Geophysical Research Letters,
Год журнала:
2023,
Номер
50(24)
Опубликована: Дек. 12, 2023
Abstract
Global
climate
models
(GCMs)
struggle
to
simulate
polar
clouds,
especially
low‐level
clouds
that
contain
supercooled
liquid
and
closely
interact
with
both
the
underlying
surface
large‐scale
atmosphere.
Here
we
focus
on
GFDL's
latest
coupled
GCM–CM4–and
find
are
biased
high
compared
observations.
The
CM4
bias
is
largely
due
moisture
fluxes
occur
within
partially
ice‐covered
grid
cells,
which
enhance
low
cloud
formation
in
non‐summer
seasons.
In
simulations
where
these
suppressed,
it
found
open
water
an
areal
fraction
less
than
5%
dominates
of
contributes
more
50%
total
response
sea
ice.
These
findings
emphasize
importance
accurately
modeling
processes
(e.g.,
ice
lead‐atmosphere
interactions)
regions
GCMs.
Elementa Science of the Anthropocene,
Год журнала:
2024,
Номер
12(1)
Опубликована: Янв. 1, 2024
Central
Arctic
properties
and
processes
are
important
to
the
regional
global
coupled
climate
system.
The
Multidisciplinary
drifting
Observatory
for
Study
of
Climate
(MOSAiC)
Distributed
Network
(DN)
autonomous
ice-tethered
systems
aimed
bridge
gaps
in
our
understanding
temporal
spatial
scales,
particular
with
respect
resolution
Earth
system
models.
By
characterizing
variability
around
local
measurements
made
at
a
Observatory,
DN
covers
both
interactions
involving
ocean-ice-atmosphere
interfaces
as
well
three-dimensional
ocean,
sea
ice,
atmosphere.
more
than
200
instruments
(“buoys”)
were
varying
complexity
set
up
different
sites
mostly
within
50
km
Observatory.
During
an
exemplary
midwinter
month,
observations
captured
atmospheric
on
sub-monthly
time
but
less
so
monthly
means.
They
show
significant
snow
depth
ice
thickness,
provide
temporally
spatially
resolved
characterization
motion
deformation,
showing
coherency
scale
smaller
scales.
Ocean
data
background
gradient
across
dependent
due
mixed
layer
sub-mesoscale
mesoscale
processes,
influenced
by
variable
cover.
second
case
(May–June
2020)
illustrates
utility
during
absence
manually
obtained
providing
continuity
physical
biological
this
key
transitional
period.
We
examples
synergies
between
extensive
MOSAiC
remote
sensing
numerical
modeling,
such
estimating
skill
drift
forecasts
evaluating
modeling.
has
been
proven
enable
analysis
atmosphere-ice-ocean
potential
improve
model
parameterizations
important,
unresolved
future.
Scientific Reports,
Год журнала:
2025,
Номер
15(1)
Опубликована: Янв. 23, 2025
Climate
models
simulate
a
wide
range
of
temperatures
in
the
Arctic.
Here
we
investigate
one
main
drivers
changes
surface
temperature:
net
heat
flux
models.
We
show
that
winter
months
dark
Arctic,
there
is
more
than
two-fold
difference
fluxes
among
models,
and
this
dominated
by
downward
infrared
radiation
from
clouds.
Owing
to
small
amount
water
vapor
clouds
transmits
easily
Arctic
at
other
latitudes,
resulting
large
cloud
radiative
effect
surface.
The
dominant
role
also
found
transient
variability
flux.
Results
demonstrate
accurate
simulation
crucial
for
determining
flux,
which
turn
affects
temperature
sea
ice
properties
Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society,
Год журнала:
2024,
Номер
150(761), С. 2123 - 2146
Опубликована: Апрель 1, 2024
Abstract
In
this
study,
data
from
17
ground‐based,
continental
Arctic
observatories
are
used
to
evaluate
the
performance
of
European
Centre
for
Medium‐Range
Weather
Forecasts
Reanalysis
version
5
(ERA5)
reanalysis
model.
Three
aspects
evaluated:
(i)
overall
reproducibility
variables
at
all
stations
seasons
one‐hour
time
resolution;
(ii)
seasonal
performance;
and
(iii)
between
different
temporal
resolutions
(one
hour
one
month).
