С. 318 - 325
Опубликована: Янв. 1, 2024
This
study
investigates
the
resilience
of
various
industries
in
China
stock
market
against
geopolitical
risk
(GPR).
Using
TVP-VAR-SV
analysis,
time-varying
effects
GPR
on
is
first
measured
and
based
results,
absorption
intensity
duration
are
constructed
as
indicators
for
assessing
industries'
resilience.
Empirical
results
show
that:
(1)
impact
more
significant
short
medium
run
than
long
run.
(2)
all
turns
from
positive
to
negative
both
run,
except
coal
industry.
(3)
The
selected
opposite
trends,
which
indicates
that
these
can
adapt
absorb
larger
shocks,
while
smaller
shocks
require
time
be
digested.
(4)
Both
trend
mutation
when
facing
with
major
events.
Our
findings
provide
crucial
insights
investors
policymakers
markets.
Polish Journal of Environmental Studies,
Год журнала:
2024,
Номер
unknown
Опубликована: Сен. 2, 2024
With
geopolitical
tensions
rising,
energy
supply
chain
shortages
emerging,
and
natural
gas
prices
skyrocketing,
dealing
with
risk
ensuring
security
are
attracting
increasing
attention
from
countries
around
the
world,
need
for
resilience
has
never
been
more
urgent.To
probe
causality
between
resilience,
paper
establishes
an
based
on
panel
data
of
20
2000
to
2019
empirical
analysis.The
results
indicate
that
improves
conclusions
still
hold
after
a
series
robustness
tests.Moreover,
this
study
also
tests
underlying
heterogeneity
characteristics.To
explore
influencing
mechanism,
proposes
impact
through
scale
effect,
structural
technological
effect.Specifically,
concludes
will
not
endanger
which
is
mainly
attributed
fact
dependence
fossil
consumption
hinders
negative
effect
resilience.Finally,
policy
implications
provided.
International Journal of Energy Sector Management,
Год журнала:
2025,
Номер
unknown
Опубликована: Янв. 12, 2025
Purpose
The
purpose
of
this
study
is
to
empirically
investigates
the
influence
geopolitical
risk
acts
(GPR)
on
world
crude
oil
production.
GPRs
are
a
proxy
for
waging
wars
and
military
actions,
thus
it
expected
have
clear
impact
production
(WCOP).
Design/methodology/approach
current
formulates
theoretical
model,
its
parameters
estimated
using
three
methodologies
–
traditional
autoregressive
distributed
lag
(ARDL)
Dynamic
ARDL
Frequency
domain
causality
test
across
period
1973–2023
ensure
robust
findings.
Findings
results
illustrate
that
constrain
global
supply.
final
relies
positive
interaction
term
between
international
economic
activity
from
one
side
negative
with
prices
other.
Likewise,
findings
show
threats
reduce
producing
oil.
Furthermore,
research
deliberates
policy
implications
stemming
these
Originality/value
Examining
existing
literature
reveals
gap
in
understanding
relationship
Most
studies
strand
focus
investigating
price
volatility.
Defence and Peace Economics,
Год журнала:
2025,
Номер
unknown, С. 1 - 19
Опубликована: Март 5, 2025
Given
the
increasing
reliance
on
public-private
partnerships
(PPP)
in
energy
infrastructure
across
emerging
economies,
understanding
how
geopolitical
instability
influences
these
investments
is
crucial.
This
study
aims
to
assess
impact
of
risk
(GPR)
PPP
sector
(PPE).
The
employs
a
panel
dataset
covering
BRICS
economies
from
1985
2023
and
utilizes
CS-ARDL
model
capture
both
short-run
long-run
effects
while
addressing
cross-sectional
dependence
heterogeneity.
To
ensure
robustness,
GMM
applied.
empirical
results
indicate
that
GPR
has
significantly
negative
PPE,
implying
heightened
uncertainty
discourages
private
participation
large-scale
projects.
causality
analysis
confirms
bidirectional
relationship
between
investments,
indicating
not
only
affects
investment
decisions
but
may
also
be
influenced
by
dynamics.
findings
emphasize
need
for
strong
institutional
frameworks,
mitigation
mechanisms,
strategic
financial
incentives
sustain
despite
uncertainty.
Additionally,
regional
cooperation
insurance
mechanisms
could
help
mitigate
uncertainties,
ensuring
long-term
sustainability
development.
contributes
literature
integrating
into
discourse
financing
through
PPP,
largely
overlooked
aspect
prior
research.
