Análisis tiempo-frecuencia de la incertidumbre de la política económica y su relación con los tipos de cambio: aplicación para países latinoamericanos, 2010 – 2022
Lecturas de Economía,
Год журнала:
2025,
Номер
102
Опубликована: Янв. 1, 2025
Este
artículo
aporta
una
nueva
perspectiva
sobre
la
relación
entre
el
índice
de
incertidumbre
política
económica
(EPU)
y
las
tasas
cambio
en
países
latinoamericanos
(Brasil,
Chile,
Colombia
México),
utilizando
análisis
espectral
Wavelet
(WPS)
coherencia
(WCA)
con
datos
mensuales
enero
2010
a
mayo
2022.
Los
resultados
indican
correlación
positiva
consistente
EPU
corto,
mediano
largo
plazo.
Estos
hallazgos
destacan
conexión
cambio,
subrayando
necesidad
gestión
cuidadosa
consideración
eventos
políticos
para
promover
estabilidad
crecimiento
económico
estas
naciones
latinoamericanas
Dynamic Linkages Between Economic Policy Uncertainty and External Variables in Latin America: Wavelet Analysis
Economies,
Год журнала:
2025,
Номер
13(2), С. 22 - 22
Опубликована: Янв. 21, 2025
Wavelet
coherence
analysis
(WCA)
examines
the
dynamic
interactions
between
economic
policy
uncertainty
(EPU)
in
Brazil,
Chile,
Colombia,
and
Mexico
key
external
variables,
using
monthly
data
from
2010
to
2022.
The
findings
reveal
following:
(i)
medium-term
co-movements
(4–16
months)
EPU
global
financial
indicators,
including
Chicago
Board
Options
Exchange
(CBOE)
Market
Volatility
Index
(RVIX),
Merrill
Lynch
Option
Estimate
(RMOVE),
Global
(RGEPU),
emphasizing
sustained
influence
of
volatility
on
domestic
environments,
particularly
during
turbulence;
(ii)
significant
Climate
Policy
Uncertainty
(RCPU)
resource-dependent
economies
like
Brazil
with
pronounced
effects
medium-
long-term
horizons;
(iii)
bidirectional
relationships
Brent
crude
oil
prices
(RBRENT)
Mexico,
where
price
fluctuations
shape
uncertainty,
especially
market
disruptions;
(iv)
notable
Dow
Jones
Sustainability
World
(RW1SGI)
highlighting
sensitivity
shifts
sustainability-driven
markets.
These
results
underscore
need
for
diversification,
strengthened
safeguards,
integrated
climate
risk
management
mitigate
shocks.
By
exploring
time–frequency
dynamics
uncertainties
this
study
provides
actionable
insights
fostering
resilience
stability
Latin
America’s
interconnected
while
addressing
vulnerabilities
sustainability
transitions.
Язык: Английский
Analyzing Fiscal Sustainability in Latin American Countries: A Time–Frequency Perspective
Economies,
Год журнала:
2024,
Номер
12(5), С. 111 - 111
Опубликована: Май 8, 2024
This
study
examines
fiscal
sustainability
in
Latin
American
countries
from
a
unique
time–frequency
perspective,
focusing
on
Brazil,
Chile,
Colombia,
Peru,
and
Mexico
1997
to
2022.
Using
wavelet
coherence
analysis,
it
uncovers
dynamic
relationships
between
government
revenue
expenditure
over
different
time
horizons,
revealing
varying
causality
patterns
across
periods.
The
findings
underscore
the
importance
of
balanced
planning
resource
allocation
ensure
support
economic
growth.
research
contributes
deeper
understanding
America’s
landscape
provides
valuable
insights
for
policymakers,
economists,
stakeholders
concerned
with
region’s
stability
development.
Язык: Английский
Connectedness between Sustainable Investment Indexes: The QVAR Approach
Economies,
Год журнала:
2024,
Номер
12(7), С. 170 - 170
Опубликована: Июль 2, 2024
We
studied
the
relationship
between
sustainable
investment
indexes
and
examine
whether
this
varies
in
bullish,
bearish,
stable
financial
markets.
To
understand
issue
more
deeply,
we
analyzed
connectedness
three
indexes—the
Sustainable
Impact
investments,
Paris-aligned
stocks,
green
bonds
indexes—using
daily
closing
prices
from
1
June
2017
to
15
April
2024,
encompassing
1793
observations.
used
a
quantile
vector
autoregressive
(QVAR)
model
dynamic
among
considered
indices.
The
findings
indicate
that
investments
are
strongly
interconnected
both
high
low
quantiles,
but
connection
weakens
significantly
during
periods
of
market
stability.
stocks
net
transmitters
impacts
other
alternatives,
while
index
is
receiver.
also
observed
an
increase
interconnectedness
across
all
quantiles
pandemic,
Russia–Ukraine
military
conflict,
changes
European
Union
United
States’
monetary
policies.
Язык: Английский