Dynamic adaptive pathways planning for adaptation: lessons learned from a decade of practice in Aotearoa New Zealand
Journal of Integrative Environmental Sciences,
Год журнала:
2025,
Номер
22(1)
Опубликована: Янв. 16, 2025
There
is
a
climate
change
adaptation
implementation
gap.
We
have
information
about
the
likely
impacts
and
implications,
but
concrete
pre-emptive
action
elusive.
Key
to
addressing
this
are
alternative
planning
approaches
that
enable
decision
makers
anticipate
design
alternate
pathways
depending
on
how
conditions
change,
in
time
for
actions
be
implemented.
Over
last
ten
years,
dynamic
adaptive
(DAPP)
has
been
applied
Aotearoa
New
Zealand
(A-NZ)
assist
such
circumstances.
Pathways
now
diverse
settings
motivated
use
development
of
complementary
methods
tools
evaluating
options
pathways.
Different
governance
engagement
models
emerged,
tailored
with
different
communities.
DAPP
research
practice
A-NZ
advanced
monitoring
systems,
signals
triggers,
staging
managed
retreat
over
time,
serious
games
prime
dealing
uncertainty.
Māori
(the
Indigenous
people
A-NZ)
worldviews,
knowledge
values
intersected
informed
applications,
significant
untapped
opportunities
exist.
This
paper
presents
lessons
learned
from
these
applications
further
needed.
Opportunities
supporting
extending
process
making
through
governance,
indigenous
suggested.
Язык: Английский
Sovereigns on Thinning Ice: Debt Sustainability, Climate Impacts, and Adaptation
Опубликована: Янв. 1, 2025
Язык: Английский
Evaluating riverine flood policy: Land use planning trends in Aotearoa New Zealand
Environmental Science & Policy,
Год журнала:
2025,
Номер
164, С. 104006 - 104006
Опубликована: Янв. 28, 2025
Язык: Английский
‘Tipping points’ confuse and can distract from urgent climate action
Nature Climate Change,
Год журнала:
2024,
Номер
unknown
Опубликована: Дек. 3, 2024
Язык: Английский
Brief communication: Sea-level projections, adaptation planning, and actionable science
The cryosphere,
Год журнала:
2025,
Номер
19(2), С. 793 - 803
Опубликована: Фев. 21, 2025
Abstract.
As
climate
scientists
seek
to
deliver
actionable
science
for
adaptation
planning,
there
are
risks
in
using
novel
results
inform
decision-making.
Premature
acceptance
may
lead
maladaptation,
practitioner
confusion,
and
“whiplash”.
We
propose
that
scientific
claims
should
be
considered
(i.e.,
sufficiently
accepted
support
near-term
action)
only
after
meeting
a
confidence
threshold
based
on
the
strength
of
evidence
as
evaluated
by
diverse
group
experts.
discuss
an
influential
study
projected
rapid
sea-level
rise
from
Antarctic
ice-sheet
retreat
but
our
view
was
not
actionable.
recommend
regular,
transparent
communications
between
practitioners
use
science.
Язык: Английский
Future frequencies of coastal floods in Australia: a seamless approach and dataset for visualising local impacts and informing adaptation
Journal of Southern Hemisphere Earth System Science,
Год журнала:
2024,
Номер
74(3)
Опубликована: Окт. 10, 2024
The
rise
of
pathways-based
approaches
to
coastal
adaptation
in
Australia
has
changed
user
requirements
for
flood
hazard
information
support
decision-making.
This
study
identifies
and
addresses
three
aspects
not
considered
the
existing
Australia-specific
scientific
guidance
planning
sea-level
rise.
First,
changes
frequency
present-day
extreme
sea
levels
are
compared
between
locations.
Second,
related
impact-based
thresholds
associated
with
past
events.
Third,
potential
chronic
flooding
emerging
is
assessed.
complements
global
studies
that
provide
some
Australian
results
on
these
topics.
We
survey
identify
methods
most
suitable
our
application
apply
chosen
reference
dataset
monitoring
change.
yields
a
water-level
covering
daily
centennial
water
37
tide
gauges.
analyse
national
picture
how
expected
influence
future
frequencies
floods
Australia.
For
example,
85%
locations
expect
extremes
occur
30
days
per
year
less
than
1-m
largest
increases
have
smallest
magnitudes
relative
mean
level,
lower
extremes.
demonstrate
further
applications
using
local
case
studies:
forecasting,
climate
risk
services
identifying
required
triggers
be
reached.
Язык: Английский