Ñawparisun - Revista de Investigación Científica,
Год журнала:
2023,
Номер
3(Vol. 4, Num. 3), С. 39 - 47
Опубликована: Окт. 31, 2023
La
gestión
de
los
recursos
hídricos
requiere
una
buena
aproximación
la
cantidad
agua
cuenca.
Sin
embargo,
datos
flujo
espacio-temporales
caudales
no
están
disponibles
en
cuencas
con
escasez
datos.
Los
conjuntos
climáticos
globales
(CDCG)
brindan
fuente
alternativa
para
aplicaciones
hidrometeorológicas
regiones
No
obstante,
evaluación
CDCG
es
importante
cuantificar
su
precisión,
error
y
sesgo
las
estimaciones.
Este
estudio
evaluó
el
rendimiento
hidrológico
del
producto
TerraClimate
(TC)
modelización
cuenca
río
Huancané
modelo
GR2M
Perú.
Se
realizó
conjunto
precipitación
evapotranspiración
potencial
(ETo)
TC,
considerando
tres
enfoques:
1)
pixel
a
punto
estaciones
meteorológicas,
2)
valores
medios
sobre
cuenca,
3)
como
forzantes
hidrológica.
En
consecuencia,
se
utilizaron
cinco
métricas
desempeño,
saber,
raíz
cuadrático
medio
(RMSE),
coeficiente
correlación
(r),
porcentual
(PBIAS),
eficiencia
Nash
(NSE)
logarítmica
Nash-Sutcliffe
(NSE-L).
resultados
revelaron
que
TC
tienen
un
muy
bueno,
al
ser
introducidos
modelado
resultó
satisfactorio
periodos
húmedos,
cambio,
estiaje
son
tan
eficientes
observados.
Estos
hallazgos
mejor
comprensión
siguen
siendo
útiles
cuando
observaciones
terrestres
limitados
o
disponibles,
todo
estimar
disponibilidad
hídrica
sin
información.
Water Science & Technology Water Supply,
Год журнала:
2024,
Номер
24(6), С. 2039 - 2054
Опубликована: Май 21, 2024
ABSTRACT
Ground
observations
are
often
considered
as
the
most
reliable
and
precise
source
of
precipitation
data.
However,
long-term
data
from
ground
lacking
in
many
parts
world.
Gridded
products
(GPPs)
therefore
have
emerged
crucial
alternatives
to
observations,
but
it
is
essential
assess
their
capability
accurately
replicate
patterns.
This
study
aims
evaluate
performance
five
GPPs,
NASA
POWER,
TerraClimate,
Climate
Hazards
Group
Infrared
Precipitation
with
Data
(CHIRPS),
GPCC,
Research
Unit
(CRU),
capturing
drought
patterns
1981
2021
Yobe,
Nigeria.
The
results
indicate
that
GPCC
had
good
at
both
monthly
annual
scales,
high
correlation
coefficients
low
error
values.
tends
underestimate
amounts
certain
areas.
Other
also
exhibit
satisfactory
moderate
correlations
observations.
Drought
analysis
indicates
outperforms
other
standardised
index-6
calculations,
while
POWER
demonstrates
inconsistencies
particularly
during
early
1980s
mid-2000s.
In
conclusion,
preferable
GPP
for
Yobe
State
Frontiers in Environmental Science,
Год журнала:
2023,
Номер
11
Опубликована: Дек. 18, 2023
The
leaf
phenology
of
seasonally
dry
tropical
forests
(SDTFs)
is
highly
seasonal,
marked
by
synchronized
flushing
new
leaves
triggered
the
first
rains
wet
season.
Such
phenological
transitions
may
not
be
accurately
detected
remote
sensing
vegetation
indices
and
derived
transition
dates
(TDs)
due
to
coarse
spatial
temporal
resolutions
satellite
data.
aim
this
study
was
compared
TDs
from
PhenoCams
(RS)
used
calculated
select
best
thresholds
for
RS
time
series
calculate
TDs.
