Learning from the COVID-19 pandemic: A systematic review of mathematical vaccine prioritization models
Infectious Disease Modelling,
Год журнала:
2024,
Номер
9(4), С. 1057 - 1080
Опубликована: Май 15, 2024
As
the
world
becomes
ever
more
connected,
chance
of
pandemics
increases
as
well.
The
recent
COVID-19
pandemic
and
concurrent
global
mass
vaccine
roll-out
provides
an
ideal
setting
to
learn
from
refine
our
understanding
infectious
disease
models
for
better
future
preparedness.
In
this
review,
we
systematically
analyze
categorize
mathematical
that
have
been
developed
design
optimal
prioritization
strategies
initially
limited
vaccine.
older
individuals
are
disproportionately
affected
by
COVID-19,
focus
is
on
take
age
explicitly
into
account.
lower
mobility
activity
level
gives
rise
non-trivial
trade-offs.
Secondary
research
questions
concern
time
interval
between
doses
spatial
distribution.
This
review
showcases
effect
various
modeling
assumptions
model
outcomes.
A
solid
these
relationships
yields
thus
public
health
decisions
during
next
pandemic.
Язык: Английский
Exploring the association between ambient air pollution and COVID-19 risk: A comprehensive meta-analysis with meta-regression modelling
Harry Asena Musonye,
Yisheng He,
Merga Bayou Bekele
и другие.
Heliyon,
Год журнала:
2024,
Номер
10(12), С. e32385 - e32385
Опубликована: Июнь 1, 2024
IntroductionAir
pollution
is
speculated
to
increase
the
risk
of
Coronavirus
disease-2019
(COVID-19).
Nevertheless,
results
remain
inconsistent
and
inconclusive.
This
study
aimed
explore
association
between
ambient
air
(AAP)
COVID-19
risks
using
a
meta-analysis
with
meta-regression
modelling.MethodsThe
inclusion
criteria
were:
original
studies
quantifying
effect
sizes
95%
confidence
intervals
(CIs);
time-series,
cohort,
ecological
or
case-crossover
peer-reviewed
in
English.
Exclusion
encompassed
non-original
studies,
animal
data
common
errors.
PubMed,
Web
Science,
Embase
Google
Scholar
electronic
databases
were
systemically
searched
for
eligible
literature,
up
31,
March
2023.
The
bias
(ROB)
was
assessed
following
Agency
Healthcare
Research
Quality
parameters.
A
random-effects
model
used
calculate
pooled
ratios
(RRs)
their
CIs.ResultsA
total
58
2020
2023,
met
criteria.
global
representation
skewed,
major
contributions
from
USA
(24.1%)
China
(22.4%).
distribution
included
on
short-term
(43.1%)
long-term
(56.9%)
exposure.
Ecological
constituted
51.7%,
time-series-27.6%,
cohorts-17.2%,
case
crossover-3.4%.
ROB
assessment
showed
low
(86.2%)
moderate
(13.8%)
risk.
incidences
increased
10μg/m3
PM2.5
[RR=4.9045;
CI
(4.1548-5.7895)],
PM10
[RR=2.9427:
(2.2290-3.8850)],
NO2
[RR=3.2750:
(3.1420-3.4136)],
SO2
[RR=3.3400:
(2.7931-3.9940)],
CO
[RR=2.6244:
(2.5208-2.7322)]
O3
[RR=2.4008:
(2.1859-2.6368)]
concentrations.
concentrations
[RR=3.0418:
(2.7344-3.3838)],
[RR=2.6202:
(2.1602-3.1781)],
[RR=3.2226:
(2.1411-4.8504)],
[RR=1.8021
(0.8045-4.0370)]
[RR=2.3270
(1.5906-3.4045)]
significantly
associated
mortality.
Stratified
analysis
that
design,
exposure
period,
country
influenced
exposure-response
associations.
Meta-regression
indicated
significant
predictors
pollution-COVID-19
incidence
associations.ConclusionThe
study,
while
robust,
lacks
causality
demonstration
focuses
only
China,
limiting
its
generalizability.
Regardless,
provides
strong
evidence
base
pollution-COVID-19-risks
associations,
offering
valuable
insights
intervention
measures
COVID-19.
Язык: Английский
Opening Pandora's box: caveats with using toolbox-based approaches in mathematical modeling in biology
Frontiers in Applied Mathematics and Statistics,
Год журнала:
2024,
Номер
10
Опубликована: Янв. 29, 2024
Mathematical
modeling
is
a
powerful
method
to
understand
how
biological
systems
work.
By
creating
mathematical
model
of
given
phenomenon
one
can
investigate
which
assumptions
are
needed
explain
the
and
be
omitted.
Creating
an
appropriate
(or
set
models)
for
system
art,
classical
textbooks
on
in
biology
go
into
great
detail
discussing
models
understood
via
analytical
numerical
analyses.
In
last
few
decades
has
grown
size
complexity,
along
with
this
growth
new
tools
analysis
and/or
comparing
data
have
been
proposed.
Examples
include
methods
sensitivity
analyses,
alternative
(based
AIC/BIC/etc.),
mixed-effect-based
fitting
data.
