Harnessing AHP and Fuzzy Scenarios for Resilient Flood Management in Arid Environments: Challenges and Pathways Toward Sustainability DOI Open Access
Mohammad Hossein Sayadi, Zeynab Karimzadeh Motlagh, Dominika Dąbrowska

и другие.

Water, Год журнала: 2025, Номер 17(9), С. 1276 - 1276

Опубликована: Апрель 25, 2025

Flash floods rank among the most devastating natural hazards, causing widespread socio-economic, environmental, and infrastructural damage globally. Hence, innovative management approaches are required to mitigate their increasing frequency intensity, driven by factors such as climate change urbanization. Accordingly, this study introduced an integrated flood assessment approach (IFAA) for sustainable of risks integrating analytical hierarchy process-weighted linear combination (AHP-WLC) fuzzy-ordered weighted averaging (FOWA) methods. The IFAA was applied in South Khorasan Province, Iran, arid flood-prone region. Fifteen controlling factors, including rainfall (RF), slope (SL), land use/land cover (LU/LC), distance rivers (DTR), were processed using collected data. AHP-WLC method classified region into susceptibility zones: very low (10.23%), (23.14%), moderate (29.61%), high (17.54%), (19.48%). FOWA technique ensured these findings introducing optimistic pessimistic fuzzy scenarios risk. extreme scenario indicated that 98.79% area highly sensitive flooding, while less than 5% deemed low-risk under conservative scenarios. Validation demonstrated its reliability, with achieving curve (AUC) 0.83 average accuracy ~75% across all Findings revealed elevated dangers densely populated industrialized areas, particularly northern southern regions, which influenced proximity rivers. Therefore, also addressed challenges linked development goals (SDGs), SDG 13 (climate action), proposing adaptive strategies meet 60% targets. This research can offer a scalable framework risk management, providing actionable insights hydrologically vulnerable regions worldwide.

Язык: Английский

Harnessing AHP and Fuzzy Scenarios for Resilient Flood Management in Arid Environments: Challenges and Pathways Toward Sustainability DOI Open Access
Mohammad Hossein Sayadi, Zeynab Karimzadeh Motlagh, Dominika Dąbrowska

и другие.

Water, Год журнала: 2025, Номер 17(9), С. 1276 - 1276

Опубликована: Апрель 25, 2025

Flash floods rank among the most devastating natural hazards, causing widespread socio-economic, environmental, and infrastructural damage globally. Hence, innovative management approaches are required to mitigate their increasing frequency intensity, driven by factors such as climate change urbanization. Accordingly, this study introduced an integrated flood assessment approach (IFAA) for sustainable of risks integrating analytical hierarchy process-weighted linear combination (AHP-WLC) fuzzy-ordered weighted averaging (FOWA) methods. The IFAA was applied in South Khorasan Province, Iran, arid flood-prone region. Fifteen controlling factors, including rainfall (RF), slope (SL), land use/land cover (LU/LC), distance rivers (DTR), were processed using collected data. AHP-WLC method classified region into susceptibility zones: very low (10.23%), (23.14%), moderate (29.61%), high (17.54%), (19.48%). FOWA technique ensured these findings introducing optimistic pessimistic fuzzy scenarios risk. extreme scenario indicated that 98.79% area highly sensitive flooding, while less than 5% deemed low-risk under conservative scenarios. Validation demonstrated its reliability, with achieving curve (AUC) 0.83 average accuracy ~75% across all Findings revealed elevated dangers densely populated industrialized areas, particularly northern southern regions, which influenced proximity rivers. Therefore, also addressed challenges linked development goals (SDGs), SDG 13 (climate action), proposing adaptive strategies meet 60% targets. This research can offer a scalable framework risk management, providing actionable insights hydrologically vulnerable regions worldwide.

Язык: Английский

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