For
purpose,
we
assembled
cameras
in
seven
sites
along
an
aridity
gradient
Brazilian
Caatinga,
a
region
dominated
SDTFs.
leafing
patterns
were
registered
during
one
three
growing
seasons
2017
2020.
We
drew
interest
(ROI)
images
normalized
green
chromatic
coordinate
index.
camera
data
with
NDVI
(2000–2019)
near-infrared
(NIR)
red
bands
MODIS
product
Using
calibrated
PhenoCam
reduced
mean
absolute
error
5
days
SOS
34
EOS,
common
land
surface
studies.
On
average,
season
length
(LOS)
did
differ
significantly
among
types,
but
driest
showed
highest
interannual
variation.
This
pattern
applied
(SOS)
fall
(EOS)
as
well.
found
positive
relationship
between
accumulated
precipitation
LOS
maximum
minimum
temperatures
productivity
(peak
NDVI).
Our
results
demonstrated
that
(A)
fine
resolution
phenocamera
improved
definitions
landscape
phenology;
(b)
long-term
greening
responded
variability
rainfall,
adjusting
their
timing
green-up
green-down,
(C)
amount
although
determinant
season,
related
estimates
productivity.
Research Square (Research Square),
Год журнала:
2024,
Номер
unknown
Опубликована: Март 18, 2024
Abstract
The
Brazilian
electrical
system
(BES)
relies
heavily
on
hydrothermal
energy,
specifically
hydroelectric
power
plants
(HPPs),
which
are
highly
dependent
rainfall
patterns.
São
Francisco
River
Basin
(SFRB)
is
a
critical
component
of
the
BES,
playing
key
role
in
electricity
generation.
However,
climate
extremes
have
increasingly
impacted
energy
production
recent
decades,
posing
challenges
for
HPP
management.
This
study,
explores
relationship
between
extreme
precipitation
events
SFRB
and
two
crucial
variables:
Stored
Energy
(STE)
Affluent
Natural
(ANE).
We
analyze
spatial
distribution
trends
11
indices
investigate
seasonality,
trends,
correlations
these
variables
indices.
Our
findings
reveal
downward
both
ANE
STE.
Additionally,
we
identify
seasonal
pattern
influenced
by
rates
at
various
time
scales.
results
indicate
that
it
possible
to
estimate
STE
efficiently
employing
three
machine
learning
(ML)
algorithms
(Random
Forest,
Artificial
Neural
Networks
k-Nearest
Neighbors)
using
data.
These
offer
valuable
insights
strategic
planning
management
aiding
decision-making
development
security.
Water,
Год журнала:
2024,
Номер
16(6), С. 892 - 892
Опубликована: Март 20, 2024
Access
to
freshwater
in
developing
regions
remains
a
significant
concern,
particularly
arid
and
semiarid
areas
with
limited
annual
precipitation.
Groundwater,
vital
resource
these
regions,
faces
dual
threats—climate
change
unsustainable
exploitation.
This
study
analyzes
changes
land
use,
vegetation
cover,
hydrogeological
parameters
Catacocha
parish,
situated
the
southern
Ecuadorian
Andes
region.
The
methodology
incorporates
integration
of
data
from
Paltas
Municipality,
Ministerio
del
Ambiente,
Agua
y
Transición
Ecológica—MAATE—and
Instituto
Geográfico
Militar—IGM.
Utilizing
GIS
tools,
analysis
is
combined
comparative
assessment
discharge
spanning
2000
2022.
MAATE
IGM
play
an
instrumental
role
evaluating
alterations
cover
across
years.
also
examines
characteristic
curves
wells
their
coefficient
storage.
Additionally,
it
assesses
facilitating
infiltration
explores
potential
relationship
precipitation
patterns
area.
In
prioritizing
management
natural
essential,
either
through
conservation
projects
or
reforestation
plans
throughout
year.
