Spatial heterogeneity in climate change effects across Brazilian biomes DOI Creative Commons

Adriano Braga,

Márcio Poletti Laurini

Scientific Reports, Год журнала: 2024, Номер 14(1)

Опубликована: Июль 16, 2024

Abstract We present a methodology designed to study the spatial heterogeneity of climate change. Our approach involves decomposing observed changes in temperature patterns into multiple trend, cycle, and seasonal components within spatio-temporal model. apply this method test hypothesis global long-term trend against trends distinct biomes. Applying methodology, we delve examination change Brazil—a country characterized by spectrum zones. The findings challenge notion revealing presence warming effects, more accelerated for Amazon Cerrado biomes, indicating composition between deforestation determining permanent patterns.

Язык: Английский

Spatio-temporal modelling of extreme low birth rates in U.S. counties DOI Creative Commons
Kai Wang, Yingqing Zhang,

Long Bai

и другие.

BMC Public Health, Год журнала: 2025, Номер 25(1)

Опубликована: Фев. 6, 2025

The continuous declining rate of birth may cause severe worldwide problems, including population ageing and demographic imbalance. This paper aims to identify the geographic disparities potential influential factors extreme downward excess rates in U.S. at county level from 2003 2020. innovative Bayesian generalized Pareto (GP) quantile regression model is employed for analysing spatiotemporal pattern stressful low its association with socioeconomic, demographic, meteorological factors. optimal stochastic partial differential equation autoregressive order one (SPDE-AR(1)) structured selected based on common criteria scaled threshold weighted ranked probability score, indicating apparent spatial unbalance deteriorating tendency falling rate. findings show that elderly, highly educated structure, city-developed situation, average weight, age mother have a significant impact rate, particularly examples Charlotte, Sarasota, Collier counties Florida, Marin, Santa, Cruuz, San Mateo California. Conversely, increasing female proportion GDP per capita can alleviate pressure. Our methodology productive stress but not limited weight cognitive impairment.

Язык: Английский

Процитировано

1

Spatial heterogeneity in climate change effects across Brazilian biomes DOI Creative Commons

Adriano Braga,

Márcio Poletti Laurini

Scientific Reports, Год журнала: 2024, Номер 14(1)

Опубликована: Июль 16, 2024

Abstract We present a methodology designed to study the spatial heterogeneity of climate change. Our approach involves decomposing observed changes in temperature patterns into multiple trend, cycle, and seasonal components within spatio-temporal model. apply this method test hypothesis global long-term trend against trends distinct biomes. Applying methodology, we delve examination change Brazil—a country characterized by spectrum zones. The findings challenge notion revealing presence warming effects, more accelerated for Amazon Cerrado biomes, indicating composition between deforestation determining permanent patterns.

Язык: Английский

Процитировано

3