Assessing the geographical diversity of climate change risks in Japan by overlaying climatic impacts with exposure and vulnerability indicators DOI Creative Commons
Fei Liu, Yoshifumi Masago

The Science of The Total Environment, Год журнала: 2024, Номер 959, С. 178076 - 178076

Опубликована: Дек. 24, 2024

Understanding multifaceted climate change risks and their interconnections is essential for effective adaptation strategies, which require comprehensive assessments of both climatic impact variations social-environmental exposures/vulnerabilities. This study examines these creates multitier delineations future across Japan by overlaying homogeneous zones (HIZs) with exposure-vulnerability complexes (EVCs). We delineated eight EVC regions, each exhibiting similar patterns exposure vulnerability, via multivariate clustering similarity search on the basis population land cover/use data. Under Shared Socioeconomic Pathway 5 scenario, 8.07 % Japan's area was identified as urban, 66.18 forest, 16.66 agricultural land, depending vulnerability characteristics. then spatially intersected EVCs six HIZs, represent common multisectoral variations. intersection revealed low geographical correspondence between factors, indicating high spatial variability in risk Japan. The use helps identify areas anticipated risks. nexus HIZs underscores complexity diversity risks, revealing regions high-impact alongside significant exposures vulnerabilities. For example, urban highlight critical issues such heat-related mortality flood damage. By mapping while focusing disparities, insights from can inform management strategies at national regional levels.

Язык: Английский

Achieving net zero greenhouse gas emissions critical to limit climate tipping risks DOI Creative Commons
Tessa Möller, Annika Högner, Carl-Friedrich Schleußner

и другие.

Nature Communications, Год журнала: 2024, Номер 15(1)

Опубликована: Авг. 1, 2024

Abstract Under current emission trajectories, temporarily overshooting the Paris global warming limit of 1.5 °C is a distinct possibility. Permanently exceeding this would substantially increase probability triggering climate tipping elements. Here, we investigate risks associated with several policy-relevant future scenarios, using stylised Earth system model four interconnected We show that following policies century commit to 45% risk by 2300 (median, 10–90% range: 23–71%), even if temperatures are brought back below °C. find increases every additional 0.1 overshoot above and strongly accelerates for peak 2.0 Achieving maintaining at least net zero greenhouse gas emissions 2100 paramount minimise in long term. Our results underscore stringent reductions decade critical planetary stability.

Язык: Английский

Процитировано

16
Low latency carbon budget analysis reveals a large decline of the land carbon sink in 2023 DOI Creative Commons
Piyu Ke, Philippe Ciais, Stephen Sitch

и другие.

National Science Review, Год журнала: 2024, Номер 11(12)

Опубликована: Окт. 22, 2024

ABSTRACT In 2023, the CO2 growth rate was 3.37 ± 0.11 ppm at Mauna Loa, which 86% above that of previous year and hit a record high since observations began in 1958, while global fossil fuel emissions only increased by 0.6% 0.5%. This implies an unprecedented weakening land ocean sinks, raises question where why this reduction happened. Here, we show net sink 0.44 0.21 GtC yr−1, is weakest 2003. We used dynamic vegetation models, satellite fire emissions, atmospheric inversion based on OCO-2 measurements emulators biogeochemical data-driven models to deliver fast-track carbon budget 2023. Those ensured consistency with budgets. Regional flux anomalies from 2015 2022 are consistent between top-down bottom-up approaches, largest abnormal loss Amazon during drought second half 2023 (0.31 0.19 yr−1), extreme 0.58 0.10 yr−1 Canada Southeast Asia (0.13 0.12 yr−1). Since 2015, uptake north 20°N had declined 1.13 0.24 Meanwhile, tropics recovered 2015–2016 El Niño loss, gained La Niña years (2020–2023), then switched (0.56 0.23 The stronger than normal equatorial eastern Pacific due reduced upwelling Niña's retreat early development later. Land regions exposed heat contributed gross 1.73 indicating warming strong negative impact capacity terrestrial ecosystems mitigate climate change.

