Population and Environment, Год журнала: 2024, Номер 46(4)
Опубликована: Дек. 1, 2024
Язык: Английский
Population and Development Review, Год журнала: 2025, Номер unknown
Опубликована: Янв. 27, 2025
Abstract Climate change is projected to increase human mobility. Research links climate stressors, such as warming temperatures, severe weather events, and rising sea levels, migration within between countries in many regions of the world. This paper reviews this new frontier for research charts directions future work. Understanding mobility, we argue, requires considering local context identify mechanisms (what impacts) selectivity (who responds). needs draw more on existing theory deduce patterns under alternative drivers mobility extend by how those shift shocks. also generalize from diverse findings documenting which are most common contexts.
Язык: Английский
Процитировано
0
medRxiv (Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory), Год журнала: 2025, Номер unknown
Опубликована: Фев. 20, 2025
Summary Climate change is likely to exacerbate a range of determinants which drive tuberculosis, the world’s leading infectious disease killer. However, tuberculosis often neglected in wider climate health discussions. Commissioned by World Health Organization, we developed an analytical framework outlining potential causal relationships between and tuberculosis. We drew on existing knowledge determinants, identified are be sensitive effects change, conceptualised mechanistic pathways through this might occur. collated evidence for these literature reviews. Our reviews found no studies directly linking warranting research build action. The available supports existence plausible links highlights need include risk adaptation mitigation programmes, climate-resilient funding response mechanisms. Further urgently needed quantify
Язык: Английский
Процитировано
0
Global Environmental Change, Год журнала: 2024, Номер 88, С. 102920 - 102920
Опубликована: Сен. 1, 2024
Projecting migration is challenging, due to the context-specific and discontinuous relations between socioeconomic environmental conditions that drive this process. Here, we investigate usefulness of Machine Learning (ML) Random Forest (RF) models develop three net scenarios in South Asia by 2050 based on historical patterns (2001–2019). The model for direction reaches an accuracy 75%, while magnitude percentage R2 value 0.44. variable importance similar both models: temperature built-up land are primary explaining migration, aligning with previous research. In all find hotspots in-migration North-western India out-migration eastern northern India, parts Nepal Sri Lanka, but disparities across other areas. These underscore challenge obtaining consistent results from different approaches, which complicates drawing firm conclusions about future trajectories. We argue application multi-model approaches a useful avenue project dynamics, gain insights into uncertainty range plausible outcomes these processes.
Язык: Английский
Процитировано
2
Annalen der Physik, Год журнала: 2024, Номер 536(7)
Опубликована: Май 30, 2024
Abstract Quantitative climate mobility research has, so far, focused primarily on change impacts migration outcomes. This focus has led to a separation between quantitative and the broader field of studies. In this paper ways are proposed for better address complexity in relationship mobility. First technical suggestions presented improve upon model setups designs highlight promising developments. Then it is argued that methodologies can broaden scope inquiries by examining how mitigation adaptation efforts influence mobility, as well assessing itself vulnerability.
Язык: Английский
Процитировано
0
Опубликована: Янв. 1, 2024
Язык: Английский
Процитировано
0
Security Dialogue, Год журнала: 2024, Номер unknown
Опубликована: Ноя. 4, 2024
On what basis can it be said that climate change contributes to human migration? What are we make of new statistical models used construct the relationship between these two epochal phenomena? This article proposes Collier’s conception topology characterize novel politics gravity modelling, a technique increasingly calculate numeric estimates ‘climate migrants’. These do not simply signify revival or repetition political sovereignty, nor an affirmation biopower, but recalibration power arising in response crisis. signals early stages organized around intuitive calculation. To this claim, draws on recent discussions geography calculation, number and first situate within contemporary critical scholarship migration. It then examines models’ logics, particular how intuition, inference incalculable shape three facets emerging topology: correlation Earth science data with population-level economic data; calculation mobile populations; unique spatiality at stake modelling.
Язык: Английский
Процитировано
0
Frontiers in Climate, Год журнала: 2024, Номер 6
Опубликована: Ноя. 13, 2024
With an estimated 357.7 million internal displacements caused since 2008, weather-related disasters are a major driver of human mobility worldwide. As climate change is projected to increase the frequency and intensity extreme weather events in many parts world, it important better understand how trends patterns related global warming have affected that displacements. Here we combined observational counterfactual data with displacement records estimate has precipitation wind speeds at time location floods storms led We that, on average, increased decreased during such by +3.7% − 1.4%, respectively. However, variability across considerable (±28.6 ± 6.6%, respectively), highlighting large signal natural system as compared signal. Our results caution against overstating role displacement-inducing past, especially socio-economic development factors vulnerability adaptive capacity determine whether hazards turn into disasters.’
Язык: Английский
Процитировано
0
Опубликована: Май 28, 2024
Integrated socioeconomic and environmental scenarios have matured over the past decades in terms of scientific methodology policy relevance. Contrary to these advances, less progress has been made on conflict, migration, equity implications context change. On one hand, this is not surprising due complex, irregular ethical dimensions involved which are hard quantify. other societal dynamics can alter effectiveness sustainable development strategies, underlining importance better understand their possible future trajectories. The main objective thesis explore possibilities project futures by using various methods (Machine Learning, literature-informed vulnerability overlays expert elicitation), advance field scenario studies.
Язык: Английский
Процитировано
0
BIO Web of Conferences, Год журнала: 2024, Номер 116, С. 08016 - 08016
Опубликована: Янв. 1, 2024
This article examines the concept and essence of migration, environmental as well migrants. The factors migration according to UN International Organization, causes with illustrative examples specific regions countries are presented. authors examined types analyzed in Russian Federation, Asia, North Africa, Europe, Australia Oceania. specifics warm urban population rural areas (ruralization) their key factors, features outflow highly qualified personnel from including emigration channels, reasons plans emigrants, considered. In addition dynamics Russia over past 30 years, discusses methodology for modeling processes identifies variables necessary build a model process.
Язык: Английский
Процитировано
0
Population and Environment, Год журнала: 2024, Номер 46(4)
Опубликована: Дек. 1, 2024
Язык: Английский
Процитировано
0