medRxiv (Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory),
Год журнала:
2024,
Номер
unknown
Опубликована: Июль 3, 2024
A
bstract
Risk-driven
behavior
provides
a
feedback
mechanism
through
which
individuals
both
shape
and
are
collectively
affected
by
an
epidemic.
We
introduce
general
flexible
compartmental
model
to
study
the
effect
of
heterogeneity
in
population
with
regards
risk
tolerance.
The
interplay
between
epidemiology
leads
rich
set
possible
epidemic
dynamics.
Depending
on
behavioral
composition
population,
we
find
that
increasing
tolerance
can
either
increase
or
decrease
size.
multiple
waves
infection
arise
due
transmission
behavior,
even
without
replenishment
susceptibles.
protective
mechanisms
such
as
effectiveness
interventions,
number
risk-averse
people
duration
intervention
usage
reduces
overshoot.
When
protection
is
pushed
past
critical
threshold,
dynamics
enter
underdamped
regime
where
size
exactly
equals
herd
immunity
threshold
overshoot
eliminated.
Lastly,
regimes
does
not
monotonically
becomes
increasingly
risk-averse.
Area Development and Policy,
Год журнала:
2025,
Номер
unknown, С. 1 - 18
Опубликована: Янв. 27, 2025
During
the
COVID-19
pandemic,
voluntary
adherence
to
non-pharmaceutical
interventions
(NPIs)
was
imperative
control
spread
of
virus.
The
emergence
pandemic
fatigue,
however,
may
militate
against
public
compliance
with
these
interventions.
Although
existing
literature
has
examined
little
attention
been
given
spatio-temporal
characteristics
within
a
city.
Focusing
on
stay-at-home
recommendation
during
in
Hong
Kong,
this
study
employed
road
speed
as
proxy
investigate
fatigue.
Temporally,
development
and
concerns
are
investigated.
Spatially,
variables
four
categories
(i.e.
socioeconomic,
home
environment,
land
use
COVID-related)
examined.
Despite
same
level
NPIs,
changes
traffic
were
observed,
indicating
A
positive
correlation
between
NPIs
interest
'living
COVID'
policy
is
found.
areas
more
older
people
demonstrated
high
rate.
Findings
suggest
that
by
using
for
potential
factors
both
spatial
temporal
dimensions
can
be
unveiled.
Policy
implications
future
health
crises
also
discussed.
Background
Hong
Kong’s
3-year
dynamic
zero-COVID
policy
has
caused
prolonged
exposure
to
stringent,
pervasive
anti-epidemic
measures,
which
poses
additional
stressors
on
emotional
well-being
through
pandemic
fatigue,
beyond
the
incumbent
fear
of
pandemic.
Aims
To
investigate
how
major
shifts
in
strategy
have
corresponded
with
changing
relationships
between
well-being,
fatigue
from
adherence,
and
fear,
following
peak
a
living-with-COVID
policy.
Method
A
three-wave
repeated
cross-sectional
study
(
N
=
2266)
was
conducted
Chinese
working-age
population
(18–64
years)
during
outbreak
(Wave
1),
subsequent
towards
initial
relaxation
2)
full
3)
measures
March
2022
2023.
Non-parametric
tests,
consisting
robust
analysis
covariance
tests
quantile
regression
analysis,
were
performed.
Results
The
severity
all
lowered
after
Wave
1;
however,
extreme
fears
reported
2
n
38,
7.7%)
associated
worse
than
then
subsided
3.
Pandemic
posed
greater
negative
1,
whereas
dominant
predictor
Waves
Conclusions
together
robustly
highlight
psychological
cost
responses,
expanding
framework
for
monitoring
minimising
unintended
mental
health
ramifications
policies.
Journal of The Royal Society Interface,
Год журнала:
2025,
Номер
22(225)
Опубликована: Апрель 1, 2025
Risk-driven
behaviour
provides
a
feedback
mechanism
through
which
individuals
both
shape
and
are
collectively
affected
by
an
epidemic.
We
introduce
general
flexible
compartmental
model
to
study
the
effect
of
heterogeneity
in
population
with
regard
risk
tolerance.
The
interplay
between
epidemiology
leads
rich
set
possible
epidemic
dynamics.
Depending
on
behavioural
composition
population,
we
find
that
increasing
tolerance
can
either
increase
or
decrease
size.
multiple
waves
infection
arise
due
transmission
behaviour,
even
without
replenishment
susceptibles.
protective
mechanisms
such
as
effectiveness
interventions,
fraction
risk-averse
people
duration
intervention
usage
reduce
overshoot.
When
protection
is
pushed
past
critical
threshold,
dynamics
enter
underdamped
regime
where
size
exactly
equals
herd
immunity
threshold
overshoot
eliminated.
Finally,
regimes
does
not
monotonically
becomes
increasingly
risk-averse.
Political Psychology,
Год журнала:
2025,
Номер
unknown
Опубликована: Апрель 28, 2025
Abstract
In
recent
years,
many
Western
democracies
have
experienced
increased
political
polarization,
eroding
social
cohesion
and,
in
some
cases,
heightened
fear
of
violence
among
the
general
population.
Simultaneously,
surveys
found
high
rates
loneliness
modern
societies
and
that
it
appears
to
an
impact
on
hypervigilance
threats.
This
paper
links
extends
both
lines
literature
investigates
whether
influences
citizens'
perceptions
state
society,
namely
presence
societal
conflicts
failure
institutions.
Analyzing
cross‐national
data
from
European
Quality
Life
Survey
(EQLS),
shows
is
associated
with
levels
perceived
conflict.
A
subsequent
analysis
panel
confirms
rising
positively
increasing
unrest
institutions,
which
supports
idea
does
cause
elevated
sense
conflict
insecurity.
conclusion,
we
extend
“hypervigilance
threats”
hypothesis
argue
causes
universal
for
Nature Communications,
Год журнала:
2025,
Номер
16(1)
Опубликована: Май 22, 2025
Abstract
Behavior-disease
models
suggest
that
pandemics
can
be
contained
cost-effectively
if
individuals
take
preventive
actions
when
disease
prevalence
rises
among
their
close
contacts.
However,
assessing
local
awareness
behavior
in
real-world
datasets
remains
a
challenge.
Through
the
analysis
of
mutation
patterns
clinical
genetic
sequence
data,
we
propose
an
efficient
approach
to
quantify
impact
by
identifying
superspreading
events
and
assigning
containment
scores
them.
We
validate
proposed
score
as
proxy
for
simulation
experiments,
find
it
was
correlated
positively
with
policy
stringency
during
COVID-19
pandemic.
Finally,
observe
temporary
drop
Omicron
wave
United
Kingdom,
matching
survey
experiment
carried
out
Hungary
corresponding
period
Our
findings
bring
important
insight
into
field
modeling
through
large-scale
one
most
promising
data
sources
epidemics
research.
