Understanding the role of energy sector in the outbreak of epidemic in China: An analysis based on SEIDR epidemic model, dynamic input-output model and resource allocation DEA model
Energy,
Год журнала:
2024,
Номер
305, С. 132137 - 132137
Опубликована: Июнь 21, 2024
Язык: Английский
Epidemic dynamics with awareness cascade of positive and negative information on delayed multiplex networks
Chaos An Interdisciplinary Journal of Nonlinear Science,
Год журнала:
2025,
Номер
35(2)
Опубликована: Фев. 1, 2025
Human
behavioral
awareness
is
usually
socially
relevant,
decisions
are
made
based
on
the
behavior
of
individuals,
and
this
dynamic
process
human
with
herd
effects
called
cascade.
Based
complexity
modern
information
dissemination,
not
monolithic.
Individuals
choose
type
epidemic-related
to
accept,
i.e.,
whether
it
positive
or
negative
information,
according
cascade,
then
take
corresponding
measures
cope
epidemic.
In
paper,
we
use
microscopic
Markov
chain
approach
model
an
information-virus
dual
network,
where
layer
has
a
threshold
cascade
virus
susceptible-infected-recovery
epidemic
infection
time
delay
recovery
delay.
The
also
non-negligible
modeling
factor
as
complete
individual
require
sufficient
time.
An
explicit
formula
for
critical
spread
derived.
We
find
that
have
significant
effect
threshold,
mainly
affects
size.
Experiments
show
local
acceptance
rate
point
epidemics
under
significantly
affected
by
mass
media.
divides
into
two
stages.
Язык: Английский
The interaction of information diffusion and epidemic transmission in time-varying multiplex networks with simplicial complexes and asymmetric activity levels
Physica Scripta,
Год журнала:
2024,
Номер
99(3), С. 035211 - 035211
Опубликована: Фев. 6, 2024
Abstract
Information
diffusion
among
individuals
occurs
in
various
ways,
mainly
involving
pairwise
and
higher-order
interactions,
their
coexistence
can
be
characterized
by
simplicial
complexes.
This
paper
introduces
a
novel
two-layer
model
that
investigates
coupled
information-epidemic
propagation.
Specifically,
the
upper
layer
represents
virtual
depicts
information
diffusion,
where
interaction
process
is
not
only
limited
to
interactions
but
also
influenced
interactions.
The
lower
denotes
physical
contact
portray
epidemic
transmission,
considered
In
particular,
emergence
of
asymmetric
activity
levels
networks
reshapes
propagation
mechanism.
We
then
employ
micro-Marko
chain
approach
(MMCA)
establish
probabilistic
transfer
equation
for
each
state,
deduce
outbreak
threshold,
investigate
equilibrium
stability
proposed
model.
Furthermore,
we
perform
extensive
Monte
Carlo
(MC)
simulations
validate
theoretical
predictions.
results
demonstrate
generates
synergistic
reinforcement
mechanisms
both
facilitate
inhibit
transmission.
Moreover,
this
study
suggests
level
at
has
greater
impact
on
addition,
utilize
two
different
explore
influence
network
structural
features
transmission
scale
epidemics.
Язык: Английский
Impact of population size on epidemic spreading in a bipartite metapopulation network with recurrent mobility
International Journal of Modern Physics C,
Год журнала:
2024,
Номер
35(08)
Опубликована: Янв. 8, 2024
The
mobility
pattern
of
a
population
plays
key
role
in
the
spread
epidemics.
Despite
extensive
work
on
epidemic
spreading,
little
attention
has
been
paid
to
impact
subpopulation
size.
This
paper
investigates
epidemics
bipartite
metapopulation
network
considering
recurrent
patterns
and
different
sizes
subpopulations.
With
Markovian
process
approach,
threshold
can
be
predicted
as
function
size
parameters.
Simulation
theoretical
results
indicate
that
there
exists
critical
intensity
below
which
will
eliminated,
while
limiting
suppress
epidemic.
