
Frontiers in Marine Science, Год журнала: 2025, Номер 12
Опубликована: Май 26, 2025
Introduction Despite China’s devotion to marine biodiversity by conserving 12.98% of its seas, recent years saw the more flattened growth protected area (MPA) establishment. Understanding establishment mechanisms MPAs is crucial for protecting wildlife and achieving balanced conservation development. However, traditional linear or generalized models are insufficient capture complex nonlinear effects between ecosystems society. Methods Adapting social-ecological system (SES) framework, from perspective public goods decision-making, this paper uses overdispersion-robust Poisson pseudo-maximum likelihood (PPML) regressions with high-dimensional fixed study distribution pattern factors influencing MPA in 49 Chinese coastal cities that built during 1998-2020. It also developed a mathematically based algorithm locate thresholds where change. Results show GDP over ¥55 billion (1998-based, equal ¥106.5 2020) be conducive establishment, while built-up areas 63 km² antagonistic Illustrated an N-shaped curve, article supplements previous studies U-shaped environmental Kuznets curve providing new theoretical insights perspective. Discussion Drawing on results, practical implications were given balance development, spatial-ecological socioeconomic alignment top-down adaptive governance, list prioritized receive fund as 2030 looms. The conclusions pertain global development merit future deepen research higher-order interactions dynamics.
Язык: Английский