Managing vegetation for stronger cooling efficiency during hot days in the Arabian Peninsula DOI Creative Commons
Matteo Zampieri, Ramdane Alkama, Thang M. Luong

и другие.

Ecological Indicators, Год журнала: 2023, Номер 154, С. 110789 - 110789

Опубликована: Авг. 11, 2023

The growth of vegetation in desert areas is expected to cause considerable changes the local climate. Compared bare ground desert, balance different processes related such as reduced albedo and increased evapotranspiration can either warm up or cool down surface Quantifying these essential for impact assessments climate mitigation adaptation measures, especially regions increasingly hit by heat waves Arabian Peninsula. In this respect, analysis situ observations challenging owing limited data, uneven distribution, complex terrain, other confounding factors. Thus, study, using long-term satellite data at daily temporal resolution, estimates on land temperature several agricultural Kingdom Saudi Arabia. Results demonstrate that managed has a significant cooling effect during day particularly hot weather events, reducing highest temperatures > 5 °C. During waves, provide an additional about 3 °C (2 4 depending location). This robustly assessed though tailored statistical indicator suitable application over terrain are found sites. However, situation identified where vigor collapsed vanished, which was possibly issues associated with water management sustainability. herein, paper discusses potential solutions achieve sustainable irrigation among those were recently proposed scientific literature, desalinization from renewable energy land-use change options could enhance precipitation. study supports decision-making process green initiatives undertaken Middle East similar efforts arid regions.

Язык: Английский

The use of green infrastructure and irrigation in the mitigation of urban heat in a desert city DOI Creative Commons
Kai Gao, Shamila Haddad, Riccardo Paolini

и другие.

Building Simulation, Год журнала: 2024, Номер 17(5), С. 679 - 694

Опубликована: Фев. 24, 2024

Abstract Severe urban heat, a prevalent climate change consequence, endangers city residents globally. Vegetation-based mitigation strategies are commonly employed to address this issue. However, the Middle East and North Africa under investigated in terms of heat mitigation, despite being one regions most vulnerable change. This study assesses feasibility climatic implications wide-scale implementation green infrastructure (GI) for Riyadh, Saudi Arabia—a representative desert characterized by low vegetation coverage, severe summer drought. Weather research forecasting model (WRF) is used simulate GI cooling measures Riyadh’s condition, including increasing coverage up 60%, considering irrigation types (tall/short). In without irrigation, fails cool can even lead warming (0.1 0.3 °C). Despite overall effect 50% lower than expectations based on literature meta-analyses, average peak hour temperature reduction. The highlights that increased substantially raises rate direct soil evaporation, reducing proportion water transpiration thus diminishing efficiency. Concurrently, resource management must be tailored these specific considerations.

Язык: Английский

Процитировано

8

Assessing the growing threat of heat stress in the North Africa and Arabian Peninsula region connected to climate change DOI
Mohammed Magdy Hamed, Alaa Adel Jasim Al-Hasani, Mohamed Salem Nashwan

и другие.

Journal of Cleaner Production, Год журнала: 2024, Номер 447, С. 141639 - 141639

Опубликована: Март 3, 2024

Язык: Английский

Процитировано

8

Augmented human thermal discomfort in urban centers of the Arabian Peninsula DOI Creative Commons
Safi Ullah,

Abdullah Aldossary,

Waheed Ullah

и другие.

