Analyzing fossil fuel commodities' return spillovers during the Russia and Ukraine crisis in the energy market

Energy Economics, Год журнала: 2024, Номер 135, С. 107651 - 107651

Опубликована: Май 22, 2024

Язык: Английский

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Historical geopolitical risk acts and world crude oil production: evidence from the international level

International Journal of Energy Sector Management, Год журнала: 2025, Номер unknown

Опубликована: Янв. 12, 2025

Purpose The purpose of this study is to empirically investigates the influence geopolitical risk acts (GPR) on world crude oil production. GPRs are a proxy for waging wars and military actions, thus it expected have clear impact production (WCOP). Design/methodology/approach current formulates theoretical model, its parameters estimated using three methodologies – traditional autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) Dynamic ARDL Frequency domain causality test across period 1973–2023 ensure robust findings. Findings results illustrate that constrain global supply. final relies positive interaction term between international economic activity from one side negative with prices other. Likewise, findings show threats reduce producing oil. Furthermore, research deliberates policy implications stemming these Originality/value Examining existing literature reveals gap in understanding relationship Most studies strand focus investigating price volatility.

Язык: Английский

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Spatial-Temporal Evolution Characteristics and Critical Factors Identification of China's Energy Trilemma Index

Опубликована: Янв. 1, 2025

Язык: Английский

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Is the time-varying frequency connectedness across crude oil prices, geopolitical risk, economic policy uncertainty, and foreign exchange rates different between Asian and non-Asian countries?

Resources Policy, Год журнала: 2025, Номер 102, С. 105518 - 105518

Опубликована: Фев. 25, 2025

Язык: Английский

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The effects of global uncertainty and risks on metal prices: Evidence from frequency and time domain causality tests

Resources Policy, Год журнала: 2025, Номер 103, С. 105555 - 105555

Опубликована: Март 19, 2025

Язык: Английский

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How do economic policy uncertainty and geopolitical risk affect oil imports? Evidence from China and India

Energy Strategy Reviews, Год журнала: 2025, Номер 59, С. 101695 - 101695

Опубликована: Март 26, 2025

Язык: Английский

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Theoretical Substantiation of Risk Assessment Directions in the Development of Fields with Hard-to-Recover Hydrocarbon Reserves

Resources, Год журнала: 2025, Номер 14(4), С. 64 - 64

Опубликована: Апрель 11, 2025

This article presents a methodology for risk assessment and management in the development of hard-to-recover hydrocarbon reserves. The proposed integrates Monte Carlo simulation fuzzy logic methods, which allows consideration both quantitative stochastic risks (e.g., fluctuations oil prices, variability costs, production volumes) qualitative uncertainties environmental, social, technological risks) that are traditionally difficult to formalize. approach facilitates incorporation associated with complex field developments aims improve managerial decisions through comprehensive assessment. elaborates on theoretical aspects methodology, including identification stages, formalization data using logic, application method integrating various categories. results confirm potential this as tool enhance resilience economic efficiency projects involving

Язык: Английский

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The dependence structures between geopolitical risks and energy prices: New evidence from regional heterogeneity and quantile-on-quantile perspective

Energy, Год журнала: 2024, Номер unknown, С. 133325 - 133325

Опубликована: Окт. 1, 2024

Язык: Английский

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The dynamic nexus between economic policy uncertainty, geopolitical risk, and natural resource rents of ASEAN-5 countries: Insights from the novel Fourier augmented ARDL method (FAARDL)

Resources Policy, Год журнала: 2024, Номер 100, С. 105449 - 105449

Опубликована: Дек. 17, 2024

Язык: Английский

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How does oil policy uncertainty influence resource rents? New empirical evidence from Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries

Economics and Politics, Год журнала: 2024, Номер unknown

Опубликована: Авг. 26, 2024

Abstract The uncertainty surrounding oil‐related policies has raised concerns about its influence on revenues derived from resource extraction activities. In this view, the current study aims to investigate nuanced relationship between oil policy (OPU) and rents, focusing rents (ORTs), natural gas (NRTs), total (TRT). Analyzing data spanning 1985 2019 across Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries, various econometric models including DOLS, FMOLS, autoregressive distributed lag are employed assess impact OPU rents. empirical findings reveal a significant negative effect heightened levels indicating reduction in ORT, NRT, TRT. This underscores deterrence long‐term investments exploration production due regulatory unpredictability, leading decreased Additionally, increased contributes volatility prices, disrupting stability Furthermore, variables such as FDI inflow, inflation rate, banking sector development exhibit positive relationships with emphasizing their role bolstering resources. study's implications highlight necessity for policymakers address mitigate foster sustainable within resource‐driven economies. existing literature by offering insights into adverse

Язык: Английский

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