Predicting Harmful Algal Blooms Using Explainable Deep Learning Models: A Comparative Study DOI Open Access
Bekir Zahit Demiray, Omer Mermer, Özlem Baydaroğlu

и другие.

Water, Год журнала: 2025, Номер 17(5), С. 676 - 676

Опубликована: Фев. 26, 2025

Harmful algal blooms (HABs) have emerged as a significant environmental challenge, impacting aquatic ecosystems, drinking water supply systems, and human health due to the combined effects of activities climate change. This study investigates performance deep learning models, particularly Transformer model, there are limited studies exploring its effectiveness in HAB prediction. The chlorophyll-a (Chl-a) concentration, commonly used indicator phytoplankton biomass proxy for occurrences, is target variable. We consider multiple influencing parameters—including physical, chemical, biological quality monitoring data from stations located west Lake Erie—and employ SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) values an explainable artificial intelligence (XAI) tool identify key input features affecting HABs. Our findings highlight superiority especially Transformer, capturing complex dynamics parameters providing actionable insights ecological management. SHAP analysis identifies Particulate Organic Carbon, Nitrogen, total phosphorus critical factors predictions. contributes development advanced predictive models HABs, aiding early detection proactive management strategies.

Язык: Английский

Predicting Harmful Algal Blooms Using Explainable Deep Learning Models: A Comparative Study DOI Open Access
Bekir Zahit Demiray, Omer Mermer, Özlem Baydaroğlu

и другие.

Water, Год журнала: 2025, Номер 17(5), С. 676 - 676

Опубликована: Фев. 26, 2025

Harmful algal blooms (HABs) have emerged as a significant environmental challenge, impacting aquatic ecosystems, drinking water supply systems, and human health due to the combined effects of activities climate change. This study investigates performance deep learning models, particularly Transformer model, there are limited studies exploring its effectiveness in HAB prediction. The chlorophyll-a (Chl-a) concentration, commonly used indicator phytoplankton biomass proxy for occurrences, is target variable. We consider multiple influencing parameters—including physical, chemical, biological quality monitoring data from stations located west Lake Erie—and employ SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) values an explainable artificial intelligence (XAI) tool identify key input features affecting HABs. Our findings highlight superiority especially Transformer, capturing complex dynamics parameters providing actionable insights ecological management. SHAP analysis identifies Particulate Organic Carbon, Nitrogen, total phosphorus critical factors predictions. contributes development advanced predictive models HABs, aiding early detection proactive management strategies.

Язык: Английский

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