Scientific Reports, Год журнала: 2024, Номер 14(1)

Опубликована: Фев. 17, 2024

Abstract Anthropogenic climate change has amplified human thermal discomfort in urban environments. Despite the considerable risks posed to public health, there is a lack of comprehensive research, evaluating spatiotemporal changes and its characteristics hot-hyper arid regions, such as Arabian Peninsula (AP). The current study analyzes categories their AP, using newly developed high-resolution gridded ERA5-HEAT (Human thErmAl comforT) dataset for period 1979–2022. In addition, assesses interplay between Universal Thermal Climate Index (UTCI) El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) indices period. results reveal significant increase characteristics, with higher spatial variability AP region. major centers southwestern, central, southeastern parts have experienced increases (0.4–0.8 °C), frequency intensity stress during temporal distribution demonstrates linear UTCI frequencies intensities, particularly from 1998 onward, signifying transition towards hotter characterized by frequent, intense, prolonged heat conditions. Moreover, ENSO exhibit dipole pattern correlation positive (negative) southwestern (eastern parts) AP. study’s findings suggest that policymakers planners need prioritize health well-being AP’s areas, especially vulnerable groups, implementing adaptation mitigation strategies, carefully designing future cities mitigate effects stress.

Язык: Английский

Процитировано

6

Climate-induced mortality projections in Europe: Estimation and valuation of heat-related deaths DOI Creative Commons

Predrag Ignjačević,

W. J. Wouter Botzen, Francisco Estrada

и другие.

International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction, Год журнала: 2024, Номер 111, С. 104692 - 104692

Опубликована: Авг. 1, 2024

Extreme heat is becoming more prevalent in Europe and its localized impacts on human health urban environments are difficult to project. Our main objective was develop a local-scale integrated assessment model (IAM) explore the of global warming heat-related mortality Europe, with focus areas. Using apparent temperature metric, we several risk frameworks project deaths help policymakers evaluate future extreme risk. We also compute monetary impact expected using value statistical life. results show that compliance Paris agreement targets would limit cumulative losses during this century 2.6 million people, compared almost 5.5 under alternative climate scenarios. analysis suggests could save than €150 billion annually through avoided mortality. relationship between heath-induced population concentration Limiting island effect emissions reduction lower number by up 40%.

Язык: Английский

Процитировано

6

Strong increase in mortality attributable to ozone pollution under a climate change and demographic scenario DOI Creative Commons
Dimitris Akritidis, Sara Bacer, Prodromos Zanis

и другие.

Environmental Research Letters, Год журнала: 2024, Номер 19(2), С. 024041 - 024041

Опубликована: Янв. 22, 2024

Abstract Long-term exposure to ambient ozone (O 3 ) is associated with excess respiratory mortality. Pollution emissions, demographic, and climate changes are expected drive future ozone-related Here, we assess global mortality attributable according an Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Shared Socioeconomic Pathway (SSP) scenario applied in Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) models, projecting a temperature increase of about 3.6 °C by the end century. We estimated scale up 2090 following Global Burden Disease (GBD) 2019 approach, using bias-corrected simulations from three CMIP6 Earth System Models (ESMs) under SSP3-7.0 emissions scenario. Based ESMs simulations, will amount 2.79 M [95% CI 0.97 M–5.23 M] 3.12 1.11 M–5.75 per year, approximately ninefold that 327 K 103 K–652 K] deaths year 2000. change alone may lead between 42 −37 K–122 217 68 K–367 year. Population growth ageing factor 5.34, while trends ranges factors 1.48 1.7. Ambient pollution high-emissions projected become significant human health risk factor. Yet, optimizing living conditions healthcare standards worldwide optimal ones today (application minimum baseline rates) help mitigate adverse consequences population ageing, increases caused change.

Язык: Английский

Процитировано

5

Exploring the Nexus Between Climate Change, Water Scarcity, and Security Dynamics in the Middle East and North Africa DOI
Manar Fawzi Bani Mfarrej

Next research., Год журнала: 2025, Номер unknown, С. 100168 - 100168

Опубликована: Янв. 1, 2025

Язык: Английский

Процитировано

0

Progress and Trends in Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP) Research: A Bibliometric Analysis DOI Creative Commons

Yufeng Ju,

Nasrin Azad, Weiting Ding

и другие.

