The Lancet Regional Health - Americas,
Год журнала:
2021,
Номер
2, С. 100039 - 100039
Опубликована: Авг. 20, 2021
All-cause
excess
mortality
is
a
comprehensive
measure
of
the
combined
direct
and
indirect
effects
COVID-19
on
mortality.
Estimates
are
usually
derived
from
Civil
Registration
Vital
Statistics
(CRVS)
systems,
but
these
do
not
include
non-registered
deaths,
which
may
be
affected
by
changes
in
vital
registration
coverage
over
time.Our
analytical
framework
empirical
strategy
account
for
registered
under-registration.
This
provides
better
estimate
actual
impact
first
wave
pandemic
Peru.
We
use
population
crude
rate
projections
Peru's
National
Institute
Information
(INEI,
Spanish),
individual-level
deaths
Ministry
Health
(MoH),
region
age
since
2017
Electronic
Deaths
Register
(SINADEF,
Spanish).We
develop
novel
combining
different
estimates
using
quasi-Poisson
models
to
total
across
regions
groups.
Also,
we
logistic
mixed-effects
new
SINADEF
system.We
that
underestimates
national
37•1%
(95%
CI
23%
-
48•5%)
26
nine
all-cause
during
period
analysis
at
173,099
153,669
187,488)
108,943
96,507
118,261)
were
captured
system.
60
accounted
74•1%
73•9%
74•7%)
there
fewer
than
expected
younger
Lima
region,
Pacific
coast
including
capital,
accounts
highest
share
87,781
82,294
92,504),
while
opposite
side
Apurimac
Huancavelica
less
300
deaths.Estimating
low-
middle-income
countries
(LMICs)
such
as
Peru
must
take
under-registration
into
account.
Combining
demographic
trends
with
data
administrative
registries
reduces
uncertainty
measurement
errors.
In
like
Peru,
this
likely
produce
significantly
higher
studies
account.None.
Comparing
the
impact
of
COVID-19
pandemic
between
countries
or
across
time
is
difficult
because
reported
numbers
cases
and
deaths
can
be
strongly
affected
by
testing
capacity
reporting
policy.
Excess
mortality,
defined
as
increase
in
all-cause
mortality
relative
to
expected
widely
considered
a
more
objective
indicator
death
toll.
However,
there
has
been
no
global,
frequently
updated
repository
data
countries.
To
fill
this
gap,
we
have
collected
weekly,
monthly,
quarterly
from
103
territories,
openly
available
regularly
World
Mortality
Dataset.
We
used
dataset
compute
excess
each
country
during
pandemic.
found
that
several
worst-affected
(Peru,
Ecuador,
Bolivia,
Mexico)
was
above
50%
annual
400
per
100,000
population
Bulgaria,
North
Macedonia,
Serbia).
At
same
time,
other
(e.g.
Australia
New
Zealand)
below
usual
level,
presumably
due
social
distancing
measures
decreasing
non-COVID
infectious
mortality.
Furthermore,
while
many
very
accurately,
some
substantially
underreporting
their
Nicaragua,
Russia,
Uzbekistan),
up
two
orders
magnitude
(Tajikistan).
Our
results
highlight
importance
open
rapid
for
monitoring.
Nature Human Behaviour,
Год журнала:
2021,
Номер
5(2), С. 229 - 238
Опубликована: Янв. 15, 2021
There
is
increasing
concern
that
the
coronavirus
disease
2019
(COVID-19)
pandemic
could
harm
psychological
health
and
exacerbate
suicide
risk.
Here,
based
on
month-level
records
of
suicides
covering
entire
Japanese
population
in
1,848
administrative
units,
we
assessed
whether
mortality
changed
during
pandemic.
Using
difference-in-difference
estimation,
found
monthly
rates
declined
by
14%
first
5
months
(February
to
June
2020).
This
be
due
a
number
complex
reasons,
including
government's
generous
subsidies,
reduced
working
hours
school
closure.
By
contrast,
increased
16%
second
wave
(July
October
2020),
with
larger
increase
among
females
(37%)
children
adolescents
(49%).
Although
adverse
impacts
COVID-19
may
remain
long
term,
its
modifiers
(such
as
government
subsidies)
not
sustained.
Thus,
effective
prevention-particularly
vulnerable
populations-should
an
important
public
consideration.
