Abstract
In
the
Anthropocene,
understanding
and
managing
ecological
communities
requires
characterization
of
natural
spatiotemporal
ecosystem
dynamics.
Complex
ecosystems
may
appear
chaotic
unstructured,
making
long‐term
monitoring
programs
with
hierarchical
sampling
designs
ideal
for
investigating
patterns
at
multiple
scales.
Here,
we
use
a
dataset
spanning
entire
Great
Barrier
Reef
(GBR)
decades
to
determine
spatial
distribution
abundance,
how
these
change
through
time,
in
233
reef‐associated
fish
species.
Community
composition
was
strongly
structured
by
position
across
continental
shelf,
distinct
inner
outer
shelf
assemblages.
Latitudinal
differences
were
smaller,
except
distinctive
assemblages
southernmost
Swain
Capricorn‐Bunker
regions.
GBR‐wide
summaries
total
density
species
richness
did
not
show
directional
shifts,
it
only
after
analyzing
metrics
subregional
scale
that
wider
range
temporal
oscillations
identified,
indicating
responses
perturbations
require
examination
smaller
than
GBR
Within
most
subregions
(65%),
has
undergone
clear
ongoing
shift
away
from
community
identified
1990s.
These
changes
generally
due
reduction
numbers
coral‐dependent
an
increased
dominance
grazers
generalists.
Among
species,
there
have
been
more
“winners”
“losers”
whole
GBR,
but
this
masks
tendency
reefs
central
over
time.
on
are
dynamic
recovery
potential
disturbance
events.
Despite
some
pervasive
community‐level
shifts
last
decades,
biogeographic
characteristics
each
subregion
remain
intact.
We
pose
question
whether
is
reasonable
expect
highly
reach
relatively
stable
“climax
community,”
posit
answer
scale‐dependent
and,
currently
resolved
scale,
which
stakeholders
decision‐makers
operate.
Biological reviews/Biological reviews of the Cambridge Philosophical Society,
Год журнала:
2023,
Номер
98(4), С. 983 - 1002
Опубликована: Март 1, 2023
ABSTRACT
Ecologists
routinely
use
statistical
models
to
detect
and
explain
interactions
among
ecological
drivers,
with
a
goal
evaluate
whether
an
effect
of
interest
changes
in
sign
or
magnitude
different
contexts.
Two
fundamental
properties
are
often
overlooked
during
the
process
hypothesising,
visualising
interpreting
between
drivers:
measurement
scale
–
response
is
analysed
on
additive
multiplicative
scale,
such
as
ratio
logarithmic
scale;
symmetry
dependencies
considered
both
directions.
Overlooking
these
can
lead
one
more
three
inferential
errors:
misinterpretation
(
i
)
detection
(Type‐D
error),
ii
modification
(Type‐S
error);
iii
misidentification
underlying
processes
(Type‐A
error).
We
illustrate
each
errors
broad
range
questions
applied
empirical
simulated
data
sets.
demonstrate
how
meta‐analysis,
widely
used
approach
that
seeks
explicitly
characterise
context
dependence,
especially
prone
all
errors.
Based
insights,
we
propose
guidelines
improve
hypothesis
generation,
testing,
visualisation
interpretation
ecology.
Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B Biological Sciences,
Год журнала:
2025,
Номер
380(1917)
Опубликована: Янв. 9, 2025
Anthropogenic
climate
change
is
projected
to
become
a
major
driver
of
biodiversity
loss,
destabilizing
the
ecosystems
on
which
human
society
depends.
As
planet
rapidly
warms,
disruption
ecological
interactions
among
populations,
species
and
their
environment,
will
likely
drive
positive
feedback
loops,
accelerating
pace
magnitude
losses.
We
propose
that,
even
without
invoking
such
amplifying
feedback,
loss
should
increase
nonlinearly
with
warming
because
non-uniform
distribution
biodiversity.
Whether
these
non-uniformities
are
uneven
populations
across
species’
thermal
niche,
or
niche
limits
within
an
community,
we
show
that
in
both
cases,
resulting
clustering
population
tolerances
drives
nonlinear
increases
risk
discuss
how
fundamental
constraints
physiologies
geographical
distributions
give
rise
clustered
tolerances,
responses
changing
climates
could
variously
temper,
delay
intensify
dynamics.
argue
risks
be
null
expectation
under
warming,
highlight
empirical
research
needed
understand
causes,
commonness
consequences
better
predict
where,
when
why
losses
occur.
This
article
part
discussion
meeting
issue
‘Bending
curve
towards
nature
recovery:
building
Georgina
Mace’s
legacy
for
biodiverse
future’.
Science,
Год журнала:
2023,
Номер
379(6636), С. 1054 - 1059
Опубликована: Март 10, 2023
Islands
have
long
been
recognized
as
distinctive
evolutionary
arenas
leading
to
morphologically
divergent
species,
such
dwarfs
and
giants.
We
assessed
how
body
size
evolution
in
island
mammals
may
exacerbated
their
vulnerability,
well
human
arrival
has
contributed
past
ongoing
extinctions,
by
integrating
data
on
1231
extant
350
extinct
species
from
islands
paleo
worldwide
spanning
the
23
million
years.
found
that
likelihood
of
extinction
endangerment
are
highest
most
extreme
Extinction
risk
insular
was
compounded
modern
humans,
which
accelerated
rates
more
than
10-fold,
resulting
an
almost
complete
demise
these
iconic
marvels
evolution.
The Innovation Geoscience,
Год журнала:
2024,
Номер
2(3), С. 100087 - 100087
Опубликована: Янв. 1, 2024
<sec></sec><sec><p>
Sustainable
development
depends
on
the
integration
of
economy,
society,
and
environment.
