地球系统视角下的多圈层复合极端事件研究进展与展望 DOI Open Access

增超 郝,

阳 陈

SCIENTIA SINICA Terrae, Год журнала: 2023, Номер unknown

Опубликована: Окт. 9, 2023

复合极端事件对社会、经济和生态所造成的影响相较于各事件独立发生时更为严重, 这类事件已成为近10年来地球科学领域的研究热点之一. 气候变化背景下许多复合极端事件频发、强发, 极端事件间的组合形式也呈现出新特点, 对科学研究和防灾应对提出了更高的要求和更严峻的挑战. 本文在地球系统多圈层相互作用的视角下系统梳理了多类高影响复合极端事件的定义、机理、变化、归因、预估等方面的研究现状; 探讨了复合极端事件研究在数据需求、机理分析、模型模拟、归因预估、风险评估和适应应对等方面的挑战及可能的解决方案; 进一步展望了该领域未来可能的发展趋势和急需多学科、多部门联合攻关的重点研究内容. 在气候变化重塑极端事件类型的背景下, 科学研究、防灾减灾和应对气候变化工作均需从传统单一极端事件视角向复合极端事件视角转变, 对研究对象、思路和方法进行全方位的革新. 本文对复合极端事件研究领域的发展和多学科领域的交叉合作将起到一定的促进作用.

Water-energy characteristics of the warming and drying trends in the eastern China DOI
Mengyang Liu, Yixing Yin, Peng Zhang

и другие.

Journal of Hydrology, Год журнала: 2025, Номер unknown, С. 133515 - 133515

Опубликована: Май 1, 2025

Язык: Английский

Процитировано

0

Global disparities in rural and urban population exposure to compound drought and heatwave events DOI Creative Commons
Tao Li,

Fengjiao Song,

Andrée De Cock

и другие.

npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, Год журнала: 2025, Номер 8(1)

Опубликована: Май 31, 2025

Язык: Английский

Процитировано

0

Drought risk assessment on arid region under different socioeconomic scenarios: A case of Loess Plateau, China DOI Creative Commons
Jinjun Guo, Dongyang Xiao, Xialing Sun

и другие.

Ecological Indicators, Год журнала: 2024, Номер 167, С. 112728 - 112728

Опубликована: Окт. 1, 2024

Язык: Английский

Процитировано

3

The characteristic of compound drought and saltwater intrusion events in the several major river estuaries worldwide DOI
Dan Li, Bingjun Liu,

Lu Yang

и другие.

Journal of Environmental Management, Год журнала: 2023, Номер 350, С. 119659 - 119659

Опубликована: Ноя. 28, 2023

Язык: Английский

Процитировано

6

Spatio-temporal assessment of multi-scalar meteorological and hydrological droughts over Bundelkhand, India DOI
Ruchir Patidar, Santosh Murlidhar Pingale, Deepak Khare

и другие.

Physics and Chemistry of the Earth Parts A/B/C, Год журнала: 2024, Номер 136, С. 103729 - 103729

Опубликована: Сен. 8, 2024

Язык: Английский

Процитировано

2

Substantial increase in future land exposure to compound droughts and heatwaves in China dominated by climate change DOI

Taizheng Liu,

Yuqing Zhang, Bin Guo

и другие.

Journal of Hydrology, Год журнала: 2024, Номер unknown, С. 132219 - 132219

Опубликована: Окт. 1, 2024

Язык: Английский

Процитировано

2

Connection of Compound Extremes of Air Temperature and Precipitation with Atmospheric Circulation Patterns in Eastern Europe DOI Open Access
Olga Sukhonos, Elena Vyshkvarkova

Climate, Год журнала: 2023, Номер 11(5), С. 98 - 98

Опубликована: Апрель 29, 2023

Recent studies show an increase in the frequency of compound extremes air temperature and precipitation many parts world, especially under dry hot conditions. Compound have a significant impact on all spheres human activity, such as health, agriculture, energy. Features atmospheric circulation are closely related to occurrence anomalies precipitation. The article analyzes relationship modes with that had greatest Atlantic–European region over territory Eastern Europe past 60 years extreme Combinations humidity conditions (indices)—cold-dry (CD), cold-wet (CW), warm-dry (WD) warm-wet (WW)—were used extremes. Indices were calculated according E-OBS reanalysis data. Estimates between two time series carried out using standard correlation composite analyses, well cross wavelet analysis. Phase relationships intervals for different climatic indices different. period most fluctuations was from 4 12 observed during 1970–2000. coherent WD WW North Atlantic oscillation (NAO) index occurred rather phase, those CD Arctic (AO) antiphase, Scandinavia pattern (SCAND) antiphase. Statistically number warm found northern study winter season positive NAO AO phases.

Язык: Английский

Процитировано

5

Projected Increase in Compound Drought and Hot Days over Global Maize Areas under Global Warming DOI Open Access
Yan He,

Yanxia Zhao,

Yihong Duan

и другие.

Water, Год журнала: 2024, Номер 16(4), С. 621 - 621

Опубликована: Фев. 19, 2024

Compound drought and hot events can lead to detrimental impacts on crop yield with grave implications for global regional food security. Hence, an understanding of how such will change under unabated warming is helpful avoid associated negative better prepare them. In this article, we comprehensively analyze the projected changes in compound days (CDHDs) occurring within maize-growing season 2015–2100 over dynamic maize areas using 10 downscaled Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) models four socio-economic scenarios (SSP1-2.6, SSP2-4.5, SSP3-7.0 SSP5-8.5). The results demonstrate a notable increase frequency severity CDHDs all SSPs, which SSP5-8.5 has fastest rise, followed by SSP3-7.0, SSP2-4.5 SSP1-2.6. By end 21st century, average reach 18~68 1.0~2.6. Hotspot regions are mainly found southern Africa, eastern South America, Europe USA, where heat show most widespread increases. be faster than general so that almost increments accompanied droughts future; therefore, dry stresses gradually become predominant form stress growth. applied optimize adaptation strategies mitigating risks from production worldwide.

Язык: Английский

Процитировано

1

Dynamic disparities in inorganic nitrogen and phosphorus fluxes into estuarine systems under different flow regimes and streamflow droughts DOI
Sumon Hossain Rabby, Leila Rahimi, Ebrahim Ahmadisharaf

и другие.

Water Research, Год журнала: 2024, Номер 264, С. 122238 - 122238

Опубликована: Авг. 8, 2024

Язык: Английский

Процитировано

1

Upscaling drought resilience by coupling soil data and UAV-multispectral imageries DOI
Giulia Sofia, Martina Sinatra, Paolo Tarolli

и другие.

The Science of The Total Environment, Год журнала: 2024, Номер 958, С. 178007 - 178007

Опубликована: Дек. 18, 2024

Язык: Английский

Процитировано

1