Trauma Violence & Abuse,
Год журнала:
2021,
Номер
24(2), С. 719 - 745
Опубликована: Авг. 17, 2021
Background:
COVID-19
outbreak
and
the
followed
confinement
measures
have
raised
concerns
to
specialists
worldwide
regarding
imminent
increase
in
domestic
violence
cases.
The
present
systematic
review
aims
identify
international
trends
during
epidemic
examine
possible
differences
among
all
population
groups
different
geographic
areas
worldwide.
Method:
following
databases
were
accessed:
DOAJ,
ERIC,
Google
Scholar,
ProQuest,
Pubmed,
PsycNet,
SCOPUS,
up
July
22,
2020.
Results:
A
total
of
32
studies
considered
eligible.
Data
from
North
America,
Europe,
Asia-Pacific
Area,
Africa,
researches
retrieved.
has
caused
an
cases,
especially
first
week
lockdown
each
country.
In
children,
however,
although
specialists’
estimations
suggested
child
maltreatment
abuse
rate
police
social
services’
reports
declined
pandemic.
School
closures
that
isolated
students
at
home
seemed
contributed
this
decrease.
Conclusions:
Domestic
been
a
considerable
issue
imposed
by
context.
led
constant
contact
between
perpetrators
victims,
resulting
increased
decreased
reports.
order
minimize
such
issues,
prevention
supporting
programs
are
necessary.
International Journal of Epidemiology,
Год журнала:
2021,
Номер
51(1), С. 63 - 74
Опубликована: Сен. 8, 2021
Variations
in
the
age
patterns
and
magnitudes
of
excess
deaths,
as
well
differences
population
sizes
structures,
make
cross-national
comparisons
cumulative
mortality
impacts
COVID-19
pandemic
challenging.
Life
expectancy
is
a
widely
used
indicator
that
provides
clear
cross-nationally
comparable
picture
population-level
on
mortality.
F1000Research,
Год журнала:
2021,
Номер
9, С. 1097 - 1097
Опубликована: Июнь 17, 2021
Background:The
COVID-19
pandemic
has
caused
considerable
morbidity,
mortality
and
disruption
to
people’s
lives
around
the
world.
There
are
concerns
that
rates
of
suicide
suicidal
behaviour
may
rise
during
in
its
aftermath.
Our
living
systematic
review
synthesises
findings
from
emerging
literature
on
incidence
prevalence
as
well
prevention
efforts
relation
COVID-19,
with
this
iteration
synthesising
relevant
evidence
up
19thOctober
2020.Method:
Automated
daily
searches
feed
into
a
web-based
database
screening
data
extraction
functionalities.
Eligibility
criteria
include
incidence/prevalence
behaviour,
exposure-outcome
relationships
effects
interventions
pandemic.
Outcomes
interest
suicide,
self-harm
or
attempted
thoughts.
No
restrictions
placed
language
study
type,
except
for
single-person
case
reports.
We
exclude
one-off
cross-sectional
studies
without
either
pre-pandemic
measures
comparisons
positive
vs.
unaffected
individuals.Results:Searches
identified
6,226
articles.
Seventy-eight
articles
met
our
inclusion
criteria.
further
64
did
not
meet
revised
Thirty-four
were
peer-reviewed
(e.g.
research
letters,
pre-prints).
All
based
observational
studies.There
was
no
consistent
but
many
noted
adverse
economic
evolving.
community
distress,
fall
hospital
presentation
early
an
increased
frequency
thoughts
those
who
had
become
infected
COVID-19.Conclusions:
Research
impact
is
accumulating
rapidly.
This
provides
regular
synthesis
most
up-to-date
guide
public
health
clinical
policy
mitigate
risk
longer
term
impacts
researched.
BMJ Global Health,
Год журнала:
2022,
Номер
7(5), С. e008477 - e008477
Опубликована: Май 1, 2022
Introduction
The
infection
fatality
rate
(IFR)
of
COVID-19
has
been
carefully
measured
and
analysed
in
high-income
countries,
whereas
there
no
systematic
analysis
age-specific
seroprevalence
or
IFR
for
developing
countries.
Methods
We
systematically
reviewed
the
literature
to
identify
all
serology
studies
countries
that
were
conducted
using
representative
samples
collected
by
February
2021.
For
each
antibody
assays
used
these
studies,
we
identified
data
on
assay
characteristics,
including
extent
seroreversion
over
time.
a
Bayesian
model
incorporates
conventional
sampling
uncertainty
as
well
uncertainties
about
sensitivity
specificity.
then
calculated
IFRs
individual
case
reports
aggregated
public
health
updates,
estimates
whenever
feasible.
