Estimation of all-cause excess mortality by age-specific mortality patterns for countries with incomplete vital statistics: a population-based study of the case of Peru during the first wave of the COVID-19 pandemic DOI Creative Commons
Lucas Sempé, Peter Lloyd‐Sherlock, Ramón Martínez

и другие.

The Lancet Regional Health - Americas, Год журнала: 2021, Номер 2, С. 100039 - 100039

Опубликована: Авг. 20, 2021

All-cause excess mortality is a comprehensive measure of the combined direct and indirect effects COVID-19 on mortality. Estimates are usually derived from Civil Registration Vital Statistics (CRVS) systems, but these do not include non-registered deaths, which may be affected by changes in vital registration coverage over time.Our analytical framework empirical strategy account for registered under-registration. This provides better estimate actual impact first wave pandemic Peru. We use population crude rate projections Peru's National Institute Information (INEI, Spanish), individual-level deaths Ministry Health (MoH), region age since 2017 Electronic Deaths Register (SINADEF, Spanish).We develop novel combining different estimates using quasi-Poisson models to total across regions groups. Also, we logistic mixed-effects new SINADEF system.We that underestimates national 37•1% (95% CI 23% - 48•5%) 26 nine all-cause during period analysis at 173,099 153,669 187,488) 108,943 96,507 118,261) were captured system. 60 accounted 74•1% 73•9% 74•7%) there fewer than expected younger Lima region, Pacific coast including capital, accounts highest share 87,781 82,294 92,504), while opposite side Apurimac Huancavelica less 300 deaths.Estimating low- middle-income countries (LMICs) such as Peru must take under-registration into account. Combining demographic trends with data administrative registries reduces uncertainty measurement errors. In like Peru, this likely produce significantly higher studies account.None.

Язык: Английский

Suicide trends in the early months of the COVID-19 pandemic: an interrupted time-series analysis of preliminary data from 21 countries DOI Creative Commons
Jane Pirkis, Ann John, Sangsoo Shin

и другие.

The Lancet Psychiatry, Год журнала: 2021, Номер 8(7), С. 579 - 588

Опубликована: Апрель 15, 2021

Язык: Английский

Процитировано

659

Tracking excess mortality across countries during the COVID-19 pandemic with the World Mortality Dataset DOI Creative Commons
Ariel Karlinsky, Dmitry Kobak

eLife, Год журнала: 2021, Номер 10

Опубликована: Июнь 30, 2021

Comparing the impact of COVID-19 pandemic between countries or across time is difficult because reported numbers cases and deaths can be strongly affected by testing capacity reporting policy. Excess mortality, defined as increase in all-cause mortality relative to expected widely considered a more objective indicator death toll. However, there has been no global, frequently updated repository data countries. To fill this gap, we have collected weekly, monthly, quarterly from 103 territories, openly available regularly World Mortality Dataset. We used dataset compute excess each country during pandemic. found that several worst-affected (Peru, Ecuador, Bolivia, Mexico) was above 50% annual 400 per 100,000 population Bulgaria, North Macedonia, Serbia). At same time, other (e.g. Australia New Zealand) below usual level, presumably due social distancing measures decreasing non-COVID infectious mortality. Furthermore, while many very accurately, some substantially underreporting their Nicaragua, Russia, Uzbekistan), up two orders magnitude (Tajikistan). Our results highlight importance open rapid for monitoring.

Язык: Английский

Процитировано

598

Increase in suicide following an initial decline during the COVID-19 pandemic in Japan DOI Creative Commons
Takanao Tanaka, Shohei Okamoto

Nature Human Behaviour, Год журнала: 2021, Номер 5(2), С. 229 - 238

Опубликована: Янв. 15, 2021

There is increasing concern that the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic could harm psychological health and exacerbate suicide risk. Here, based on month-level records of suicides covering entire Japanese population in 1,848 administrative units, we assessed whether mortality changed during pandemic. Using difference-in-difference estimation, found monthly rates declined by 14% first 5 months (February to June 2020). This be due a number complex reasons, including government's generous subsidies, reduced working hours school closure. By contrast, increased 16% second wave (July October 2020), with larger increase among females (37%) children adolescents (49%). Although adverse impacts COVID-19 may remain long term, its modifiers (such as government subsidies) not sustained. Thus, effective prevention-particularly vulnerable populations-should an important public consideration.