Язык: Английский

Процитировано

10
The role of nationally determined contributions in transitions toward sustainable food systems DOI Creative Commons
R. Edward Grumbine, Jianchu Xu

Circular Agricultural Systems, Год журнала: 2025, Номер 5(1), С. 0 - 0

Опубликована: Янв. 1, 2025

Язык: Английский

Процитировано

1
Forestation is not an easy fix DOI
Garry Hayman

Science, Год журнала: 2024, Номер 383(6685), С. 833 - 834

Опубликована: Фев. 22, 2024

Planting trees has diverse effects on composition and climate mitigation.

Язык: Английский

Процитировано

6
Monitoring the Multiple Stages of Climate Tipping Systems from Space: Do the GCOS Essential Climate Variables Meet the Needs? DOI Creative Commons
Sina Loriani, Annett Bartsch, Elisa Calamita

и другие.

Surveys in Geophysics, Год журнала: 2025, Номер unknown

Опубликована: Фев. 18, 2025

Язык: Английский

Процитировано

0
On the value of a history of hydrology and the establishment of a History of Hydrology Working Group DOI Creative Commons
Keith Beven, S. A. Archfield, Okke Batelaan

и другие.

Hydrological Sciences Journal, Год журнала: 2025, Номер unknown, С. 1 - 13

Опубликована: Фев. 24, 2025

Язык: Английский

Процитировано

0
Promoting Sustainable Development and Social Inclusion in Community Supported Agriculture – A Cultural-Behavior Approach DOI Creative Commons
Virgínia Gomes de Caldas Nogueira, Laércia Abreu Vasconcelos

Revista de Gestão e Secretariado (Management and Administrative Professional Review), Год журнала: 2025, Номер 16(3), С. e4742 - e4742

Опубликована: Март 6, 2025

Community Supported Agriculture (CSAs) has emerged as a counterbalance to intensive agriculture, contributing significantly environmental degradation and climate change. By fostering direct interaction between producers consumers (co-farmers), CSAs promote local economic development, adopting sustainable food production practices reducing greenhouse gas emissions. Consequently, represent an innovative alternative conventional marketing models. From culturo-behavioral perspective, this study investigated the reasons underlying members' decisions leave or remain in strategies strengthen these communities. Employing descriptive exploratory approach, research utilized online questionnaire completed by 104 active members of Brazilian CSAs. The theoretical methodological framework behavior analysis provided tools analyze behavioral variables influencing evaluate their suggestions for strengthening Furthermore, facilitate transmission cultural patterns that sustain pro-environmental pro-social behaviors.

Язык: Английский

Процитировано

0
To what extent do climatic stressors drive human mobility in the world’s drylands? A systematic review of empirical evidence DOI Creative Commons
Ann-Christine Link, Robert D. Oakes, David Durand-Delacre

и другие.

Population and Environment, Год журнала: 2025, Номер 47(1)

Опубликована: Март 1, 2025

Язык: Английский

Процитировано

0
A worldwide analysis of stranded fossil fuel assets’ impact on power plants’ CO2 emissions DOI Creative Commons
Don Grant, Tyler Hansen, Andrew K. Jorgenson

и другие.

Nature Communications, Год журнала: 2024, Номер 15(1)

Опубликована: Авг. 30, 2024

Will power plants emit less or more CO

Язык: Английский

Процитировано

3
Negative social tipping dynamics resulting from and reinforcing Earth system destabilization DOI Creative Commons
Viktoria Spaiser, Sirkku Juhola, Sara Constantino

и другие.

Earth System Dynamics, Год журнала: 2024, Номер 15(5), С. 1179 - 1206

Опубликована: Сен. 10, 2024

Abstract. In recent years, research on normatively positive social tipping dynamics in response to the climate crisis has produced invaluable insights. contrast, relatively little attention been given potentially negative processes that might unfold due an increasingly destabilized Earth system and how they turn reinforce ecological destabilization and/or impede change. this paper, we discuss selected potential (anomie, radicalization polarization, displacement, conflict, financial destabilization) linked destabilization. We draw related understand drivers likelihood of these dynamics, their effects human societies system, for cascading interactions (e.g. food insecurity displacement) contributing systemic risks. This first attempt provide explorative conceptualization empirical account is intended motivate further into under-studied area nonetheless crucial our ability respond ensuring are not averted by ones.

Язык: Английский

Процитировано

3