Ecology and Evolution,
Год журнала:
2024,
Номер
14(11)
Опубликована: Ноя. 1, 2024
ABSTRACT
This
study
investigates
the
impact
of
climate
change
on
distribution
Corylus
species
in
China
using
MaxEnt
model.
Key
environmental
variables,
such
as
Bio6
(mean
temperature
coldest
month)
and
human
footprint,
emerged
significant
determinants
habitat
suitability.
The
reveals
substantial
shifts
suitable
habitats
due
to
global
warming
increased
precipitation,
with
notable
expansion
towards
higher
latitudes.
Species
like
heterophylla
Fisch.
ex
Bess.
mandshurica
Maxim.
demonstrate
resilience
extreme
conditions,
highlighting
importance
specific
ecological
traits
for
conservation.
Future
projections
under
various
SSP
scenarios
predict
continued
expansion,
emphasizing
need
targeted
conservation
strategies
address
critical
role
activities.
research
highlights
complex
interplay
between
climatic,
topographic,
anthropogenic
factors
shaping
habitats,
advocating
integrated
adaptive
management
approaches
ensure
their
sustainability
amid
ongoing
change.
Sustainability,
Год журнала:
2024,
Номер
16(11), С. 4689 - 4689
Опубликована: Май 31, 2024
The
Tibetan
plateau,
with
complex
and
diverse
ecosystems,
is
an
important
ecological
security
barrier
to
China.
However,
climate
change
the
spread
of
invasive
plant
species
have
imperiled
once
pristine
ecosystem
region.
To
prevent
further
control
plants,
it
delineate
potential
distribution
patterns
alien
plants
at
regional
scale
across
Tibet
understand
their
responses
change.
Galinsoga
parviflora
Cav.,
a
member
family
Asteraceae,
annual
herbaceous
distributed
globally
as
weed
possesses
characteristics
that
make
highly
invasive,
such
strong
ability
proliferate
disperse.
also
known
allelopathic
effect.
There
has
been
no
report
on
spatial
G.
in
Tibet.
Using
field
survey
data,
we
investigated
risk
invasion
its
impacts
safety
We
employed
MaxEnt
model
using
R
language
SPSS
software
optimize
select
parameters
data.
acquired
various
environmental
variables
along
current
future
scenarios
(two
carbon
emission
scenarios,
SSP126
SSP585,
for
years
2050
2090)
predict
geographic
areas
can
invade.
accurately
predicted
average
AUC
0.985.
most
suitable
conditions
which
performed
best
included
mean
temperature
6.2–10.0
°C
elevation
range
2672–3744
m
above
sea
level.
Our
results
indicate
low
precipitation
during
coldest
quarter
year
(mean
−2–3
°C)
was
variable
predicting
distribution.
showed
hardly
found
when
exceeded
155
mm.
river
valleys
central,
southeastern,
eastern
With
(i.e.,
SSP126,
SSP585),
habitats
will
likely
shift
northwest
regions
from
southeast.
Particularly
under
highest
scenario
area
expands
more
rapidly,
center
shifts
regions.
These
findings
provide
useful
information
about
changes
Tibet,
crucial
comprehensive
proactive
management
Frontiers in Plant Science,
Год журнала:
2024,
Номер
15
Опубликована: Сен. 19, 2024
Invasive
alien
plants
(IAPs)
present
a
severe
threat
to
native
ecosystems
and
biodiversity.
Comprehending
the
potential
distribution
patterns
of
these
plant
invaders
their
responses
climate
change
is
essential.
Parthenium
hysterophorus
,
Americas,
has
become
an
aggressively
invasive
species
since
its
introduction
China
in
1930s.
This
study
aims
collect
reconstruct
historical
occurrence
invasion
P.
.
Using
optimal
MaxEnt
model,
geographical
distributions
were
predicted
based
on
screened
occurrences
environmental
variables
under
current
three
future
scenarios
2030s,
2050s,
2070s
(i.e.,
SSP1-2.6,
SSP2-4.5,
SSP5-8.5),
risk
Chinese
cities,
croplands,
forests,
grasslands
was
assessed.
The
results
show
that:
(1)
initially
invaded
highly
suitable
areas
further
spread
regions
with
non-analogous
conditions.
(2)
Under
climatic
conditions,
overall
characterized
by
more
southeast
less
northwest.
Climate
variables,
including
mean
annual
temperature
(bio1),
precipitation
wettest
month
(bio13),
isothermality
(bio3),
seasonality
(bio4),
are
primary
factors
influencing
distribution.
(3)
will
expand
scenarios,
particularly
toward
higher
latitudes.
(4)
Forests
crop
lands
most
serious
Therefore,
we
suggest
that
government
should
strengthen
monitoring
management
prevent
protect
agro-ecosystems
human
habitats.
Depending
areas,
measures
such
as
quarantine,
removal,
publicity
be
taken
mitigate
raise
awareness
prevention.
Ecology and Evolution,
Год журнала:
2024,
Номер
14(11)
Опубликована: Ноя. 1, 2024
ABSTRACT
This
study
investigates
the
impact
of
climate
change
on
distribution
Corylus
species
in
China
using
MaxEnt
model.
Key
environmental
variables,
such
as
Bio6
(mean
temperature
coldest
month)
and
human
footprint,
emerged
significant
determinants
habitat
suitability.
The
reveals
substantial
shifts
suitable
habitats
due
to
global
warming
increased
precipitation,
with
notable
expansion
towards
higher
latitudes.
Species
like
heterophylla
Fisch.
ex
Bess.
mandshurica
Maxim.
demonstrate
resilience
extreme
conditions,
highlighting
importance
specific
ecological
traits
for
conservation.
Future
projections
under
various
SSP
scenarios
predict
continued
expansion,
emphasizing
need
targeted
conservation
strategies
address
critical
role
activities.
research
highlights
complex
interplay
between
climatic,
topographic,
anthropogenic
factors
shaping
habitats,
advocating
integrated
adaptive
management
approaches
ensure
their
sustainability
amid
ongoing
change.
