Health and equity implications of individual adaptation to air pollution in a changing climate DOI Creative Commons

Matt Sparks,

Isaiah Farahbakhsh, Madhur Anand

и другие.

Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, Год журнала: 2024, Номер 121(5)

Опубликована: Янв. 16, 2024

Future climate change can cause more days with poor air quality. This could trigger alerts telling people to stay inside protect themselves, potential consequences for health and equity. Here, we study the in US quality over this century due fine particulate matter (PM 2.5 ), who they may affect, how respond. We find increase by 1 mo per year eastern United States 2100 quadruple on average. They predominantly affect areas high Black populations leakier homes, exacerbating existing inequalities impacting those less able adapt. Reducing emissions offer significant annual benefits ($5,400 person) mitigating effect of pollution its associated risks early death. Relying adapt, instead, would require them inside, doors windows closed, an extra 142 d year, at average cost $11,000 person. It appears likelier, however, that will achieve minimal protection without policy adaptation rates. Boosting net benefits, even alongside deep emission cuts. New policies could, example: reduce costs; infiltration improve indoor quality; awareness adaptation; provide measures working or living outdoors. emissions, conversely, lowers everyone’s need protects cannot Equitably protecting human from under requires both mitigation adaptation.

Язык: Английский

Achieving the supply-demand balance of ecosystem services through zoning regulation based on land use thresholds DOI
Xiaoqing Zhao, Yifei Xu, Junwei Pu

и другие.

Land Use Policy, Год журнала: 2024, Номер 139, С. 107056 - 107056

Опубликована: Фев. 2, 2024

Язык: Английский

Процитировано

29
Evaluating human-nature relationships at a grid scale in China, 2000–2020 DOI
Haimeng Liu,

Jiayi Lu,

Xuecao Li

и другие.

Habitat International, Год журнала: 2025, Номер 156, С. 103282 - 103282

Опубликована: Янв. 5, 2025

Язык: Английский

Процитировано

7
Labour market evolution is a key determinant of global agroeconomic and environmental futures DOI
Di Sheng, Jae Edmonds, Pralit Patel

и другие.

Nature Food, Год журнала: 2025, Номер unknown

Опубликована: Янв. 2, 2025

Язык: Английский

Процитировано

3
Conflict or Coordination? The Spatiotemporal Relationship Between Humans and Nature on the Qinghai‐Tibet Plateau DOI Creative Commons
Haimeng Liu, Yi Cheng, Zhifeng Liu

и другие.

Earth s Future, Год журнала: 2023, Номер 11(9)

Опубликована: Сен. 1, 2023

Abstract As the Earth's Third Pole and Asian water tower, Qinghai‐Tibet Plateau (QTP) plays a key role in global climate regulation biodiversity maintenance. Living harmony with nature is vital for local sustainable development. Current research on conflicted or coordinated relationship between humans QTP at fine spatial scale remains limited. To fill gap, we developed human activity intensity index (HAI) eco‐environmental quality (EQI) 1‐km resolution proposed four‐quadrant diagram approach to explore dynamics them. The results show development as HAI EQI both increased from 2000 2020, ratio of areas was 5:1. High were mainly big cities such Xining, Lhasa, Haidong, Xigaze, along traffic lines. significant outside Lhasa metropolitan, south Hengduan Mountains, some new roads, reduced by 8% 2000–2010 2010–2020. area high but low smallest proportion, southern Qinghai Lake, Brahlung Zangbo River, Gobi oases, western transport lines, it implies highest risk ecosystem degradation. This expands fundamental methodology address complex human‐natural relationships provides implications fragile ecosystems.

Язык: Английский

Процитировано

43
Cooperative adaptive management of the Nile River with climate and socio-economic uncertainties DOI Creative Commons
Mohammed Basheer, Victor Nechifor, Alvaro Calzadilla

и другие.

Nature Climate Change, Год журнала: 2023, Номер 13(1), С. 48 - 57

Опубликована: Янв. 1, 2023

Abstract The uncertainties around the hydrological and socio-economic implications of climate change pose a challenge for Nile River system management, especially with rapidly rising demands river-system-related services political tensions between riparian countries. Cooperative adaptive management can help alleviate some these stressors tensions. Here we present planning framework infrastructure system, combining projections; hydrological, river economy-wide simulators; artificial intelligence multi-objective design machine learning algorithms. We demonstrate utility by designing cooperative policy Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam that balances transboundary economic biophysical interests Ethiopia, Sudan Egypt. This shows if three countries compromise cooperatively adaptively in managing dam, national-level resilience benefits are substantial, under projections most extreme streamflow changes.

Язык: Английский

Процитировано

37
Knowledge co-production for decision-making in human-natural systems under uncertainty DOI Creative Commons
Enayat A. Moallemi, Fateme Zare, Aniek Hebinck

и другие.