Язык: Английский

Процитировано

555

Domestic Violence During the COVID-19 Pandemic: A Systematic Review DOI Creative Commons
Anastasia Kourti, Androniki Stavridou, Eleni Panagouli

и другие.

Trauma Violence & Abuse, Год журнала: 2021, Номер 24(2), С. 719 - 745

Опубликована: Авг. 17, 2021

Background: COVID-19 outbreak and the followed confinement measures have raised concerns to specialists worldwide regarding imminent increase in domestic violence cases. The present systematic review aims identify international trends during epidemic examine possible differences among all population groups different geographic areas worldwide. Method: following databases were accessed: DOAJ, ERIC, Google Scholar, ProQuest, Pubmed, PsycNet, SCOPUS, up July 22, 2020. Results: A total of 32 studies considered eligible. Data from North America, Europe, Asia-Pacific Area, Africa, researches retrieved. has caused an cases, especially first week lockdown each country. In children, however, although specialists’ estimations suggested child maltreatment abuse rate police social services’ reports declined pandemic. School closures that isolated students at home seemed contributed this decrease. Conclusions: Domestic been a considerable issue imposed by context. led constant contact between perpetrators victims, resulting increased decreased reports. order minimize such issues, prevention supporting programs are necessary.

Язык: Английский

Процитировано

350

Quantifying impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic through life-expectancy losses: a population-level study of 29 countries DOI Creative Commons
José Manuel Aburto, Jonas Schöley, Ilya Kashnitsky

и другие.

International Journal of Epidemiology, Год журнала: 2021, Номер 51(1), С. 63 - 74

Опубликована: Сен. 8, 2021

Variations in the age patterns and magnitudes of excess deaths, as well differences population sizes structures, make cross-national comparisons cumulative mortality impacts COVID-19 pandemic challenging. Life expectancy is a widely used indicator that provides clear cross-nationally comparable picture population-level on mortality.

Язык: Английский

Процитировано

311

The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on self-harm and suicidal behaviour: update of living systematic review DOI Creative Commons
Ann John, Emily Eyles, Roger T. Webb

и другие.

F1000Research, Год журнала: 2021, Номер 9, С. 1097 - 1097

Опубликована: Июнь 17, 2021

Background:The COVID-19 pandemic has caused considerable morbidity, mortality and disruption to people’s lives around the world. There are concerns that rates of suicide suicidal behaviour may rise during in its aftermath. Our living systematic review synthesises findings from emerging literature on incidence prevalence as well prevention efforts relation COVID-19, with this iteration synthesising relevant evidence up 19thOctober 2020.Method: Automated daily searches feed into a web-based database screening data extraction functionalities. Eligibility criteria include incidence/prevalence behaviour, exposure-outcome relationships effects interventions pandemic. Outcomes interest suicide, self-harm or attempted thoughts. No restrictions placed language study type, except for single-person case reports. We exclude one-off cross-sectional studies without either pre-pandemic measures comparisons positive vs. unaffected individuals.Results:Searches identified 6,226 articles. Seventy-eight articles met our inclusion criteria. further 64 did not meet revised Thirty-four were peer-reviewed (e.g. research letters, pre-prints). All based observational studies.There was no consistent but many noted adverse economic evolving. community distress, fall hospital presentation early an increased frequency thoughts those who had become infected COVID-19.Conclusions: Research impact is accumulating rapidly. This provides regular synthesis most up-to-date guide public health clinical policy mitigate risk longer term impacts researched.

Язык: Английский

Процитировано

172

Assessing the burden of COVID-19 in developing countries: systematic review, meta-analysis and public policy implications DOI Creative Commons
Andrew Levin, Nana Owusu‐Boaitey, Sierra Pugh

и другие.