Additionally,
approach
zero
when
public
area
is
large.
help
prevention
spreading
under
crowd
mobility.
Язык: Английский
A coupled model of information-epidemic considering heterogeneity in individual activity levels in multiple networks
Communications in Nonlinear Science and Numerical Simulation,
Год журнала:
2024,
Номер
unknown, С. 108552 - 108552
Опубликована: Дек. 1, 2024
Язык: Английский
Coupled dynamics of endemic disease transmission and gradual awareness diffusion in multiplex networks
Mathematical Models and Methods in Applied Sciences,
Год журнала:
2023,
Номер
33(13), С. 2785 - 2821
Опубликована: Окт. 28, 2023
Understanding
the
interplay
between
human
behavioral
phenomena
and
infectious
disease
dynamics
has
been
one
of
central
challenges
mathematical
epidemiology.
However,
socio-cognitive
processes
critical
for
initiation
desired
responses
during
an
outbreak
have
often
neglected
or
oversimplified
in
earlier
models.
Combining
microscopic
Markov
chain
approach
with
law
total
probability,
we
herein
institute
a
model
describing
dynamic
stage-based
progression
awareness
diffusion
endemic
transmission
multiplex
networks.
We
analytically
derived
epidemic
thresholds
both
discrete-time
continuous-time
versions
our
model,
numerically
demonstrated
accuracy
analytic
arguments
capturing
time
course
steady
state
coupled
disease-awareness
dynamics.
found
that
is
exact
arbitrary
unclustered
networks,
outperforming
widely
adopted
probability-tree-based
method,
prediction
time-evolution
contagion
final
size.
Our
findings
show
informing
unaware
individuals
about
circulating
will
not
be
sufficient
prevention
unless
distributed
information
triggers
strong
infection
risks
adequate
protective
measures,
immunity
highly-aware
can
elevate
threshold,
but
only
if
rate
transition
from
weak
to
sufficiently
high.
study
thus
reveals
other
parameters
nontrivially
interact
when
producing
their
effects
on
epidemiological
disease,
suggesting
future
public
health
measures
should
ignore
this
complex
its
influence
multilayered
networked
systems.
Язык: Английский
Prospect Theory Based Individual Irrationality Modelling and Behavior Inducement in Pandemic Control
Computer Modeling in Engineering & Sciences,
Год журнала:
2024,
Номер
140(1), С. 139 - 170
Опубликована: Янв. 1, 2024
Understanding
and
modeling
individuals'
behaviors
during
epidemics
is
crucial
for
effective
epidemic
control.
However,
existing
research
ignores
the
impact
of
users'
irrationality
on
decision-making
in
epidemic.
Meanwhile,
disease
control
methods
often
assume
full
compliance
with
measures
like
mandatory
isolation,
which
does
not
align
actual
situation.
To
address
these
issues,
this
paper
proposes
a
prospect
theory-based
framework
to
model
process
analyzes
how
affects
dynamics.
According
analysis
results,
tends
prompt
conservative
when
infection
risk
low
but
encourages
risk-seeking
high.
Then,
behavior
inducement
algorithm
guide
spread
disease.
Simulations
real
user
tests
validate
our
analysis,
simulation
results
show
that
proposed
can
effectively
behavior.
Язык: Английский
Higher-order Network Information Propagation Model Based on Social Impact Theory
Physics Letters A,
Год журнала:
2024,
Номер
unknown, С. 129969 - 129969
Опубликована: Окт. 1, 2024
Язык: Английский
The effect of simplicial awareness dissemination on epidemic reaction-diffusion
Опубликована: Июнь 16, 2023
An
epidemic
model
is
constructed
to
consider
the
impact
of
simplicial
diffusion
awareness
on
multiplex
networks.
Higher-order
2-simplex
interactions
convey
information
in
upper
layer.
In
lower
layer,
spreading
considered
with
metapopulation
network.
Final
infection
densities
can
be
significantly
affected
by
diffusion,
as
demonstrated
simulations.
The
results
help
constrain
disease
such
COVID-19
populations.
Язык: Английский