Climate Warming Increases the Voltinism of Pine Caterpillar (Dendrolimus spectabilis Butler): Model Predictions Across Elevations and Latitudes in Shandong Province, China DOI Creative Commons

Yongbin Bao,

Gele Teri,

Xingpeng Liu

и другие.

Insects, Год журнала: 2025, Номер 16(3), С. 249 - 249

Опубликована: Фев. 28, 2025

The pine caterpillar (Dendrolimus spectabilis Bulter, Lepidoptera: Lasiocampidae) is a destructive insect threatening forest communities across Eurasia. pest polyvoltine, and under global warming, more favorable temperatures can lead to additional generations. Here, we simulated the voltinism current future climatic scenarios based on thermal physiology cumulative growing degree day (CGDD) model. Subsequently, revealed change patterns of along elevational latitudinal gradients. results showed that both CGDD are increasing. ranges from 1.26 1.56 generations (1.40 ± 0.07), with an increasing trend 0.04/10a. Similar trends expected continue climate scenarios, values 0.01/10a, 0.05/10a, 0.07/10a, 0.09/10a for SSP1-2.6, SSP2-4.5, SSP3-7.0, SSP5-8.5 respectively. At elevation gradients, increases all ranges, peaking at 500–1000 m latitudes 34–34.5° N. This study highlights increase in not limited low-elevation -latitude regions but predicted various elevations latitudes. These findings enhance our understanding how affects contribute management strategies, although this assumes linear relationship between temperature voltinism, without considering other ecological factors.

Язык: Английский

Climate Warming Increases the Voltinism of Pine Caterpillar (Dendrolimus spectabilis Butler): Model Predictions Across Elevations and Latitudes in Shandong Province, China DOI Creative Commons

Yongbin Bao,

Gele Teri,

Xingpeng Liu

и другие.

Insects, Год журнала: 2025, Номер 16(3), С. 249 - 249

Опубликована: Фев. 28, 2025

The pine caterpillar (Dendrolimus spectabilis Bulter, Lepidoptera: Lasiocampidae) is a destructive insect threatening forest communities across Eurasia. pest polyvoltine, and under global warming, more favorable temperatures can lead to additional generations. Here, we simulated the voltinism current future climatic scenarios based on thermal physiology cumulative growing degree day (CGDD) model. Subsequently, revealed change patterns of along elevational latitudinal gradients. results showed that both CGDD are increasing. ranges from 1.26 1.56 generations (1.40 ± 0.07), with an increasing trend 0.04/10a. Similar trends expected continue climate scenarios, values 0.01/10a, 0.05/10a, 0.07/10a, 0.09/10a for SSP1-2.6, SSP2-4.5, SSP3-7.0, SSP5-8.5 respectively. At elevation gradients, increases all ranges, peaking at 500–1000 m latitudes 34–34.5° N. This study highlights increase in not limited low-elevation -latitude regions but predicted various elevations latitudes. These findings enhance our understanding how affects contribute management strategies, although this assumes linear relationship between temperature voltinism, without considering other ecological factors.

Язык: Английский

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