BMJ Global Health, Год журнала: 2022, Номер 7(5), С. e008477 - e008477

Опубликована: Май 1, 2022

Introduction The infection fatality rate (IFR) of COVID-19 has been carefully measured and analysed in high-income countries, whereas there no systematic analysis age-specific seroprevalence or IFR for developing countries. Methods We systematically reviewed the literature to identify all serology studies countries that were conducted using representative samples collected by February 2021. For each antibody assays used these studies, we identified data on assay characteristics, including extent seroreversion over time. a Bayesian model incorporates conventional sampling uncertainty as well uncertainties about sensitivity specificity. then calculated IFRs individual case reports aggregated public health updates, estimates whenever feasible. Results In most locations among older adults was similar younger age cohorts, underscoring limited capacity nations have protect groups. Age-specific roughly 2 times higher than median value population 0.5%, because disparities healthcare access offset differences structure. Conclusion burden is far reflecting combination elevated transmission middle-aged adequate healthcare. These results underscore critical need ensure medical equity populations through provision vaccine doses effective medications.

Язык: Английский

Процитировано

164

The World Mortality Dataset: Tracking excess mortality across countries during the COVID-19 pandemic DOI Creative Commons
Ariel Karlinsky, Dmitry Kobak

medRxiv (Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory), Год журнала: 2021, Номер unknown

Опубликована: Янв. 29, 2021

Abstract Comparing the impact of COVID-19 pandemic between countries or across time is difficult because reported numbers cases and deaths can be strongly affected by testing capacity reporting policy. Excess mortality, defined as increase in all-cause mortality relative to expected widely considered a more objective indicator death toll. However, there has been no global, frequently-updated repository data countries. To fill this gap, we have collected weekly, monthly, quarterly from 94 territories, openly available regularly-updated World Mortality Dataset. We used dataset compute excess each country during pandemic. found that several worst-affected (Peru, Ecuador, Bolivia, Mexico) was above 50% annual mortality. At same time, other (Australia, New Zealand) below usual level, presumably due social distancing measures decreasing non-COVID infectious Furthermore, while many very accurately, some substantially underreporting their (e.g. Nicaragua, Russia, Uzbekistan), sometimes two orders magnitude (Tajikistan). Our results highlight importance open rapid for monitoring.

Язык: Английский

Процитировано

159

Quantifying impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic through life expectancy losses: a population-level study of 29 countries DOI Creative Commons
José Manuel Aburto, Jonas Schöley, Ilya Kashnitsky

и другие.

medRxiv (Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory), Год журнала: 2021, Номер unknown

Опубликована: Март 3, 2021

Abstract Variations in the age patterns and magnitudes of excess deaths, as well differences population sizes structures make cross-national comparisons cumulative mortality impacts COVID-19 pandemic challenging. Life expectancy is a widely-used indicator that provides clear cross-nationally comparable picture population-level on mortality. tables by sex were calculated for 29 countries, including most European Chile, USA 2015-2020. at birth 60 2020 contextualised against recent trends between 2015-19. Using decomposition techniques, we examined which specific groups contributed to reductions life what extent attributable official deaths. declined from 2019 27 out countries. Males Lithuania experienced largest losses during (2.2 1.7 years respectively), but more than an entire year documented eleven countries males, eight among females. Reductions mostly increased above The triggered significant increases magnitude not witnessed since WW-II Western Europe or breakup Soviet Union Eastern Europe. Females 15 males 10 ended up with lower 2015.

Язык: Английский

Процитировано

144

Suicide and mental health during the COVID-19 pandemic in Japan DOI Creative Commons
Michiko Ueda, Robert J. Nordstrom, Tetsuya Matsubayashi

и другие.

Journal of Public Health, Год журнала: 2021, Номер 44(3), С. 541 - 548

Опубликована: Март 23, 2021

The coronavirus disease (COVID-19) pandemic is an unprecedented public health crisis, but its effect on suicide deaths little understood.We analyzed data from monthly statistics between January 2017 and October 2020 online surveys mental filled out by the general population in Japan.Compared to 2017-19 period, number of during initial phase was lower than average exceeded past trend July 2020. Female suicides, whose numbers increased approximately 70% (incidence rate ratio: 1.695, 95% confidence interval: 1.558-1.843), were main source this increase. largest increase found among young women (less 40 years age). Our survey indicated that status women's has been deteriorating recent months female workers more likely have experienced a job or income loss any other group, suggesting adverse economic conditions surrounding them.Continuous monitoring health, particularly most vulnerable populations identified study, appropriate prevention efforts are necessary COVID-19 pandemic.

Язык: Английский

Процитировано

137