Performance
is
evaluated
based
on
slope,
R
2
value,
root‐mean‐squared
error
(RMSE).
We
focus
surface
meteorological
including
2‐m
air
temperature
(temperature),
relative
humidity
(RH),
pressure,
wind
speed,
zonal
meridional
speed
components,
short‐wave
downward
(SWD)
radiation
flux.
The
comparison
revealed
best
results
pressure
(0.98
±
0.02,
mean
standard
deviation
[
σ
]),
followed
by
(0.94
0.02),
SWD
flux
(0.87
0.03)
while
(0.49
0.12),
RH
(0.42
0.20),
(0.163
0.15)
(0.129
0.17)
displayed
poor
results.
also
found
that
certain
(surface
meridional,
speed)
showed
no
dependency
others
(temperature,
RH,
flux)
performed
better
during
seasons.
Improved
were
observed
when
decreasing
resolution
month
temperature,
However,
(RH
pressure)
comparatively
worse
monthly
resolution.
Overall,
ERA5
performs
well
in
Arctic,
but
caution
needs
be
taken
with
which
has
implications
use
global
climate
models.
Our
useful
scientific
community
as
it
assesses
confidence
placed
each
produced
ERA5.
Journal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres,
Год журнала:
2025,
Номер
130(6)
Опубликована: Март 10, 2025
Abstract
The
Arctic
surface
energy
budget
(SEB)
couples
the
atmosphere
with
sea
ice,
making
it
useful
for
both
studying
processes
as
well
evaluating
models.
Improved
understanding
of
atmosphere‐ice
interactions
is
required
to
improve
models,
requiring
year‐round
observations
address
seasonally
dependent
biases.
This
work
uses
novel
from
MOSAiC
expedition
quantify
responses
fluxes
radiative
forcing
over
ice
throughout
a
complete
annual
cycle.
We
identify
two
primary
regimes
flux
response:
an
growth
regime
in
winter
and
melt
summer.
In
regime,
changes
impact
upwelling
longwave,
sensible
heat,
subsurface
heat
fluxes,
whereas
primarily
alter
amount
transmission
because
temperature
fixed.
These
observed
are
used
evaluate
seven
weather
forecast
models
during
regime.
most
do
not
match
observations.
Many
also
have
biased
downwelling
longwave.
One
model
(the
Coupled
Forecast
System;
CAFS)
adequately
captures
mean
winter.
CAFS
further
evaluated
against
spanning
full
year,
demonstrating
sufficient
agreement
provide
more
generalized
these
SEB
process
relationships
across
Arctic.
Abstract.
The
global
warming
is
amplified
in
the
Arctic.
To
collect
data
that
help
to
constrain
weather
and
climate
models,
which
often
do
not
realistically
represent
enhanced
Arctic
warming,
HALO-(AC)³
aircraft
campaign
was
conducted
March
April
2022
over
Norwegian
Greenland
Seas,
Fram
Strait,
central
Ocean.
Observations
were
made
areas
of
open
ocean,
marginal
sea
ice
zone,
ice.
Two
low-flying
one
long-range,
high-altitude
research
have
been
employed.
Whenever
possible,
three
flown
collocated
formation.
focused
on
specific
challenge
posed
by
models:
reasonable
representation
transformations
air
masses
during
their
meridional
transport
into
(northward
moist
warm
intrusions,
WAIs)
out
(southward
via
marine
cold
outbreaks,
CAOs)
observe
mass
transformations,
a
quasi-Lagrangian
flight
strategy
using
trajectory
calculations
realized
enabling
sample
moving
parcels
twice
along
trajectories.
Eight
distinct
WAI
12
CAO
cases
probed
extensively.
From
measurements,
we
derived
diabatic
heating
moistening
CAOs
WAIs,
development
cloud
macrophysical
microphysical
properties
southward
pathways
CAOs,
moisture
budget
WAIs.
As
an
example
result,
obtained
typical
values
surface-driven
between
1–3
K
h-1
near-surface
0.05–0.3
g
kg-1
within
lowest
about
0.5
km.
observations
weak
cooling
up
0.4
loss
0.1
from
ground
5
km
altitude
derived.
