Potentially suitable geographical area for Pulsatilla chinensis Regel under current and future climatic scenarios based on the MaxEnt model DOI Creative Commons
Yanan Wu,

Lanmeng Yan,

Hongjian Shen

и другие.

Frontiers in Plant Science, Год журнала: 2025, Номер 16

Опубликована: Май 14, 2025

Climate change has significantly impacted the distribution patterns of medicinal plants, highlighting need for accurate models to predict future habitat shifts. In this study, Maximum Entropy model analyze Pulsatilla chinensis (Bunge) Regel under current conditions and two climate scenarios (SSP245 SSP585). Based on 105 occurrence records 12 environmental variables, precipitation wettest quarter, isothermality, average November temperature, standard deviation temperature seasonality were identified as key factors influencing suitability P. chinensis. The reliability was supported by a mean area curve (AUC) value 0.916 True Skill Statistic (TSS) 0.608. results indicated that although total suitable expanded both scenarios, highly contracted SSP585 compared SSP245. This suggests importance incorporating considerations into management strategies address potential challenges arising from ecosystem dynamics.

Язык: Английский

Potentially suitable geographical area for Pulsatilla chinensis Regel under current and future climatic scenarios based on the MaxEnt model DOI Creative Commons
Yanan Wu,

Lanmeng Yan,

Hongjian Shen

и другие.

Frontiers in Plant Science, Год журнала: 2025, Номер 16

Опубликована: Май 14, 2025

Climate change has significantly impacted the distribution patterns of medicinal plants, highlighting need for accurate models to predict future habitat shifts. In this study, Maximum Entropy model analyze Pulsatilla chinensis (Bunge) Regel under current conditions and two climate scenarios (SSP245 SSP585). Based on 105 occurrence records 12 environmental variables, precipitation wettest quarter, isothermality, average November temperature, standard deviation temperature seasonality were identified as key factors influencing suitability P. chinensis. The reliability was supported by a mean area curve (AUC) value 0.916 True Skill Statistic (TSS) 0.608. results indicated that although total suitable expanded both scenarios, highly contracted SSP585 compared SSP245. This suggests importance incorporating considerations into management strategies address potential challenges arising from ecosystem dynamics.

Язык: Английский

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