Observed characteristics and projected future changes of extreme consecutive dry days events of the growing season in Serbia
International Journal of Climatology,
Год журнала:
2024,
Номер
44(11), С. 4127 - 4141
Опубликована: Июль 23, 2024
Abstract
One
of
the
frequently
used
drought
metrics
in
scientific
research
is
consecutive
dry
days
(CDDs)
because
it
effectively
indicates
short‐term
droughts
important
to
ecosystems
and
agriculture.
CDDs
are
expected
increase
many
parts
world
future.
In
Serbia,
both
frequency
severity
have
increased
recent
decades,
with
most
being
caused
by
a
lack
precipitation
during
warmer
months
year
an
evapotranspiration
due
higher
temperatures.
this
study,
duration
extreme
growing
season
Serbia
were
analysed
for
past
(1950–2019)
future
(2020–2100)
period.
The
Threshold
Level
Method
over
data
series
was
analyse
CDD
events,
where
defined
as
at
least
15
without
precipitation.
contrast
original
definition
maximum
number
less
than
1
mm,
here
we
threshold
that
more
suitable
agriculture
field
crops
can
experience
water
stress
after
no
rainfall
or
irrigation.
An
approach
modelling
stochastic
process
based
on
Zelenhasić–Todorović
(ZT)
method
applied
research.
ZT
modified
selecting
different
distribution
function
durations
longest
enabling
reliable
calculation
probabilities
occurrences.
According
results,
likely
be
frequent
severe
those
past.
will
extended
future,
lasting
up
62
10‐year
return
period
94
100‐year
Results
indicate
worsening
conditions,
especially
eastern
northern
Serbia.
results
help
decision‐makers
adapt
agricultural
strategies
climate
change
providing
information
rainless
periods
seasons.
Although
analysis
performed
any
other
region.
Язык: Английский
Geostatistical Predictive Model of Drought Severity: A Case Study of Southern Portugal
Mathematical Geosciences,
Год журнала:
2025,
Номер
unknown
Опубликована: Апрель 4, 2025
Язык: Английский
Detection of Typical Forest Degradation Patterns: Characteristics and Drivers of Forest Degradation in Northeast China
Remote Sensing,
Год журнала:
2024,
Номер
16(8), С. 1389 - 1389
Опубликована: Апрель 14, 2024
The
accurate
identification
of
forest
degradation
and
its
driving
factors
is
a
prerequisite
for
implementing
high-quality
management.
However,
distinguishing
patterns
often
neglected
in
large-scale
quality
assessments.
indicators
were
constructed
to
identify
typical
using
remote
sensing
indexes,
followed
by
an
analysis
the
spatiotemporal
dynamics
quantification
contributions
from
various
factors.
results
indicated
that
could
effectively
distinguish
patterns,
with
fire
accuracy
90.0%
fitting
drought
pest
higher
than
0.7.
cold
temperate
conifer
zone
had
largest
proportion
degradation,
accounting
67.7%
area,
totals
99.0%
subtropical
evergreen
broadleaf
92.8%
mixed
moderately
severely
affected
drought,
long-term
stability.
Additionally,
0.1%
grassland
region
underwent
severe
infestations,
stable
trend.
Meteorological
primary
contributors
all
81.35%,
58.70%,
82.29%,
respectively.
research
developed
index
assessing
explained
importance
natural
anthropogenic
degradation.
are
beneficial
scientific
management
improving
efficiency.
Язык: Английский
Improving Daily Precipitation Estimates by Merging Satellite and Reanalysis Data in Northeast China
Remote Sensing,
Год журнала:
2024,
Номер
16(24), С. 4703 - 4703
Опубликована: Дек. 17, 2024
Precipitation
plays
a
key
control
in
the
water,
energy,
and
carbon
cycles,
it
is
also
an
important
driving
force
for
land
surface
modeling.
This
study
provides
optimal
least
squares
merging
approach
to
merge
precipitation
data
sets
from
multiple
sources
accurate
daily
estimate
Northeast
China
(NEC).
estimates
satellite-based
IMERG
SM2RAIN-ASCAT,
as
well
reanalysis
MERRA-2,
were
used
this
study.
The
triple
collocation
(TC)
was
quantify
error
uncertainties
each
input
set,
which
are
associated
with
weights
assigned
set
procedure.
results
revealed
that
better
consistency
other
two
thus
more
relied
on
during
process.
accuracy
of
both
SM2RAIN-ASCAT
MERRA-2
showed
obvious
spatio-temporal
patterns
due
their
retrieval
algorithms
resolution
limits.
merged
TC-based
highest
correlation
coefficient
ground-based
measurements
(R
=
0.52),
suggesting
its
capability
represent
temporal
variation
precipitation.
However,
largely
overestimated
intensity
summer,
leading
large
positive
bias.
Язык: Английский