Trend Analysis of Global, Regional, and National Burdens of Visual Impairment Due to Refraction Disorders from 1990 to 2021: Findings from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021
Abstract
Purpose
To
estimate
the
global,
regional,
and
national
burden
of
vision
impairment
due
to
refraction
disorders
(RD)
from
1990
2021
based
on
sex,
age,
Socio-demographic
Index
(SDI),
predict
future
disease
trends.Methods
This
retrospective
demographic
analysis
utilized
data
Global
Burden
Disease
(GBD)
database.
Prevalence,
years
lived
with
disability
(YLDs),
age-standardized
prevalence
rates
(ASPR),
YLDs
(ASYR)
RD
were
analyzed
assess
temporal,
sex-specific
trends.
We
calculated
Average
Annual
Percentage
Change
(AAPC)
determine
changes
in
used
Bayesian
Age-Period-Cohort
(BAPC)
model
forecast
2020
2035.Results
ASPR
ASYR
declined
2021,
AAPC
is
-3.76
(95%
confidence
interval
[CI]:
-4.20~-3.32)
−
0.26
CI:
-0.28~-0.25),
respectively.
In
global
was
159,765,917
uncertainty
[UI]:
142,526,915
~
178,698,348).
The
slightly
higher
females
than
males,
a
among
middle-aged
elderly
populations.
There
slight
negative
correlation
regional
(r≈-0.32,
P
<
0.001),
South
Asia
exhibiting
highest
(3,398/100,000
people
[95%
UI:
2992
3860]).
predicted
increase,
while
expected
decrease
2022
2035.Conclusion
has
increased
past
30
continue
increasing
over
next
15
years.
heavier
females,
middle-aged,
Research Square (Research Square), Год журнала: 2025, Номер unknown
Опубликована: Апрель 26, 2025
Язык: Английский