I
argue
that
use
many
these
"toolbox"
approaches
negatively
impacted
basic
philosophical
principle
-
what
does
why
it
does.
provide
several
examples
limitations
toolbox-based
they
hamper
generation
insights
about
question.
also
while
we
should
learn
ways
automate
modeling-based
analyses
phenomena,
aim
beyond
mechanical
such
bring
back
intuitive
functioning,
by
remembering
after
all,
art
not
simply
engineering.
"Getting
something
nothing
impossible;
there
always
price
pay."
Louis
Gross.
"There
thing
as
free
lunch."
Язык: Английский
Learning from the COVID-19 pandemic: a systematic review of mathematical vaccine prioritization models
medRxiv (Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory),
Год журнала:
2024,
Номер
unknown
Опубликована: Март 6, 2024
As
the
world
becomes
ever
more
connected,
chance
of
pandemics
increases
as
well.
The
recent
COVID-19
pandemic
and
concurrent
global
mass
vaccine
roll-out
provides
an
ideal
setting
to
learn
from
refine
our
understanding
infectious
disease
models
for
better
future
preparedness.
In
this
review,
we
systematically
analyze
categorize
mathematical
that
have
been
developed
design
optimal
prioritization
strategies
initially
limited
vaccine.
older
individuals
are
disproportionately
affected
by
COVID-19,
focus
is
on
take
age
explicitly
into
account.
lower
mobility
activity
level
gives
rise
non-trivial
trade-offs.
Secondary
research
questions
concern
time
interval
between
doses
spatial
distribution.
This
review
showcases
effect
various
modeling
assumptions
model
outcomes.
A
solid
these
relationships
yields
thus
public
health
decisions
during
next
pandemic.
Язык: Английский
Second booster dose improves antibody neutralization against BA.1, BA.5 and BQ.1.1 in individuals previously immunized with CoronaVac plus BNT162B2 booster protocol
Frontiers in Cellular and Infection Microbiology,
Год журнала:
2024,
Номер
14
Опубликована: Апрель 4, 2024
Introduction
SARS-CoV-2
vaccines
production
and
distribution
enabled
the
return
to
normalcy
worldwide,
but
it
was
not
fast
enough
avoid
emergence
of
variants
capable
evading
immune
response
induced
by
prior
infections
vaccination.
This
study
evaluated,
against
Omicron
sublineages
BA.1,
BA.5
BQ.1.1,
antibody
a
cohort
vaccinated
with
two
doses
CoronaVac
protocol
followed
heterologous
booster
doses.
Methods
To
assess
vaccination
effectiveness,
serum
samples
were
collected
from
160
individuals,
in
3
different
time
points
(9,
12
18
months
after
protocol).
For
each
point,
individuals
divided
into
subgroups,
based
on
number
additional
received
(No
booster,
1
2
boosters),
viral
microneutralization
assay
performed
evaluate
neutralization
titers
seroconvertion
rate.
Results
The
findings
presented
here
show
that,
despite
first
at
9m
improved
level
omicron
ancestor
BA.1
(133.1
663.3),
this
trend
significantly
lower
for
BQ.1.1
(132.4
199.1,
63.2
100.2,
respectively).
However,
18m
administration
second
dose
considerably
neutralization,
observed
only
(2361.5),
also
subvariants
(726.1)
(659.1).
Additionally,
our
data
showed
rate
decayed
over
(93.3%
12m
68.4%
18m),
completely
recovered
(95%
18m).
Discussion
Our
reinforces
concerns
about
immunity
evasion
subvariants,
where
less
neutralized
vaccine
antibodies
than
BA.1.
On
other
hand,
enhanced
capacity
these
subvariants.
It
is
likely
as
new
continue
emerge,
immunizations
will
be
needed
time.
Язык: Английский
The effect of COVID-19 vaccination on symptomatic infection and related symptoms among preterm-born children aged 3–7 years in China
Scientific Reports,
Год журнала:
2024,
Номер
14(1)
Опубликована: Окт. 25, 2024
Vaccination
plays
a
crucial
role
in
preventing
and
controlling
SARS-CoV-2
infections
as
well
their
associated
adverse
outcomes.
But
there
is
notable
lack
of
research
on
the
effectiveness
COVID-19
vaccination
children,
particularly
those
young
preterm-born
who
are
more
vulnerable
to
severe
outcomes
from
infection.
We
aimed
determine
effect
with
inactivated
vaccines
BBIBP-CorV
CoronaVac
symptomatic
infection
related
symptoms
children
aged
3-7
years
after
relaxation
prevention
control
measures
December
2022
China.
performed
retrospective
cohort
study
involving
242
data
were
collected
March
2023.
Logistic
regression
models
modified
Poisson
combined
entropy
balancing
used
explore
associations
against
COVID-19,
specific
symptoms,
persistent
one
month
recovery
COVID-19.
Of
recruited
156
(64.5%)
vaccinated
CoronaVac.
After
balancing,
covariates
balanced
between
unvaccinated
groups,
standardized
mean
difference
<
0.001.
said
lowered
risk
developing
(risk
ratio
[RR]
=
0.783;
95%
confidence
interval
[CI]:
(0.711,
0.861).
Likewise,
was
decline
pneumonia
(odds
[OR]
0.318;
CI
0.110,
0.913),
fever
(RR
0.710;
0.635,
0.794),
high
0.542;
0.297,
0.988),
sore
throat
(OR
0.304;
0.139,
0.664),
0.425;
0.182,
0.993).
Immunization
provides
protection
for
years.
Язык: Английский