In
addition,
discuss
frequency
occurrence
different
thermodynamic
phases
low-level
clouds,
interaction
cirrus
with
ice,
water
vapor,
aerosol
particles,
characteristic
chemical
particles.
Finally,
provide
proof
concept
measure
mesoscale
divergence
subsidence
dropsondes
released
circular
patterns.
The cryosphere,
Год журнала:
2024,
Номер
18(3), С. 1157 - 1183
Опубликована: Март 12, 2024
Abstract.
The
Copernicus
Arctic
Regional
Reanalysis
(CARRA)
is
a
novel
regional
high-resolution
atmospheric
reanalysis
product
that
covers
considerable
part
of
the
European
including
substantial
amounts
ice-covered
areas.
Sea
ice
in
CARRA
modelled
by
means
one-dimensional
thermodynamic
sea
parameterisation
scheme,
which
also
explicitly
resolves
evolution
snow
layer
over
ice.
In
present
study,
we
assess
representation
cover
and
validate
it
against
wide
set
satellite
products
observations
from
mass
balance
buoys.
We
show
adequately
represents
general
interannual
trends
towards
thinner
warmer
Arctic.
Compared
to
ERA5,
shows
reduced
warm
bias
surface
temperature.
strongest
improvement
was
observed
for
winter
months
central
Greenland
Barents
seas
where
4.91
°C
median
temperature
error
ERA5
1.88
on
average.
Over
Baffin
Bay,
intercomparisons
suggest
presence
cold
winter-time
CARRA.
No
found
albedo
with
spring-time
errors
being
up
0.08
higher
average
than
those
when
computed
CLARA-A2
retrieval
product.
Summer-time
albedos
are
comparable
ERA5.
thickness
depth
resolve
annual
cycle
bring
added
value
compared
However,
limitations
indicate
potential
benefits
utilising
more
advanced
approaches
representing
next-generation
reanalyses.
Atmospheric chemistry and physics,
Год журнала:
2024,
Номер
24(12), С. 7359 - 7383
Опубликована: Июнь 27, 2024
Abstract.
The
thermodynamic
phase
of
clouds
in
low
and
middle
levels
over
the
Southern
Ocean
Arctic
marine
regions
is
poorly
known,
leading
to
uncertainties
radiation
budget
weather
climate
models.
To
improve
knowledge
cloud
phase,
we
analyse
2
years
raDAR-liDAR
(DARDAR)
dataset
based
on
active
satellite
instruments.
We
classify
according
their
base
top
height
focus
low-,
mid-,
mid-
low-level
as
they
are
most
frequent
mixed-phase
temperature
regime.
Low-level
single-layer
occur
8
%–15
%
all
profiles,
but
spanning
mid-level
also
amount
approx.
15
%.
Liquid
show
mainly
a
smaller
vertical
extent
horizontally
larger
compared
ice
clouds.
results
highest
liquid
fractions
for
Two
local
minima
fraction
observed
around
temperatures
−15
−5
°C.
Mid-level
both
polar
higher
if
sea
open
ocean.
with
high
salt
concentrations,
used
proxy
spray,
reduced
fractions.
In
clouds,
dust
shows
largest
correlations
fraction,
lower
aerosol
concentration.
clearly
contribution
shortwave
radiative
effect
regions,
followed
by
Geoscientific model development,
Год журнала:
2024,
Номер
17(14), С. 5511 - 5543
Опубликована: Июль 24, 2024
Abstract.
Although
the
quality
of
weather
forecasts
in
polar
regions
is
improving,
forecast
skill
there
still
lags
behind
lower
latitudes.
So
far
have
been
relatively
few
efforts
to
evaluate
processes
numerical
prediction
systems
using
situ
and
remote
sensing
datasets
from
meteorological
observatories
terrestrial
Arctic
Antarctic
compared
mid-latitudes.
Progress
has
limited
both
by
heterogeneous
nature
observatory
data
availability
parameters
needed
perform
process-oriented
evaluation
multi-model
archives.
The
Year
Polar
Prediction
(YOPP)
site
Model
Inter-comparison
Project
(YOPPsiteMIP)
addressing
this
gap
producing
merged
files
(MODFs)
model
(MMDFs),
bringing
together
observations
at
a
format
designed
facilitate
evaluation.
