Spatio-temporal modelling of extreme low birth rates in U.S. counties
BMC Public Health,
Год журнала:
2025,
Номер
25(1)
Опубликована: Фев. 6, 2025
The
continuous
declining
rate
of
birth
may
cause
severe
worldwide
problems,
including
population
ageing
and
demographic
imbalance.
This
paper
aims
to
identify
the
geographic
disparities
potential
influential
factors
extreme
downward
excess
rates
in
U.S.
at
county
level
from
2003
2020.
innovative
Bayesian
generalized
Pareto
(GP)
quantile
regression
model
is
employed
for
analysing
spatiotemporal
pattern
stressful
low
its
association
with
socioeconomic,
demographic,
meteorological
factors.
optimal
stochastic
partial
differential
equation
autoregressive
order
one
(SPDE-AR(1))
structured
selected
based
on
common
criteria
scaled
threshold
weighted
ranked
probability
score,
indicating
apparent
spatial
unbalance
deteriorating
tendency
falling
rate.
findings
show
that
elderly,
highly
educated
structure,
city-developed
situation,
average
weight,
age
mother
have
a
significant
impact
rate,
particularly
examples
Charlotte,
Sarasota,
Collier
counties
Florida,
Marin,
Santa,
Cruuz,
San
Mateo
California.
Conversely,
increasing
female
proportion
GDP
per
capita
can
alleviate
pressure.
Our
methodology
productive
stress
but
not
limited
weight
cognitive
impairment.
Язык: Английский
Spatial heterogeneity in climate change effects across Brazilian biomes
Scientific Reports,
Год журнала:
2024,
Номер
14(1)
Опубликована: Июль 16, 2024
Abstract
We
present
a
methodology
designed
to
study
the
spatial
heterogeneity
of
climate
change.
Our
approach
involves
decomposing
observed
changes
in
temperature
patterns
into
multiple
trend,
cycle,
and
seasonal
components
within
spatio-temporal
model.
apply
this
method
test
hypothesis
global
long-term
trend
against
trends
distinct
biomes.
Applying
methodology,
we
delve
examination
change
Brazil—a
country
characterized
by
spectrum
zones.
The
findings
challenge
notion
revealing
presence
warming
effects,
more
accelerated
for
Amazon
Cerrado
biomes,
indicating
composition
between
deforestation
determining
permanent
patterns.
Язык: Английский