Yet,
escalating
environmental
challenges
pose
threats
to
both
society
economy.
Despite
progress
in
addressing
issues
promote
sustainability,
knowledge
gaps
scientific
research,
technological
advancement,
engineering
practice,
policy
persist.
In
this
review,
we
aim
narrow
these
by
proposing
innovation-based
solutions
refining
existing
paradigms.
Reviewing
past
research
actions,
first
elucidate
evolution
sustainability
science
essence
sustainable
its
assessment.
Secondly,
summarize
current
major
issues,
including
global
warming
climate
change,
biodiversity
loss,
land
degradation
desertification,
pollution,
as
well
their
relationships
with
achievement
Development
Goals
(SDGs).
Subsequently,
review
critically
evaluates
role
innovations
science,
technology,
engineering,
(iSTEP)
synergies
advancing
SDGs.
While
sequential
may
vary
based
specific
contexts
or
scenarios
within
iSTEP
framework,
each
component
reinforces
others,
fostering
continuous
improvement.
Finally,
offers
recommendations
future
perspectives
for
formulating
roadmaps.
Recommendations
include
a
vision
promoting
interdisciplinary
collaboration,
encouraging
transboundary
cooperation
among
stakeholders
endeavors.</p></sec>
Abstract
An
ecological
threshold
is
the
point
at
which
a
comparatively
small
environmental
change
triggers
an
abrupt
and
disproportionately
large
response.
In
face
of
accelerating
climate
change,
there
concern
that
ecosystem
transformations
will
become
more
widespread
as
critical
thresholds
are
crossed.
There
has
been
ongoing
debate,
however,
regarding
prevalence
across
natural
world.
While
ubiquitous
in
some
ecosystems,
have
difficult
to
detect
others.
Some
studies
even
concluded
responses
uncommon
world
overly
emphasized
literature.
As
ecologists
who
work
ecosystems
chronically
exposed
high
abiotic
stress,
we
consider
be
concepts
can
greatly
advance
understanding
inform
management.
But
quantifying
challenging,
if
not
impossible,
without
data
strategically
collected
for
purpose.
Here,
present
conceptual
framework
built
upon
linkages
between
climate‐driven
responses,
risk
transformation.
We
also
simple
approach
stress
gradients.
hypothesize
especially
influential
where
autotroph
diversity
low
foundation
species
play
prominent
role.
Abiotic
conditions
these
environments
often
near
physiological
tolerance
limits
species,
means
changes
trigger
landscape‐level
transformations.
Conversely,
alleviation
allow
thrive
spread
into
previously
inhospitable
locations.
provide
examples
this
behavior
from
four
high‐stress
environments:
coastal
wetlands,
coral
reefs,
drylands,
alpine
ecosystems.
Our
overarching
aim
review
clarify
strong
relationships
thresholds,
transformation
under
change.
Ecology and Evolution,
Год журнала:
2024,
Номер
14(6)
Опубликована: Май 30, 2024
Abstract
Understanding
what
regulates
ecosystem
functional
responses
to
disturbance
is
essential
in
this
era
of
global
change.
However,
many
pioneering
and
still
influential
disturbance‐related
theorie
proposed
by
ecologists
were
developed
prior
rapid
change,
before
tools
metrics
available
test
them.
In
light
new
knowledge
conceptual
advances
across
biological
disciplines,
we
present
four
ecology
concepts
that
are
particularly
relevant
the
field:
(a)
directionality
response
disturbance;
(b)
thresholds;
(c)
disturbance–succession
interactions;
(d)
diversity‐functional
stability
relationships.
We
discuss
how
knowledge,
theory,
terminology
several
when
integrated,
can
enhance
analyze
interpret
disturbance.
For
example,
interpreting
thresholds
interactions,
should
consider
concurrent
biotic
regime
non‐linearity,
multiple
pathways,
typically
theoretical
analytical
domain
population
community
ecologists.
Similarly,
interpretation
requires
approaches
recognize
promote,
inhibit,
or
fundamentally
change
functions.
suggest
truly
integrative
advancing
Abstract
Context
Dynamic
feedbacks
between
physical
structure
and
ecological
function
drive
ecosystem
productivity,
resilience,
biodiversity
maintenance.
Detailed
maps
of
canopy
enable
comprehensive
evaluations
structure–function
relationships.
However,
these
relationships
are
scale-dependent,
identifying
relevant
spatial
scales
to
link
remains
challenging.
Objectives
We
identified
optimal
relate
heterogeneity
resistance,
measured
as
the
impacts
wildfire
on
structure,
native
shrub
recruitment.
further
investigated
whether
structural
can
aid
predictions
Methods
Using
high-resolution
imagery
from
unoccupied
aerial
systems
(UAS),
we
mapped
across
ten
semi-arid
landscapes,
undergoing
a
disturbance-mediated
regime
shift
shrubland
dominance
by
invasive
annual
grasses.
then
applied
wavelet
analysis
decompose
into
discrete
related
metrics
resilience
resistance.
Results
found
strong
indicators
scale
dependence
in
tested
Wildfire
effects
were
most
prominent
at
single
(2.34
m),
while
abundance
recruits
was
sensitive
range
scales,
0.07
–
2.34
m.
Structural
enabled
out-of-site
recruitment
(R
2
=
0.55).
The
best-performing
predictive
model
included
multiple
scales.
Conclusions
Our
results
demonstrate
that
requires
analyses
explicitly
account
for
scale.
As
enables
spatially
extensive
heterogeneity,
models
will
our
understanding
mechanisms
imperiled
arid
ecosystems.