Agriculture, Год журнала: 2025, Номер 15(8), С. 826 - 826

Опубликована: Апрель 10, 2025

Understanding of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP) and its research progress applications is critical to answer scientific questions related climate change. While numerous papers based on CMIP have been published, there no quantitative study examining variability, predictability, change supported by CMIP. Therefore, statistical characteristics CMIP-related publications, including journals, disciplines, co-occurrence burst detection keywords, bibliographic coupling, were analyzed using bibliometric analysis. The results show that has increased exponentially from 2000 2023. About 20% was published in Journal Climate Dynamics. spanned several meteorology, atmospheric science, geosciences, environmental sciences. United States, China, Kingdom ranked top three for publications. prominent focus involved whole system, behavior, carbon cycle, sea surface temperature, ice, modeling, bias correction, simulations, sensitivity, extreme events, soil moisture, hydrology, future This can help relevant scientists better understand developments trends research, thereby facilitating use data.

Язык: Английский

Процитировано

0

The dividend period of climate change–related mortality in China is coming to an end DOI Creative Commons
Zhaobin Sun, Ling Han, Ziming Li

и другие.

Fundamental Research, Год журнала: 2025, Номер unknown

Опубликована: Янв. 1, 2025

Язык: Английский

Процитировано

0

Risk Governance for the Implementation of the Sendai Framework for Disaster Risk Reduction in Algeria DOI Creative Commons
Djillali Benouar,

Amine Belmokhtar

International Journal of Disaster Risk Science, Год журнала: 2025, Номер unknown

Опубликована: Янв. 22, 2025

Abstract This article aims to assess Algeria’s progress in implementing the seven global targets of Sendai Framework for Disaster Risk Reduction 2015–2030 (SFDRR) between 2015 and 2022. To achieve this, both qualitative quantitative data were collected meet study’s objectives. The primary goal is report on alignment with SFDRR targets, considering four priority areas framework as they relate these targets. also seeks explore governance risk Algeria context SFDRR’s implementation. Over past decade, has experienced a range disasters involving natural hazards, including floods, storms, droughts, extreme temperatures, wildfires, earthquakes, transport crashes, outbreaks diseases such COVID-19. These disasters, along other endogenous causes not addressed this article, have significantly hindered country’s toward key objectives, SFDRR.

Язык: Английский

Процитировано

0

Exceeding the limits of paediatric heat stress tolerance: the risk of losing a generation to climate inaction DOI Creative Commons
Alexander Azan, Sulani Nyimbili,

Oyinkansola O Babayode

и другие.

BMJ Paediatrics Open, Год журнала: 2025, Номер 9(1), С. e002883 - e002883

Опубликована: Янв. 1, 2025

Greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions are creating unprecedented climate-driven extreme weather, with levels of heat and humidity surpassing human physiological tolerance for stress. These conditions create a risk mass casualties, some populations particularly vulnerable due to physiological, behavioural socioeconomic (eg, lack adequate shelter, limited healthcare infrastructure, sparse air conditioning access electrical grid vulnerabilities). Children, especially young children, uniquely heat-related morbidity mortality factors including low body mass, high metabolism, suboptimal thermoregulatory mechanisms vulnerabilities. Children also non-fatal morbidities, malnutrition agricultural disruptions cardiometabolic, respiratory mental illnesses from exposure and/or confinement during avoidance. Climate mitigation through GHG reductions is central reducing harms children preventing the loss generation climate change. In regions most predisposed heat-driven casualties under various emission scenarios—particularly South Asian Southwest North African regions—adaptation tools specific children’s needs urgently needed. Existing public health interventions cooling infrastructure preventative educational campaigns) reduce acute mortality, medical capacity treat currently inadequate meet growing resiliency needs. Paediatricians other clinical community child providers in these education about risks adaptation tools. have crucial role research, education, practice advocacy protect events. Paediatricians, stakeholders well-being urged act on behalf elevate youth leadership policy-making.

Язык: Английский

Процитировано

0