An
performance
was
performed
seven
sites,
focussing
on
first
YOPP
Special
Observing
Period
Northern
Hemisphere
(NH-SOP1)
February
March
2018.
It
demonstrated
that
although
characteristics
vary
between
different
sites
systems,
an
underestimation
boundary
layer
temperature
variability
across
models,
which
goes
hand
with
inability
capture
cold
extremes,
common
issue
several
sites.
found
many
models
tend
underestimate
sensitivity
2
m
air
(T2m)
surface
skin
variations
radiative
forcing,
reasons
for
are
discussed.
Earth system science data,
Год журнала:
2025,
Номер
17(3), С. 1295 - 1328
Опубликована: Апрель 1, 2025
Abstract.
The
HALO–(𝒜𝒞)3
aircraft
campaign
was
carried
out
in
March
and
April
2022
over
the
Norwegian
Greenland
seas,
Fram
Strait,
central
Arctic
Ocean.
Three
research
–
High
Altitude
Long
Range
Research
Aircraft
(HALO),
Polar
5,
6
performed
54
partly
coordinated
flights
on
23
flight
days
areas
of
open
ocean,
marginal
sea
ice
zone
(MIZ),
ice.
general
objective
to
quantify
evolution
air
mass
properties
during
moist
warm-air
intrusions
(WAIs)
cold-air
outbreaks
(CAOs).
To
obtain
a
comprehensive
data
set,
three
operated
following
different
strategies.
HALO
equipped
with
active
passive
remote
sensing
instruments
dropsondes
cover
regional
cloud
thermodynamic
processes.
5
similar
payload
HALO,
instrumented
situ
cloud,
aerosol,
trace
gas
focusing
initial
transformation
close
MIZ.
processed,
calibrated,
validated
are
published
World
Data
Center
PANGAEA
as
instrument-separated
subsets
listed
aircraft-separated
collections
for
(Ehrlich
et
al.,
2024a,
https://doi.org/10.1594/PANGAEA.968885),
(Mech
https://doi.org/10.1594/PANGAEA.968883),
(Herber
2024,
https://doi.org/10.1594/PANGAEA.968884).
A
detailed
overview
available
sets
is
provided
here.
Furthermore,
campaign-specific
instrument
setup,
processing,
quality
summarized.
Based
measurements
conducted
specific
CAO,
it
shown
that
scientific
analysis
benefits
from
operation
aircraft.
Elementa Science of the Anthropocene,
Год журнала:
2025,
Номер
13(1)
Опубликована: Янв. 1, 2025
Sea
salt
aerosol
(SSaer)
significantly
impacts
aerosol-radiation
and
aerosol-cloud
interactions,
sublimated
blowing
snow
is
hypothesized
to
be
an
important
SSaer
source
in
polar
regions.
Understanding
other
wind-sourced
aerosols’
climate
relevant
properties
needed,
especially
during
winter
when
Arctic
amplification
greatest.
However,
most
of
our
understanding
comes
from
modeling
studies,
direct
observations
are
sparse.
Additionally,
can
originate
multiple
sources,
making
it
difficult
disentangle
emission
processes.
Here,
we
present
comprehensive
events
the
Multidisciplinary
drifting
Observatory
for
Study
Climate
(MOSAiC)
expedition
central
Arctic.
High
wind
speed
strongly
enhances
total
number,
submicron
sodium
chloride
mass,
cloud
condensation
nuclei
concentrations,
scattering
coefficients.
Generally,
relative
response
enhancement
strongest
fall
concentrations
lowest.
Blowing
showed
similar
environmental
across
events,
apart
occasions
with
high
age
(>6
days
since
last
snowfall).
Coarse-mode
number
(>1
μm)
better
explained
by
variability
averaged
over
12-h
air
mass
back
trajectories
arriving
at
MOSAiC
site
compared
local,
instantaneous
speed,
suggesting
importance
regional
transport
consideration
history
wind-driven
production.
These
provide
new
insights
into
may
help
validate
studies
improve
model
parameterizations
particularly
indirect
radiative
forcing.