Results
In
most
locations
among
older
adults
was
similar
younger
age
cohorts,
underscoring
limited
capacity
nations
have
protect
groups.
Age-specific
roughly
2
times
higher
than
median
value
population
0.5%,
because
disparities
healthcare
access
offset
differences
structure.
Conclusion
burden
is
far
reflecting
combination
elevated
transmission
middle-aged
adequate
healthcare.
These
results
underscore
critical
need
ensure
medical
equity
populations
through
provision
vaccine
doses
effective
medications.
medRxiv (Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory),
Год журнала:
2021,
Номер
unknown
Опубликована: Янв. 29, 2021
Abstract
Comparing
the
impact
of
COVID-19
pandemic
between
countries
or
across
time
is
difficult
because
reported
numbers
cases
and
deaths
can
be
strongly
affected
by
testing
capacity
reporting
policy.
Excess
mortality,
defined
as
increase
in
all-cause
mortality
relative
to
expected
widely
considered
a
more
objective
indicator
death
toll.
However,
there
has
been
no
global,
frequently-updated
repository
data
countries.
To
fill
this
gap,
we
have
collected
weekly,
monthly,
quarterly
from
94
territories,
openly
available
regularly-updated
World
Mortality
Dataset.
We
used
dataset
compute
excess
each
country
during
pandemic.
found
that
several
worst-affected
(Peru,
Ecuador,
Bolivia,
Mexico)
was
above
50%
annual
mortality.
At
same
time,
other
(Australia,
New
Zealand)
below
usual
level,
presumably
due
social
distancing
measures
decreasing
non-COVID
infectious
Furthermore,
while
many
very
accurately,
some
substantially
underreporting
their
(e.g.
Nicaragua,
Russia,
Uzbekistan),
sometimes
two
orders
magnitude
(Tajikistan).
Our
results
highlight
importance
open
rapid
for
monitoring.
medRxiv (Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory),
Год журнала:
2021,
Номер
unknown
Опубликована: Март 3, 2021
Abstract
Variations
in
the
age
patterns
and
magnitudes
of
excess
deaths,
as
well
differences
population
sizes
structures
make
cross-national
comparisons
cumulative
mortality
impacts
COVID-19
pandemic
challenging.
Life
expectancy
is
a
widely-used
indicator
that
provides
clear
cross-nationally
comparable
picture
population-level
on
mortality.
tables
by
sex
were
calculated
for
29
countries,
including
most
European
Chile,
USA
2015-2020.
at
birth
60
2020
contextualised
against
recent
trends
between
2015-19.
Using
decomposition
techniques,
we
examined
which
specific
groups
contributed
to
reductions
life
what
extent
attributable
official
deaths.
declined
from
2019
27
out
countries.
Males
Lithuania
experienced
largest
losses
during
(2.2
1.7
years
respectively),
but
more
than
an
entire
year
documented
eleven
countries
males,
eight
among
females.
Reductions
mostly
increased
above
The
triggered
significant
increases
magnitude
not
witnessed
since
WW-II
Western
Europe
or
breakup
Soviet
Union
Eastern
Europe.
Females
15
males
10
ended
up
with
lower
2015.
Journal of Public Health,
Год журнала:
2021,
Номер
44(3), С. 541 - 548
Опубликована: Март 23, 2021
The
coronavirus
disease
(COVID-19)
pandemic
is
an
unprecedented
public
health
crisis,
but
its
effect
on
suicide
deaths
little
understood.We
analyzed
data
from
monthly
statistics
between
January
2017
and
October
2020
online
surveys
mental
filled
out
by
the
general
population
in
Japan.Compared
to
2017-19
period,
number
of
during
initial
phase
was
lower
than
average
exceeded
past
trend
July
2020.
Female
suicides,
whose
numbers
increased
approximately
70%
(incidence
rate
ratio:
1.695,
95%
confidence
interval:
1.558-1.843),
were
main
source
this
increase.
largest
increase
found
among
young
women
(less
40
years
age).
Our
survey
indicated
that
status
women's
has
been
deteriorating
recent
months
female
workers
more
likely
have
experienced
a
job
or
income
loss
any
other
group,
suggesting
adverse
economic
conditions
surrounding
them.Continuous
monitoring
health,
particularly
most
vulnerable
populations
identified
study,
appropriate
prevention
efforts
are
necessary
COVID-19
pandemic.