Simulation and Forecast of Coastal Ecosystem Services in Jiaodong Peninsula Based on SSP-RCP Scenarios DOI Creative Commons

Wenhui Guo,

Ranghui Wang,

Fanhui Meng

и другие.

Remote Sensing, Год журнала: 2024, Номер 16(19), С. 3614 - 3614

Опубликована: Сен. 27, 2024

This study simulated the spatiotemporal changes in coastal ecosystem services (ESs) Jiaodong Peninsula from 2000 to 2050 and analyzed driving mechanisms of climate change human activities with respect ESs, aiming provide policy recommendations that promote regional sustainable development. Future land use were forecast based on scenarios Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6). The Integrated Valuation Ecosystem Services Tradeoffs (InVEST) model was used assess ESs such as water yield (WY), carbon storage (CS), soil retention (SR), habitat quality (HQ). Key drivers identified using Structural Equation Modeling (SEM). Results demonstrate following: (1) High WY are concentrated built-up areas, while high CS, HQ, SR mainly found mountainous hilly regions extensive forests grasslands. (2) By 2050, CS HQ will show a gradual degradation trend, annual variations closely related precipitation. Among different scenarios, most severe ES occurs under SSP5-8.5 scenario, SSP1-2.6 scenario shows relatively less degradation. (3) SEM analysis indicates urbanization leads continuous declines topographic factors controlling spatial distribution four ESs. Climate can directly influence SR, their impact is stronger higher activity intensity than those lower intensity. (4) Considering combined effects we recommend future development decisions be made rationally control give greater consideration context change.

Язык: Английский

Multi-scenario simulation for the “Carbon Security Pattern” of the coastal landscape: A case study on the Jiaodong Peninsula DOI

S Sun

Journal for Nature Conservation, Год журнала: 2025, Номер unknown, С. 126908 - 126908

Опубликована: Март 1, 2025

Язык: Английский

Процитировано

0
Simulation and Forecast of Coastal Ecosystem Services in Jiaodong Peninsula Based on SSP-RCP Scenarios DOI Creative Commons

Wenhui Guo,

Ranghui Wang,

Fanhui Meng

и другие.

Remote Sensing, Год журнала: 2024, Номер 16(19), С. 3614 - 3614

Опубликована: Сен. 27, 2024

This study simulated the spatiotemporal changes in coastal ecosystem services (ESs) Jiaodong Peninsula from 2000 to 2050 and analyzed driving mechanisms of climate change human activities with respect ESs, aiming provide policy recommendations that promote regional sustainable development. Future land use were forecast based on scenarios Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6). The Integrated Valuation Ecosystem Services Tradeoffs (InVEST) model was used assess ESs such as water yield (WY), carbon storage (CS), soil retention (SR), habitat quality (HQ). Key drivers identified using Structural Equation Modeling (SEM). Results demonstrate following: (1) High WY are concentrated built-up areas, while high CS, HQ, SR mainly found mountainous hilly regions extensive forests grasslands. (2) By 2050, CS HQ will show a gradual degradation trend, annual variations closely related precipitation. Among different scenarios, most severe ES occurs under SSP5-8.5 scenario, SSP1-2.6 scenario shows relatively less degradation. (3) SEM analysis indicates urbanization leads continuous declines topographic factors controlling spatial distribution four ESs. Climate can directly influence SR, their impact is stronger higher activity intensity than those lower intensity. (4) Considering combined effects we recommend future development decisions be made rationally control give greater consideration context change.

Язык: Английский

Процитировано

1