Global Environmental Change, Год журнала: 2023, Номер 82, С. 102727 - 102727

Опубликована: Июль 4, 2023

Decision-making under uncertainty is important for managing human-natural systems in a changing world. A major source of linked to the multi-actor settings decisions with poorly understood values, complex relationships, and conflicting management approaches. Despite general agreement across disciplines on co-producing knowledge viable inclusive outcomes context, there still limited conceptual clarity no systematic understanding what co-production means decision-making how it can be approached. Here, we use content analysis clustering systematically analyse 50 cases multiple time spatial scales 26 countries 9 different sectors last decade serve two aims. The first synthesise key recurring strategies that underpin high quality decision many diverse features. second identify deficits opportunities leverage existing towards flourishing support decision-making. We find four emerge centred around: promoting innovation robust equitable decisions; broadening span interacting systems; fostering social learning participation; improving pathways impact. Additionally, five areas should addressed improve are identified relation to: participation diversity; collaborative action; power relationships; governance inclusivity; transformative change. Characterising emergent their improvement help guide future works more pluralistic integrated science practice.

Язык: Английский

Процитировано

37
Continental United States climate projections based on thermodynamic modification of historical weather DOI Creative Commons
Andrew D. Jones, Deeksha Rastogi, Pouya Vahmani

и другие.

Scientific Data, Год журнала: 2023, Номер 10(1)

Опубликована: Сен. 28, 2023

Regional climate models can be used to examine how past weather events might unfold under different conditions by simulating analogue versions of those with modified thermodynamic (i.e., warming signals). Here, we apply this approach dynamically downscaling a 40-year sequence from 1980-2019 driven atmospheric re-analysis, and then repeating total 8 times using range time-evolving signals that follow 4 80-year future trajectories 2020-2099. Warming two emission scenarios (SSP585 SSP245) are derived groups global based on whether they exhibit relatively high or low sensitivity. The resulting dataset, which contains 25 hourly over 200 3-hourly variables at 12 km spatial resolution, plausible in direct reference previously observed enables systematic exploration the ways change influences characteristics historical extreme events.

Язык: Английский

Процитировано

31
Unraveling complex causal processes that affect sustainability requires more integration between empirical and modeling approaches DOI Creative Commons
Maja Schlüter‬, Christa Brelsford, Paul J. Ferraro

и другие.

Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, Год журнала: 2023, Номер 120(41)

Опубликована: Окт. 2, 2023

Scientists seek to understand the causal processes that generate sustainability problems and determine effective solutions. Yet, inquiry in nature-society systems is hampered by conceptual methodological challenges arise from interdependencies complex dynamics they create. Here, we demonstrate how scientists can address these make more robust claims through better integration between empirical analyses process- or agent-based modeling. To illustrate different epistemological traditions be integrated, present four studies of air pollution regulation, natural resource management, spread COVID-19. The show improve estimates effects, inform future research designs data collection, enhance understanding underlie observed temporal patterns, elucidate mechanisms contexts which operate. These advances help develop theories phenomena where social ecological are dynamically intertwined prior knowledge limited. improved also enhances governance helping practitioners choose among potential interventions, decide when timing an intervention matters, anticipate unexpected outcomes. Methodological integration, however, requires skills efforts all involved learn members respective other tradition think analyze systems.

Язык: Английский

Процитировано

27
Tracking the post-disaster evolution of water infrastructure resilience: A study of the 2021 Texas winter storm DOI Creative Commons
Helena R. Tiedmann, Lauryn A. Spearing, Sergio Castellanos

и другие.

Sustainable Cities and Society, Год журнала: 2023, Номер 91, С. 104417 - 104417

Опубликована: Янв. 21, 2023

Язык: Английский

Процитировано

25
Equity and modeling in sustainability science: Examples and opportunities throughout the process DOI Creative Commons
Amanda Giang,

Morgan R. Edwards,

Sarah Fletcher

и другие.

Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, Год журнала: 2024, Номер 121(13)

Опубликована: Март 18, 2024

Equity is core to sustainability, but current interventions enhance sustainability often fall short in adequately addressing this linkage. Models are important tools for informing action, and their development use present opportunities center equity process outcomes. This Perspective highlights progress integrating into systems modeling science, as well key challenges, tensions, future directions. We a conceptual framework modeling, focused on its distributional, procedural, recognitional dimensions. discuss examples of how modelers engage with these different dimensions throughout the from across range approaches topics, including water resources, energy systems, air quality, conservation. Synthesizing examples, we identify significant advances enhancing procedural by reframing models explore pluralism worldviews knowledge systems; enabling better represent distributional inequity through new computational techniques data sources; investigating dynamics that can drive inequities linking approaches; developing more nuanced metrics assessing also directions, such an increased focus using pathways transform underlying conditions lead move toward desired futures. By looking at diverse fields within argue there valuable mutual learning effectively support sustainable equitable

Язык: Английский

Процитировано

16