Chaos An Interdisciplinary Journal of Nonlinear Science,
Год журнала:
2023,
Номер
33(11)
Опубликована: Ноя. 1, 2023
Scientific
cooperation
on
an
international
level
has
been
well
studied
in
the
literature.
However,
much
less
is
known
about
this
intercontinental
level.
In
paper,
we
address
issue
by
creating
a
collection
of
approximately
13.8×106
publications
around
papers
one
highly
cited
authors
working
complex
networks
and
their
applications.
The
obtained
rank-frequency
distribution
probability
sequences
describing
continents
number
countries—with
which
are
affiliated—follows
power
law
with
exponent
−1.9108(15).
Such
dependence
literature
as
Zipf’s
law,
it
originally
observed
linguistics;
later,
turned
out
that
very
commonly
various
fields.
distinct
“continent
(number
countries)”
function
analyzed
grows
according
to
0.527(14);
i.e.,
follows
Heap’s
law.
medRxiv (Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory),
Год журнала:
2023,
Номер
unknown
Опубликована: Окт. 12, 2023
Across
many
fields,
scenario
modeling
has
become
an
important
tool
for
exploring
long-term
projections
and
how
they
might
depend
on
potential
interventions
critical
uncertainties,
with
relevance
to
both
decision
makers
scientists.
In
the
past
decade,
especially
during
COVID-19
pandemic,
field
of
epidemiology
seen
substantial
growth
in
use
projections.
Multiple
scenarios
are
often
projected
at
same
time,
allowing
comparisons
that
can
guide
choice
intervention,
prioritization
research
topics,
or
public
communication.
The
design
is
central
their
ability
inform
questions.
this
paper,
we
draw
fields
analysis
statistical
experiments
propose
a
framework
epidemiology,
also
other
fields.
We
identify
six
different
fundamental
purposes
designs
(decision
making,
sensitivity
analysis,
value
information,
situational
awareness,
horizon
scanning,
forecasting)
discuss
those
structure
scenarios.
aspects
content
process
design,
broadly
all
settings
specifically
multi-model
ensemble
As
illustrative
case
study,
examine
first
17
rounds
from
U.S.
Scenario
Modeling
Hub,
then
reflect
future
advancements
could
improve
epidemiological
settings.
F1000Research,
Год журнала:
2024,
Номер
12, С. 1448 - 1448
Опубликована: Май 29, 2024
Twenty-two
Arab
countries
share
a
common
language,
history,
and
culture.
Nevertheless,
governmental
policies,
healthcare
systems,
resources
differ
from
one
country
to
another.
We
have
been
following
Coronavirus
(COVID-19)
the
beginning
in
each
country.
In
present
study,
we
aimed
assess
prevalence
of
COVID-19
world
compare
these
findings
with
other
significantly
affected
countries.
Abstract
The
studies
of
international
scientific
cooperation
have
been
present
in
the
literature
since
early
1990s.
However,
much
less
is
known
about
this
at
intercontinental
level.
Very
recently
Krawczyk
and
Malarz
(Chaos
33(11):111102,
2023),
showed
that
rank-based
probability
distribution
sequences
‘continents
(number
countries)’
authors’
affiliations
shows
a
clear
power
law
with
an
exponent
close
to
1.9.
In
paper,
we
focus
on
analysis
almost
14
million
papers.
Based
their
authors,
created
lists
‘continent
countries)’—at
level—and
‘country
authors)’
sequences—at
analysed
them
terms
frequency.
contrast
level,
reveals
broken
distribution.
PLoS Computational Biology,
Год журнала:
2023,
Номер
19(7), С. e1011278 - e1011278
Опубликована: Июль 17, 2023
Coronavirus
disease
2019
(COVID-19)
will
likely
remain
a
major
public
health
burden;
accurate
forecast
of
COVID-19
epidemic
outcomes
several
months
into
the
future
is
needed
to
support
more
proactive
planning.
Here,
we
propose
strategies
address
three
challenges,
i.e.,
error
growth,
emergence
new
variants,
and
infection
seasonality.
Using
these
in
combination
generate
retrospective
predictions
cases
deaths
6
for
10
representative
US
states.
Tallied
over
>25,000
through
September
2022,
approach
using
all
consistently
outperformed
baseline
without
across
different
variant
waves
locations,
targets.
Overall,
probabilistic
accuracy
improved
by
64%
38%
point
prediction
133%
87%
deaths,
respectively.
Real-time
6-month
lead
made
early
October
2022
suggested
large
attack
rates
most
states
but
lower
burden
than
previous
during
-March
2023;
are
general
compared
reported
data.
The
superior
skill
methods
developed
here
demonstrate
means
generating
long-lead
possibly
other
infectious
diseases.
Chaos An Interdisciplinary Journal of Nonlinear Science,
Год журнала:
2023,
Номер
33(11)
Опубликована: Ноя. 1, 2023
Scientific
cooperation
on
an
international
level
has
been
well
studied
in
the
literature.
However,
much
less
is
known
about
this
intercontinental
level.
In
paper,
we
address
issue
by
creating
a
collection
of
approximately
13.8×106
publications
around
papers
one
highly
cited
authors
working
complex
networks
and
their
applications.
The
obtained
rank-frequency
distribution
probability
sequences
describing
continents
number
countries—with
which
are
affiliated—follows
power
law
with
exponent
−1.9108(15).
Such
dependence
literature
as
Zipf’s
law,
it
originally
observed
linguistics;
later,
turned
out
that
very
commonly
various
fields.
distinct
“continent
(number
countries)”
function
analyzed
grows
according
to
0.527(14);
i.e.,
follows
Heap’s
law.
