Modelling Drought Risk Using Bivariate Spatial Extremes: Application to the Limpopo Lowveld Region of South Africa DOI Open Access
Murendeni Maurel Nemukula, Caston Sigauke, Hector Chikoore

и другие.

Climate, Год журнала: 2023, Номер 11(2), С. 46 - 46

Опубликована: Фев. 13, 2023

Weather and climate extremes such as heat waves, droughts floods are projected to become more frequent intense in several regions. There is compelling evidence indicating that changes its over time influence the living conditions of society surrounding environment across globe. This study applies max-stable models capture spatio–temporal with dependence. The objective was analyse risk drought caused by extremely high temperatures deficient rainfall. Hopkin’s statistic used assess clustering tendency before using agglomerative method hierarchical cluster area into n=3 temperature clusters precipitation clusters. For data, values were 0.7317 0.8446, respectively, which shows both significantly clusterable. Various process then fitted each variable, Schlather model covariance functions found be a good fit on datasets compared Smith Gaussian function. modelling approach presented this paper could useful hydrologists, meteorologists climatologists, including decision-makers agricultural sector, enhancing their understanding behaviour low these compound also assist assessing impact change. It can seen from size, topography location (cluster/region), provides important information about strength extremal

Язык: Английский

Reconstruction of July-September standardized precipitation-evapotranspiration index (SPEI) for the Hindu Kush region of Northern Pakistan DOI Creative Commons
Fayaz Asad, Muhammad Adil, Nasrullah Khan

и другие.

Environmental Research Communications, Год журнала: 2024, Номер 6(5), С. 055004 - 055004

Опубликована: Апрель 24, 2024

Abstract The prolonged drought resulting from global warming is considered an important factor affecting West Asia’s socioeconomic growth, with a significant impact on the dynamic forecasting of water supply and forest ecosystems. In such scenario, understanding historical long-term changes crucial for accurately regional shifts in Hindukush region. this study, 517-year (1506–2022 C.E.) long tree-ring width chronology Himalayan Cedar ( Cedrus deodara D. Don) eastern has been developed. July-September Standardized Precipitation-Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI) revealed positive relationship r = 0.633, p < 0.001) tree which leads to SPEI reconstruction AD 1626 Hindu Kush Our model explained 40.1% climate variance during instrumental period C.E. 1965 2018. Fourteen wet periods (≥ 3 years) were observed before period, specifically 1629–1635, 1638–1658, 1666–1674, 1680–1701, 1715–1724, 1770–1776, 1794–1797, 1802–1810, 1822–1846, 1850–1857, 1872–1881, 1883–1890, 1906–1914, 1921–1937. Similarly, twelve dry summer also past 339 years, as 1659–1665, 1675–1679, 1702–1714, 1725–1769, 1777–1793, 1798–1801, 1811–1821, 1847–1849, 1858–1871, 1891–1905, 1915–1920, 1938–1963. Nevertheless, 1663 was individually wettest (with value 2.13), while 1754 driest (−0.99) year. spatial correlation analysis its comparisons Karakoram-Himalayan precipitation reconstructions have convincingly confirmed reliability our reconstruction. Consequently, can effectively serve proxy large-scale variability region northern Pakistan. findings strongly suggest considerable dendrochronological potential further climatological studies western Mountains System.

Язык: Английский

Процитировано

1

Estimation of meteorological drought based on a Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index DOI Creative Commons
Anna I. Pavlova

Agrarian Bulletin of the, Год журнала: 2024, Номер 24(05), С. 605 - 616

Опубликована: Май 27, 2024

Abstract. Various climatic indices are used to monitor meteorological drought, among which the best known standardized precipitation index and evapotranspiration (SPEI). The purpose of research is assess conditions moisture content growing season grain crops in agrolandscapes Novosibirsk region on basis standardised index. Methods. Methods big data processing, statistical analysis were study. scientific novelty consists assessing humidity intensity drought during based climate evaporation, as well identifying deviations average surface air temperature from norm very dry extremely years. Results. estimation agroclimatic vegetation period time SPEI example was carried out. On changes value different resolution one month a year for 1970 2021 region, years characterised by severe extreme identified. Drought central forest-steppe Priobskiy agricultural landscape uneven season. depends not only amount precipitation, but also deviation norm.

Язык: Английский

Процитировано

1

Evaluating satellite-based precipitation products for spatiotemporal drought analysis DOI

Hussain Masood Khan,

Muhammad Fahim Aslam, Muhammad Waseem

и другие.

Journal of Arid Environments, Год журнала: 2024, Номер 224, С. 105225 - 105225

Опубликована: Июль 14, 2024

Язык: Английский

Процитировано

1

Multi‐Index Assessment of Hydrometeorological Droughts in the Tekeze River Basin, Northwestern Ethiopia DOI Creative Commons

Teame Yisfa,

Mulugeta Tekleyohannes, Berhane Grum

и другие.

Advances in Meteorology, Год журнала: 2024, Номер 2024(1)

Опубликована: Янв. 1, 2024

Drought is a recurring natural hazard impacting agriculture, water resources, and various socioeconomic sectors. This study evaluated the performances of multiple meteorological hydrological drought index estimation methods in Tekeze River basin, northwestern Ethiopia. Monthly rainfall temperature data from 15 stations with varying record lengths (28–59 years) streamflow nine functional (1991–2018) were used to compute hydrometeorological indices. Standardized precipitation (SPI), standardized evapotranspiration (SPEI), reconnaissance (RDI), anomaly (RAI), decile (DI), (SDI) calculated using DrinC software, R programming, empirical formulas at 1, 3, 6, 12‐month timescales. Results analysis revealed basin‐wide prevalence mild drought, SPI indicating severity negative values over longer The RDI analyses showed lower but also decreased its frequency DI calculation basin station averages indicated 48.4%, 10.7%, 8.0% incidence rates for severe, moderate, droughts, respectively. RAI had generally positive compared SPI. SPEI‐1 classified almost all as experiencing drought. Conversely, SDI6 6‐month timescale diverse impacts, sustained severe (SDI6 < −2.0) three consecutive years (2004–2006). Spearman’s rank correlation coefficients indices positive, showing particularly strong statistically significant correlations other provides valuable insights policymakers, researchers, resource managers aiding development effective mitigation preparedness strategies.

Язык: Английский

Процитировано

1

Modelling Drought Risk Using Bivariate Spatial Extremes: Application to the Limpopo Lowveld Region of South Africa DOI Open Access
Murendeni Maurel Nemukula, Caston Sigauke, Hector Chikoore

и другие.

Climate, Год журнала: 2023, Номер 11(2), С. 46 - 46

Опубликована: Фев. 13, 2023

Weather and climate extremes such as heat waves, droughts floods are projected to become more frequent intense in several regions. There is compelling evidence indicating that changes its over time influence the living conditions of society surrounding environment across globe. This study applies max-stable models capture spatio–temporal with dependence. The objective was analyse risk drought caused by extremely high temperatures deficient rainfall. Hopkin’s statistic used assess clustering tendency before using agglomerative method hierarchical cluster area into n=3 temperature clusters precipitation clusters. For data, values were 0.7317 0.8446, respectively, which shows both significantly clusterable. Various process then fitted each variable, Schlather model covariance functions found be a good fit on datasets compared Smith Gaussian function. modelling approach presented this paper could useful hydrologists, meteorologists climatologists, including decision-makers agricultural sector, enhancing their understanding behaviour low these compound also assist assessing impact change. It can seen from size, topography location (cluster/region), provides important information about strength extremal

Язык: Английский

Процитировано

3