Annals of Dunarea de Jos University of Galati Fascicle I Economics and Applied Informatics, Год журнала: 2023, Номер 29(3), С. 39 - 45
Опубликована: Дек. 30, 2023
Язык: Английский
Research Square (Research Square), Год журнала: 2023, Номер unknown
Опубликована: Май 15, 2023
Abstract It is timely and crucial to research the effects of oil price volatility, unpredictability, geopolitical instability on persistence BRICS economies. Given continually shifting global markets rising tensions, it critical comprehend how these factors impact economies countries. We can support in remaining resilient ensuring their future growth success by learning handle overcome issues. This study examines predictability, unpredictability affect economies' ability endure economic success. The explores dynamic relationship between during period from 2004 2022 using advanced econometric approaches, such as panel data analysis PSRT autoregression. results show that, with various degrees sensitivity across five economies, changes have a major nations. Furthermore, has been found that tends make negative volatility worse, particularly energy-dependent Russia Brazil. 2012 reform's index (OPVI) stock association also investigated this study. recommends nations adopt policies lessen shocks risks, including increasing energy diversification implementing efficient risk management plans promote long-term growth.
Язык: Английский
Процитировано
1
Research Square (Research Square), Год журнала: 2024, Номер unknown
Опубликована: Март 28, 2024
Abstract The use of sophisticated computational models for economic forecasting and decision-making is on the rise. Several studies have compared Hybridization Adaptive Fuzzy Inference System (HAFIS) which proposed in this research to traditional approaches; review looks at them all show how HAFIS better several areas, including precision, flexibility, responsiveness, decision support, long-term planning. version's accuracy, strategic making plans talents are more suitable as included system evolves phases. thorough exam Economic Uncertainty, divided into 3 principal impacts: Geopolitical Events, Market Pressures, Environmental Factors, critical process HAFIS. All these items integrate form unpredictable surroundings that oil commercial enterprise works in. facts notoriously misguided, however treated by means a mixture rule bases, fuzzy common sense operations. complicated Forecasting Model, includes modern Computational Models, middle level can react dynamically various troubles posed unpredictability global marketplace tendencies. fashions adaptive procedures logic decipher complex patterns inside enterprise's fabric. endorsed method portrayed complete flexible technique challenges working worldwide market. actual-world data within simulation evaluation proved outperformed extra techniques predicting. Because its flexibility has potential generate accurate projections, it doubtlessly beneficial asset everyone involved enterprise. In end, will be assistance professionals industry navigating complexities system. This accomplished via development methodologies demonstration realistically apply such actual situations.
Язык: Английский
Процитировано
0
Опубликована: Апрель 18, 2024
In this paper, we use regression equations and Monte Carlo simulations to study the dynamics of WTI crude oil prices. Our research takes price as dependent variable looks at how it relates nine key macroeconomic variables, most which have do with supply. We recognize importance these factors affecting by using knowledge from earlier studies. order make our easier, compile historical data last 60 months combine chosen indicators. The choice variables stem their critical role in shaping markets. Through a multiple model, aim establish comprehensive understanding dependencies between prices factors. To ensure robustness assess multicollinearity among independent emphasizing that while they are related prices, should not exhibit high intercorrelations. provides valuable framework for scenario generation, allowing us explore potential future movements based on identical relationships. By unveiling intricate interplay contributes informed decision-making investors policymakers.
Язык: Английский
Процитировано
0
Resources Policy, Год журнала: 2024, Номер 98, С. 105337 - 105337
Опубликована: Сен. 27, 2024
Язык: Английский
Процитировано
0
Annals of Dunarea de Jos University of Galati Fascicle I Economics and Applied Informatics, Год журнала: 2023, Номер 29(3), С. 39 - 45
Опубликована: Дек. 30, 2023
Язык: Английский
Процитировано
0