Moreover,
population
emigration
has
revitalized
reserving
specific
for
conservation.
transformation
observed
supplying
parish
its
2022
serves
as
demonstration
this
change.
Discharge
remain
essential
monitoring
variations
well
ensuring
consistent
daily
supply
potable
water.
International Journal of Climatology,
Год журнала:
2024,
Номер
44(16), С. 5693 - 5710
Опубликована: Ноя. 12, 2024
ABSTRACT
This
paper
presents
a
detailed
spatio‐temporal
analysis
of
the
rainfall
in
state
Pernambuco,
Northeast
Brazil.
It
is
based
on
climate
indices
for
extreme
precipitation
recommended
by
Expert
Team
Climate
Change
Detection,
Monitoring
and
Indices.
To
accomplish
this,
daily
1data
(1961–2019)
were
extracted
from
809
high‐resolution
grid
points
(0.1°
×
0.1°)
using
Brazilian
Daily
Weather
Gridded
Data
(BR‐DWGD).
The
significance
magnitude
index
trends
assessed
modified
Mann–Kendall
Sen's
slope
tests.
study
also
examined
whether
there
existed
significant
difference
among
three
regions
(Sertão,
Agreste
Zona
da
Mata)
within
state.
findings
revealed
notable
negative
PRCPTOT,
R10mm,
R20mm,
Rx1day,
Rx5day
CWD
across
all
exhibiting
gradient
coast
to
state's
interior.
Reduction
values
up
15
mm
year
−1
0.7
day
0.2
0.01
0.03
Rx5day,
0.4
observed.
Furthermore,
an
alarming
pattern
was
noted
CDD,
displaying
higher
concentration
positive
state,
with
estimated
increases
1.4
.
Conversely,
balance
trends—both
negative—was
observed
entire
R95p
R99p,
majority
proving
non‐significant.
SDII
exhibited
frequency
showing
trend,
particularly
Sertão
Mata
regions,
where
differences
absent.
However,
remaining
showcased
regional
differences,
decreasing
east
west
except
CDD.
will
assist
decision
makers,
providing
long‐term
information
essential
preventing
natural
disasters
supporting
socioeconomic
environmental
policies
The
Brazilian
electrical
system
is
predominantly
hydrothermal,
with
hydroelectric
power
plants
(HPP’s)
dependent
on
rainfall
variability.
São
Francisco
river
basin
plays
a
fundamental
role
in
the
country's
electricity
production
HPP’s
Northeast
and
Southeast
regions.
However,
climate
extremes
events
have
affected
energy
production.
To
manage
use
of
to
avoid
shortage
during
dry
periods
activation
thermal
plants,
challenge
as
it
increases
costs
may
result
water
wastage
rainy
periods.
main
variables
influencing
operational
decisions
are
Stored
Energy
(STE)
Affluent
Natural
(ANE),
used
calculate
Marginal
Cost
Operation
(MCO)
Settlement
Price
Differences
(SPD).
current
study
investigates
relationships
between
these
precipitation
basin.
Spatial
distribution
trends
11
indices
analyzed.
seasonality,
trends,
correlation
extreme
also
investigated.
Three
machine
learning
algorithms
(Random
Forest,
Artificial
Neural
Networks,
k-Nearest
Neighbors)
were
applied
regression
models
estimate
(ANE,
STE,
MCO,
SPD).
Correlations
show
impact
changes
ANE
STE
availability
MCO
SPD,
Southeast/Midwest
subsystems.
showed
downward
while
SPD
experienced
an
upward
trend.
Furthermore,
seasonal
behavior
throughout
year
was
demonstrated
for
ANE,
influenced
by
rates
different
time
scales.
Trends
indicate
reduction
total
(PRCTOT)
number
wet
days
(CWD),
well
increase
(CDD).
Results
based
algorithm
that
reasonable
efficiently
using
data.
These
findings
significant
implications
planning
management
sector,
contributing
strategic
decision-making
formulation
public
policies
ensure
security.
Keywords:
Energy.
Prediction.